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比特幣最近連續兩個月超過月線圖上的布林帶上軌,這是歷史上罕見的情況,先於三個月內價格翻倍。這一訊號表明,到 2024 年 7 月,也就是比特幣減半事件之後,比特幣可能會飆升至 14 萬美元以上。
Bitcoin Poised for Surge to $140,000 as Rare Bollinger Band Signal Emerges
隨著罕見的布林通道訊號出現,比特幣有望飆升至 14 萬美元
In a remarkable turn of events, Bitcoin (BTC) has triggered a rare technical signal that has historically preceded significant price rallies. According to analysts on the cryptocurrency exchange X, BTC has closed two consecutive months above the upper Bollinger Band on the monthly chart, an occurrence that has consistently resulted in a doubling of prices within three months.
在一個引人注目的事件轉變中,比特幣(BTC)觸發了一個罕見的技術訊號,該訊號歷史上先於價格大幅上漲。據加密貨幣交易所 X 的分析師稱,比特幣在月度圖表上已連續兩個月收於布林帶上軌上方,這一現象導致價格在三個月內翻倍。
This bullish pattern suggests that Bitcoin could soar to over $140,000 by July 2024, just three months after the upcoming Bitcoin halving event. The halving, scheduled for early next year, is expected to reduce the supply of new Bitcoins by 50%, potentially driving up demand and prices.
這種看漲模式表明,到 2024 年 7 月,即將到來的比特幣減半事件僅三個月後,比特幣可能會飆升至 14 萬美元以上。計劃於明年初進行的減半預計將使新比特幣的供應量減少 50%,可能推高需求和價格。
Bollinger Band Breakthrough Points to Historic Surge
布林通道突破指向歷史性飆升
The Bollinger Bands are a popular technical indicator that measures price volatility. The upper Bollinger Band represents the maximum price a security is likely to trade at over a certain period, while the lower Bollinger Band indicates the minimum price.
布林線是衡量價格波動性的熱門技術指標。布林線上限代表證券在某一期間內可能交易的最高價格,而布林線則代表最低價格。
Historically, when Bitcoin closes two consecutive months above the upper Bollinger Band on the monthly chart, prices have tended to surge. This pattern has held true in both bull and bear markets, suggesting its reliability as a bullish indicator.
從歷史上看,當比特幣在月度圖表上連續兩個月收在布林帶上軌上方時,價格往往會飆升。這種模式在牛市和熊市中都適用,顯示其作為看漲指標的可靠性。
Technical Analysis Suggests Further Gains
技術分析顯示進一步上漲
Technical analysis of Bitcoin's daily chart also provides support for the bullish outlook. The coin has recently broken above a key resistance level of $72,000, indicating strong buying pressure. If this breakout holds, Bitcoin could continue its upward trajectory towards $100,000 in the coming weeks.
比特幣日線圖的技術分析也為看漲前景提供了支持。該代幣最近突破了 72,000 美元的關鍵阻力位,表明強勁的購買壓力。如果這項突破持續下去,比特幣可能會在未來幾週內繼續上漲至 10 萬美元。
Another analyst on X suggests that Bitcoin could rally to $140,000 within four weeks if it follows a similar price pattern to December 2020. After breaking above the $20,000 high of 2017, Bitcoin continued to surge, peaking at around $70,000 for a nearly 3X surge.
X 的另一位分析師表示,如果比特幣遵循與2020 年12 月類似的價格模式,它可能會在四個星期內反彈至140,000 美元。在突破2017 年20,000 美元高點後,比特幣繼續飆升,最高達7 萬美元左右,飆升近3 倍。
Drivers of Bullish Sentiment
看漲情緒的驅動因素
Several factors are contributing to the current bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin. These include:
有幾個因素導致了當前圍繞比特幣的看漲情緒。這些包括:
- Spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs): The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs has generated significant interest and demand, driving prices higher. Billions of dollars have been invested in these products, providing a strong foundation for the current rally.
- Upcoming Bitcoin Halving: The halving event is expected to further buoy demand for Bitcoin, as the supply of new coins decreases by 50%. This reduced supply could potentially drive prices higher.
- Macroeconomic Factors: The Federal Reserve's potential reversal of its hawkish outlook and potential interest rate cuts could create a favorable environment for safe haven assets like Bitcoin.
Conclusion
現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF):現貨比特幣 ETF 的推出引發了巨大的興趣和需求,並推高了價格。這些產品已投入數十億美元,為當前的漲勢提供了堅實的基礎。 即將到來的比特幣減半:隨著新幣的供應量減少50%,減半事件預計將進一步提振比特幣的需求。供應減少可能會推高價格。宏觀經濟因素:聯準會可能扭轉其鷹派前景以及可能的降息可能為比特幣等避險資產創造有利的環境。結論
The emergence of the rare Bollinger Band signal, combined with favorable technical analysis and macroeconomic factors, suggests that Bitcoin is poised for a significant rally. While market fluctuations are always possible, the historical performance of this technical indicator provides a strong case for continued upward momentum. Investors should monitor Bitcoin's price action closely and consider the potential risks associated with cryptocurrency investments. As always, it is essential to conduct thorough research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
罕見的布林通道訊號的出現,加上有利的技術分析和宏觀經濟因素,顯示比特幣即將大幅上漲。雖然市場波動總是有可能的,但該技術指標的歷史表現為持續上漲動力提供了強有力的理由。投資者應密切注意比特幣的價格走勢,並考慮與加密貨幣投資相關的潛在風險。像往常一樣,在做出任何投資決定之前進行徹底的研究和盡職調查至關重要。
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