比特幣減半：價格飆漲與投資機會的歷史催化劑

經濟學表明，供給減少與需求穩定相結合會導致資產價格上漲。比特幣減半前的價格上漲，歷史上平均上漲 320%，隨後減半後的價格在 480 天內上漲約 25%-30%。根據過去的減半表現，到 2025 年 8 月，比特幣的價格可能會超過 167,135 美元。

Bitcoin's Halving: A Historical Precursor to Price Surges

比特幣減半：價格飆升的歷史前兆

Introduction

介紹

The economic principle of supply and demand dictates that a reduction in the supply of an asset, while demand remains constant, leads to an increase in the asset's price. This principle has been the driving force behind the excitement surrounding Bitcoin, a digital asset experiencing both increasing demand and a programmed scarcity over time.

供給和需求的經濟原理表明，在需求保持不變的情況下，資產供給的減少會導致資產價格的上漲。這項原則一直是圍繞比特幣的興奮背後的驅動力，隨著時間的推移，這種數位資產經歷了不斷增長的需求和程式設計的稀缺。

Historical Impact of Halvings on Bitcoin's Price

減半對比特幣價格的歷史影響

Bitcoin's price has historically been significantly impacted by halving events, which occur every four years. The halving event involves reducing the reward given to miners who verify transactions on the Bitcoin network, effectively decreasing the supply of new Bitcoin entering the market.

從歷史上看，比特幣的價格受到每四年發生一次的減半事件的顯著影響。減半事件涉及減少對比特幣網路上驗證交易的礦工的獎勵，從而有效減少進入市場的新比特幣的供應。

Pre-Halving Price Rallies

減半前的價格上漲

Prior to a halving event, Bitcoin's price typically experiences a significant increase, known as a rally. This rally typically begins approximately 1.3 years (477 days) before the halving, marking the formation of a price bottom. Historically, these pre-halving rallies have resulted in an average gain of 320%.

在減半事件之前，比特幣的價格通常會大幅上漲，稱為反彈。這種反彈通常在減半前約 1.3 年（477 天）開始，標誌著價格底部的形成。從歷史上看，這些減半前的反彈帶來了 320% 的平均漲幅。

Post-Halving Price Rallies

減半後價格上漲

After a halving, Bitcoin's price typically jumps, with an average price boost lasting for 480 days, from the halving to the peak of the next major price increase. This post-halving rally has historically shown gains of approximately 25%-30% compared to the previous halving's rise.

減半後，比特幣的價格通常會上漲，從減半到下一次價格大幅上漲的峰值，平均價格上漲持續 480 天。從歷史上看，與之前的減半漲幅相比，這次減半後的漲幅約為 25%-30%。

Expected Impact of the Upcoming Halving

即將到來的減半的預期影響

The next Bitcoin halving is expected to occur in May 2024. Based on historical patterns, analysts predict a potential price surge in the following months and years.

下一次比特幣減半預計將於 2024 年 5 月發生。根據歷史模式，分析師預測未來幾個月和幾年內價格可能會飆升。

If Bitcoin repeats its performance around previous halvings, the pre-halving rally could begin as early as October 2023, with a potential price increase of over 300%. Post-halving, Bitcoin's price could experience a further gain of 25%-30%, potentially exceeding $167,135 by August 2025.

如果比特幣在減半前後重複表現，減半前的反彈最快可能在 2023 年 10 月開始，價格潛在漲幅超過 300%。減半後，比特幣的價格可能會進一步上漲 25%-30%，到 2025 年 8 月可能會超過 167,135 美元。

Bitcoin's Resilience and Investment Opportunity

比特幣的彈性和投資機會

While past performance does not guarantee future returns, Bitcoin has consistently proven its value as more than a passing trend. Since its creation in 2009, Bitcoin has endured extreme market volatility, regulatory challenges, and speculative bubbles, yet it remains the top-performing major asset of the past decade.

雖然過去的表現並不能保證未來的回報，但比特幣已證明其價值不僅僅是短暫的趨勢。自 2009 年誕生以來，比特幣經歷了極端的市場波動、監管挑戰和投機泡沫，但它仍然是過去十年表現最好的主要資產。

Limited-Time Investment Offer from Altify

Altify 限時投資優惠

Altify, a leading platform for investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, is offering an exclusive limited-time promotion for potential investors. Using the promo code "BTCHALVING" when signing up and investing at least R500, investors can receive an additional R200 in their account. This incentive covers all investment fees and provides a 40% return before any investments are even made.

Altify 是投資比特幣和其他加密貨幣的領先平台，正在為潛在投資者提供獨家限時促銷。註冊並投資至少 R500 時使用促銷代碼“BTCHALVING”，投資者可以在其帳戶中獲得額外的 R200。此激勵措施涵蓋所有投資費用，並在進行任何投資之前提供 40% 的回報。

Disclaimer and Risk Considerations

免責聲明和風險注意事項

This article is solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as investment advice. Investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies carries significant risk as their value is subject to extreme price fluctuations and may both appreciate and depreciate over time. Investors should carefully consider their level of experience, investment objectives, and seek independent financial advice if necessary before investing in cryptocurrencies.

本文僅供參考，不應視為投資建議。投資比特幣和其他加密貨幣存在巨大風險，因為它們的價值會受到極端價格波動的影響，並且可能隨著時間的推移而升值或貶值。投資者在投資加密貨幣之前應仔細考慮自己的經驗水平、投資目標，並在必要時尋求獨立的財務建議。