比特幣、以太坊訊號牛市，但可能重新測試

在12小時價格圖表上，比特幣和以太坊都呈現看漲的市場結構，關鍵回檔位作為支撐。儘管勢頭停滯和購買壓力較大，但較高的時間框架圖表表明看漲偏見。鯨魚累積仍在繼續，但接近當前比特幣價格的流動性可能會阻礙重大突破。以太坊面臨短期阻力，而其 OBV 缺乏動力，這表明在下一次反彈之前可能會暫停。

Bitcoin and Ethereum Showcase Bullish Market Structure, But Retest Remains a Possibility

比特幣和以太幣展現看漲的市場結構，但重新測試仍有可能

Introduction

介紹

The cryptocurrency market has witnessed a bullish trend in the past week, with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) showcasing a strong market structure. The key retracement levels have been defended so far, but the possibility of a retest cannot be ruled out.

過去一周，加密貨幣市場呈現看漲趨勢，比特幣（BTC）和以太幣（ETH）展現出強勁的市場結構。目前關鍵回調位已被守住，但不排除重新測試的可能性。

Bitcoin: Stalled Momentum and Accumulation

比特幣：停滯的動力與積累

Bitcoin has seen a stalling of buying pressure and momentum. The Fibonacci retracement levels indicate that the 50% retracement level acted as support in mid-March. Bitcoin was trading at $50k at press time, demonstrating a decent reaction to support.

比特幣的購買壓力和勢頭已經停滯。斐波那契回檔位顯示 50% 回檔位在 3 月中旬起到了支撐作用。截至發稿時，比特幣交易價格為 5 萬美元，顯示出對支撐的良好反應。

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 12-hour chart stands at only 57, suggesting bullish momentum but not significant strength. The Chaikin Money Flow hovers at +0.01, requiring an ascent above +0.05 to indicate a substantial capital inflow.

然而，12小時圖上的相對強弱指數（RSI）僅為57，顯示看漲勢頭但並未顯著走強。柴金資金流量徘徊在 +0.01，需要上升到 +0.05 以上才能顯示大量資本流入。

The market structure on the 12-hour chart remains bullish. A decline below $60.7k would shift the market structure to bearish.

12小時圖上的市場結構仍看漲。跌破 60,700 美元將使市場結構轉向看跌。

Ethereum: Resistance at LTF, Accumulating Trades

以太坊：LTF 處的阻力，累積交易

Ethereum has also experienced a cooling of momentum over the past two weeks. Its 12-hour RSI indicates bullishness at 54. The market structure is likewise bullish, and the 78.6% retracement level has been well-defended by buyers.

以太坊在過去兩週也經歷了勢頭降溫。其 12 小時 RSI 為 54，顯示看漲。市場結構同樣看漲，78.6% 的回撤位已受到買家的有力防守。

Despite the buying volume in the preceding ten days, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) failed to initiate an uptrend. It has retraced to levels approaching January highs, even though ETH's price has surged by 40%.

儘管前十天有大量買盤，但平衡量（OBV）未能啟動上升趨勢。儘管 ETH 的價格已飆升 40%，但它已回落至接近 1 月高點的水平。

This lack of demand suggests Ethereum bulls may require time to regroup before initiating another rally. At press time, ETH faces near-term resistance at $3680.

需求的缺乏表明，以太坊多頭可能需要時間重新組合，然後才能發起另一次反彈。截至發稿，ETH 面臨近期阻力位 3,680 美元。

Whales Accumulate, Speculators Remain Bullish

鯨魚吸籌，投機者仍看漲

Whale accumulation of both Bitcoin and Ethereum has been significant, indicating a bullish outlook for the long term. Liquidity levels are high near current prices, potentially hindering breakout attempts in either direction.

比特幣和以太坊的鯨魚累積量都很大，顯示長期前景看好。流動性水平接近當前價格，可能會​​阻礙任一方向的突破嘗試。

The futures market exhibits bullish conviction among speculators. Open Interest has risen considerably since March 17th, indicating increased participation and optimism.

期貨市場表現出投機者的看漲信念。自 3 月 17 日以來，未平倉合約大幅增加，顯示參與度和樂觀情緒增加。

Conclusion

結論

Bitcoin and Ethereum maintain a bullish market structure, but the possibility of a retest remains. The stall in momentum and lack of significant capital inflow suggest cautiousness among traders. However, whale accumulation and bullish sentiment in the futures market offer positive signals for the long term.

比特幣和以太幣維持看漲的市場結構，但重新測試的可能性仍然存在。動能停滯和缺乏大量資本流入表明交易者持謹慎態度。然而，鯨魚的累積和期貨市場的看漲情緒為長期提供了正面的訊號。

It is crucial for investors to monitor key support and resistance levels, along with technical indicators, to make informed trading decisions. The cryptocurrency market remains volatile, and prudent risk management should always be a priority.

對於投資者來說，監控關鍵支撐位和阻力位以及技術指標對於做出明智的交易決策至關重要。加密貨幣市場仍然波動，審慎的風險管理應始終是首要任務。