到2030年，比特幣（加密：BTC）的價格可能達到148萬美元，方舟投資預測

4月2日，美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布，除了對特定國家 /地區的一系列更高的“倒數”關稅外，還計劃對進入美國的所有商品徵收10％的關稅。

In a surprising move that has potential to influence the cryptocurrency market, a new report by Cathie Wood's Ark Investment Management predicts that Bitcoin could reach a staggering price of $1.48 million by 2030. This prediction, which is based on eight key factors that could drive Bitcoin's value over the next seven years, suggests an astounding potential upside of 1,715% from current levels.

在一個令人驚訝的舉動中，有可能影響加密貨幣市場的潛力，凱茜·伍德（Cathie Wood）的方舟投資管理公司的一份新報告預測，到2030年，比特幣可能達到148萬美元的驚人價格。這一預測是基於八個關鍵因素，在接下來的七年中可能會驅動比特幣的價值，這表明在未來七年中佔據了高度的上升潛力。

While the concept of Bitcoin hitting a seven-figure price point might seem far-fetched to some, it's not entirely uncharted territory. Earlier this year, President Trump unveiled the creation of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve for the U.S. government, aiming to diversify the nation's assets and provide a buffer against economic instability. This initiative, which focuses on acquiring Bitcoin seized from criminals and bad actors, could pave the way for other countries to follow suit.

儘管比特幣達到七位數的價格點的概念似乎對某些人來說似乎很牽強，但這並不是完全未知的領域。今年早些時候，特朗普總統推出了為美國政府創建戰略性比特幣儲備，旨在使國家資產多樣化並提供防止經濟不穩定的緩衝。該倡議的重點是從犯罪分子和不良行為者那裡獲取比特幣，這可能為其他國家效仿的道路鋪平了道路。

As the report by Ark, a firm renowned for its bold investment strategies, unfolds, it becomes clear that the integration of Bitcoin into mainstream financial institutions and the economic landscape could propel the cryptocurrency to unprecedented heights.

正如Ark的報告是一家以其大膽的投資策略而聞名的公司，很明顯，比特幣將比特幣整合到主流金融機構和經濟格局中可能會推動加密貨幣的前所未有的高度。

"We predict that, by 2026, institutions will hold about 1–6.5% of their total asset base in Bitcoin. This buildup will occur as financial advisors add small positions in Bitcoin to their client portfolios, and institutional investors, such as pension funds and insurance companies, make modest allocations to Bitcoin in their investment strategies. The availability of Bitcoin ETFs, which provide a safe and regulated vehicle for institutions to invest in the cryptocurrency, will facilitate this process."

“我們預測，到2026年，機構將佔其在比特幣中總資產總數的1-6.5％。這種建築將發生，因為財務顧問在其客戶投資組合中增加了少量的比特幣頭寸，養老基金和保險公司的機構投資者（例如，為其提供了用於比特幣的養老金策略）的機構投資者。加密貨幣將有助於這一過程。”

At the same time, investors could shift a portion of their gold allocation to Bitcoin, recognizing its properties as digital scarcity and portability.

同時，投資者可以將其部分黃金分配轉移到比特幣，並承認其財產是數字稀缺性和可移植性。

"Given Bitcoin's role as digital gold and its ability to hedge inflation, we anticipate investors moving 20–50% of their usual gold allocation to Bitcoin. This shift will factor in Bitcoin's 180-day realized volatility, which tends to be lower than gold's, and the fact that Bitcoin is digital, isn't owned or operated by any company, and isn't imported, rendering it immune to tariffs or trade issues."

鑑於比特幣作為數字黃金的作用及其對沖通貨膨脹的能力，我們預計投資者將其通常的黃金分配的20-50％移至比特幣。這種轉變將因比特幣的180天實現的波動而造成比特幣的波動性，這往往低於黃金，而事實則比比特幣是數字化的，並不是任何公司擁有或不受任何公司的交易，也不會導致任何公司，也不會進口或不斷進口。

This analysis highlights the unique characteristics of Bitcoin that could drive its value to new highs, especially in the current economic climate. However, it's important to note that these predictions are based on extrapolations and estimations, and the actual price movements of Bitcoin will depend on a complex interplay of market forces, regulatory changes, and macroeconomic trends.

該分析強調了比特幣的獨特特徵，這些特徵可能會推動其價值推向新的高點，尤其是在當前的經濟環境中。但是，重要的是要注意，這些預測是基於外推和估計的，比特幣的實際價格變動將取決於市場力量，監管變化和宏觀經濟趨勢的複雜相互作用。

As the report by Ark further indicates, Bitcoin's role as a store of value and its ability to hedge against economic uncertainty could make it an increasingly attractive asset for diverse investors.

正如ARK的報告進一步指出的那樣，比特幣作為價值存儲的作用及其對沖經濟不確定性的能力可能使其成為多元化投資者越來越有吸引力的資產。

"We project that, by 2030, Bitcoin's price could reach $1.48 million, and its market capitalization might approach $31 trillion, dwarfing the market cap of Apple- (NASDAQ:AAPL) which is about $3 trillion today. Moreover, this level of valuation for Bitcoin would be comparable to the total value of above-ground gold reserves, which currently stand at $21 trillion."

“我們預計，到2030年，比特幣的價格可能達到148萬美元，其市值可能接近31萬億美元，使蘋果的市值相比，蘋果（Nasdaq：aapl）的市值達到了今天的30萬億美元。此外，比特幣的估值水平可與現有的基地金儲備的總價值相提並論，目前是$ 21 TRILL，$ 21 TRILL AND $ 21 TRILL $ 21 TRILL $ 21 TRILL。

This projection underscores the potential magnitude of Bitcoin's appreciation, which could yield massive returns for early investors. However, it's crucial to emphasize that Bitcoin remains a speculative investment, and investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals.

該預測強調了比特幣欣賞的潛在幅度，這可能會給早期投資者帶來巨大的回報。但是，重要的是要強調比特幣仍然是投機性的投資，投資者應仔細考慮其風險承受能力和投資目標。

"If Bitcoin's market cap were to rise to match the market cap of gold, it would translate to a price of about $1 million per coin. Considering Bitcoin's current price of roughly $81,000, this would still represent a 12-fold return for investors. In the current economic and political climate, we believe a small percentage (1%) allocation to Bitcoin in a diversified portfolio could be beneficial for investors.

“如果比特幣的市值要匹配黃金的市值，它將轉化為每枚硬幣約100萬美元的價格。考慮到比特幣目前的價格約為81,000美元，這仍然代表投資者的12倍回報。在當前的經濟和政治氣氛中，我們相信對比特幣（1％）分配給比特幣在多元化的Portforio中分配了一定的投資。

Despite the potential gains, it's essential to approach cryptocurrency investments with caution and prioritize a balanced investment strategy that aligns with individual financial goals and risk tolerance. As investors navigate the dynamic cryptocurrency landscape, staying informed about market trends, regulatory changes, and the broader economic outlook will be crucial in making sound investment decisions.

儘管有潛在的收益，但必須謹慎進行加密貨幣投資，並優先考慮平衡的投資策略，該策略與個人財務目標和風險承受能力保持一致。當投資者駕駛動態的加密貨幣景觀時，請了解到市場趨勢，監管變化以及更廣泛的經濟前景對於做出合理的投資決策至關重要。