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比特幣 [BTC] 在未能維持 6.6 萬美元的水平後,可能會出現價格調整。 AMBCrypto 的分析表明,61,000 美元可能成為下一個支撐位,標誌著關鍵底部。
Bitcoin’s recent failure to hold on to the $66K price level has opened up the possibility of a price correction. AMBCrypto’s analysis suggests that the next support could be at $61K, which might also mark a key bottom.
比特幣最近未能守住 6.6 萬美元的價格水平,開啟了價格調整的可能性。 AMBCrypto 的分析表明,下一個支撐位可能是 61,000 美元,這也可能標誌著一個關鍵底部。
Historically, altcoin seasons have followed Bitcoin’s bottoming. If this pattern repeats, then the current dip could trigger the next Altcoin Season.
從歷史上看,山寨幣季節是在比特幣觸底之後出現的。如果這種模式重複,那麼當前的下跌可能會觸發下一個山寨幣季節。
Bitcoin’s market dominance currently stands at 57.37%, which has significantly declined from its recent peak of 58.59% ten days ago. This falling dominance may indicate growing confidence in altcoins.
比特幣的市場主導地位目前為 57.37%,較十天前的近期高峰 58.59% 大幅下降。這種主導地位的下降可能表明人們對山寨幣的信心不斷增強。
To put things in perspective, BTC tested the $66K overhead resistance after a steady uptrend in the past two days, allowing many stakeholders to book profits. Their exit could, in turn, mark the next bottom.
從長遠來看,BTC 在過去兩天的穩定上漲趨勢後測試了 6.6 萬美元的上方阻力位,這讓許多利益相關者得以獲利了結。反過來,他們的退出可能標誌著下一個底部。
Moreover, this dip might attract renewed interest from hodlers, setting the stage for potential altcoin growth.
此外,這種下跌可能會重新吸引持有者的興趣,為潛在的山寨幣成長奠定基礎。
Currently, 17 out of the top 50 coins are ranked above Bitcoin, resulting in a 34% altcoin dominance.
目前,前 50 名代幣中有 17 種排名高於比特幣,山寨幣佔據 34% 的主導地位。
With many altcoins showing bullish momentum during the recent rally, another cycle might be needed to begin the next altcoin season. Hence, keeping an eye on the upcoming Bitcoin cycle is necessary to gauge when these coins might start to rally. In simpler terms…
由於許多山寨幣在最近的反彈中表現出看漲勢頭,可能需要另一個週期才能開始下一個山寨幣季節。因此,有必要密切注意即將到來的比特幣週期,以判斷這些代幣何時可能開始反彈。簡單來說…
Bitcoin consolidation might be the key
比特幣整合可能是關鍵
While the market enthusiasm hints at a bullish start for Bitcoin in October, a different narrative unfolds when observing the daily price chart.
雖然市場熱情暗示比特幣在 10 月將迎來看漲開局,但觀察每日價格圖表時,卻出現了不同的情況。
If the mid-July rally repeats – wherein BTC bulls bounced off the $66K resistance and went on to breach the $68K level – Bitcoin dominance may be reinstated, diminishing the prospects of an altcoin season.
如果 7 月中旬的反彈重演——比特幣多頭從 6.6 萬美元的阻力位反彈並繼續突破 6.8 萬美元的水平——比特幣的主導地位可能會恢復,從而削弱山寨幣季節的前景。
However, the sharp decline in the RSI indicated a loss in buying momentum. Should Bitcoin enter a consolidation phase, it could allow major altcoins to take the center stage.
然而,RSI 大幅下跌表明買盤動力減弱。如果比特幣進入整合階段,它可能會讓主要的山寨幣佔據中心舞台。
Moreover, rising USDT outflows suggested that more stablecoins were being withdrawn from the exchanges.
此外,USDT 流出量的增加表明更多的穩定幣正在從交易所撤出。
Historically, such withdrawals often coincided with Bitcoin losing a major resistance zone, prompting investors to turn to USDT as a safer bet.
從歷史上看,此類提款通常與比特幣失去主要阻力區同時發生,促使投資者轉向 USDT 作為更安全的投資。
Furthermore, these investors found altcoins to be more attractive assets while waiting for Bitcoin to dip.
此外,這些投資者在等待比特幣下跌時發現山寨幣是更具吸引力的資產。
As a result, liquidity flowed into altcoins, which were cheaper alternatives, especially during increasing volatility.
結果,流動性流入山寨幣,這是更便宜的替代品,尤其是在波動性加劇的情況下。
To summarize, if BTC consolidates at or below $64K, investors may choose to diversify their portfolios, potentially leading to a surge in altcoins.
總而言之,如果 BTC 盤整於 6.4 萬美元或以下,投資者可能會選擇分散投資組合,這可能導致山寨幣價格飆升。
The season might be around the corner
季節可能即將來臨
Apart from the market sentiments, AMBCrypto’s analysis also found a hidden pattern in the historical trends.
除了市場情緒之外,AMBCrypto 的分析還發現了歷史趨勢中隱藏的模式。
Interestingly, when BTC dominance bottomed six years ago, a reversal occurred 761 days later, marking the beginning of an altcoin season.
有趣的是,當 BTC 的主導地位在六年前觸底時,761 天後發生了逆轉,標誌著山寨幣季節的開始。
In essence, this pattern suggests that a similar timeline could signal the next altcoin season soon.
從本質上講,這種模式表明類似的時間線可能預示著下一個山寨幣季節很快就會到來。
In other words, if Bitcoin dominance is currently declining, it could eventually lead to a resurgence in altcoin values if history were to repeat itself.
換句話說,如果比特幣的主導地位目前正在下降,如果歷史重演,它最終可能會導致山寨幣價值的復甦。
Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25
閱讀比特幣 [BTC] 2024-25 價格預測
As highlighted earlier, the current market conditions signaled an optimal time for altcoins to surge, driven by declining Bitcoin dominance, increasing USDT outflows, and a historical pattern supporting this event.
正如前面所強調的,當前的市場狀況預示著山寨幣飆升的最佳時機,這是由比特幣主導地位下降、USDT 外流增加以及支持這一事件的歷史模式所推動的。
Overall, keeping an eye on these factors is crucial. If BTC slips into consolidation – which seems likely – the next altcoin season could be triggered.
總的來說,關注這些因素至關重要。如果 BTC 陷入整合(這似乎是有可能的),則可能會觸發下一個山寨幣季節。
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