隨著選舉猜測升溫，比特幣 ETF 流入量創歷史新高

美國比特幣 ETF 創下自成立以來的最高單日流入量，週二累計流入 8.7 億美元。這項投資激增恰逢比特幣逐漸逼近 73,700 美元的歷史高點

US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw their highest daily inflows since their launch, raking in a substantial $870 million on Tuesday, as per Bloomberg data. This surge in investment corresponds with Bitcoin’s ascent towards its all-time high of $73,700, attained in March.

根據彭博社的數據，美國比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 創下自推出以來的最高單日流入量，週二流入金額高達 8.7 億美元。這項投資激增與比特幣升至 3 月創下的 73,700 美元歷史高點相對應。

Apparent enthusiasm among investors is fueled by speculation regarding a potential victory by Republican candidate Donald Trump over Vice President Kamala Harris. Many anticipate that such an outcome would foster a favorable climate for the digital asset ecosystem, ultimately benefiting crypto prices.

關於共和黨候選人唐納德·川普可能戰勝副總統卡馬拉·哈里斯的猜測加劇了投資者的熱情。許多人預計，這樣的結果將為數位資產生態系統營造有利的氛圍，最終將有利於加密貨幣價格。

The subscriptions on Tuesday pushed the year-to-date inflows for the group of 12 Bitcoin ETFs to over $23 billion, according to Bloomberg. Analysts attribute the growing demand for Bitcoin exposure to Trump’s improving odds in election betting markets.

根據彭博社報道，週二的認購將 12 隻比特幣 ETF 的今年迄今的資金流入推至超過 230 億美元。分析師將對比特幣的需求不斷增長歸因於川普在選舉博彩市場的勝算不斷提高。

However, while Trump leads in prediction markets, polls indicate a close race against Vice President Harris, who has pledged support for a regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency industry.

然而，儘管川普在預測市場上處於領先地位，但民調顯示，他與副總統哈里斯的競爭非常激烈，後者已承諾支持加密貨幣行業的監管框架。

Despite this, Trump's stance on crypto seems to align more closely with the community's sentiments.

儘管如此，川普對加密貨幣的立場似乎更符合社群的情緒。

Adding to the speculative fervor, Bitcoin options markets suggest a one-third probability of a price fluctuation exceeding 10% on election day, November 5. According to Nick Forster, founder of crypto trading platform Derive.xyz, such volatility often prompts traders to anticipate potential market movements, which contributes to the demand for Bitcoin ETFs and the current price rally.

比特幣選擇權市場表明，在11 月5 日選舉日，價格波動超過10% 的可能性有三分之一，這加劇了投機熱情。波動往往會促使交易者預期潛在的市場走勢，這有助於比特幣 ETF 的需求和當前的價格上漲。

ETF expert Eric Balchunas also commented on the bullish sentiment, stating that these funds are on track to reach 1 million BTC in holdings as early as today. In a recent social media post, Balchunas noted that US spot ETFs could surpass 1 million BTC by next Wednesday, and the funds’ holdings might outpace Bitcoin’s mysterious creator, Satoshi Nakamoto's stash by mid-December, with the funds adding roughly 17,000 BTC each week.

ETF 專家 Eric Balchunas 也對看漲情緒發表了評論，表示這些基金的持有量最早預計將在今天達到 100 萬比特幣。 Balchunas 在最近的社群媒體貼文中指出，到下週三，美國現貨ETF 的持有量可能會超過100 萬BTC，到12 月中旬，這些基金的持有量可能會超過比特幣的神秘創造者中本聰的持有量，這些基金每週增加約17,000 BTC 。

Yet, after Tuesday's performance, Balchunas remarked, “We’re going to need to move up our predictions,” highlighting that Bitcoin ETFs had acquired over 12,000 coins in just one day, now holding a total of 996,000 BTC. He expressed optimism about breaching the 1 million mark soon, given the “extraordinary” trading volume from the previous day, which is likely to translate into significant inflows.

然而，在周二的表現之後，巴爾丘納斯表示，“我們需要提高我們的預測”，並強調比特幣ETF 在短短一天內就購買了超過12,000 個比特幣，目前總共持有996,000 個比特幣。鑑於前一天交易量“異常”，他對很快突破 100 萬大關表示樂觀，這可能會轉化為大量資金流入。

Balchunas also cautioned about the fluidity of market conditions, adding, “Anything can happen,” and highlighting the potential for a sudden selloff that could delay reaching the 1 million BTC milestone.

Balchunas 也對市場狀況的流動性提出警告，並補充道，“任何事情都有可能發生”，並強調了突然拋售的可能性，這可能會延遲達到 100 萬比特幣的里程碑。

On the other hand, if Bitcoin prices continue to rise and a Trump victory sparks market enthusiasm, fear of missing out (FOMO) could drive even more rapid accumulation.

另一方面，如果比特幣價格繼續上漲並且川普的勝利激發了市場熱情，那麼對錯過機會（FOMO）的恐懼可能會推動更快速的累積。

At the latest update, Bitcoin's price showed an upward trend, trading at $72,360, up over 8% in the past 7 days.

在最新的更新中，比特幣的價格呈現上漲趨勢，交易價格為 72,360 美元，過去 7 天上漲超過 8%。