比特幣現金 2024 年減半：綜合分析顯示價格調整與未來上漲趨勢

比特幣現金的第二次減半計畫於 2024 年 4 月 3 日進行，區塊高度為 84 萬，區塊獎勵從 6.25 減少至 3.125。 2020 年第一次減半導致價格大幅上漲，但目前的市場狀況，包括持續的上漲趨勢和超買 RSI，顯示減半後可能會出現回調，然後才會出現長期復甦。

Bitcoin Cash Halving 2024: A Comprehensive Analysis and Price Prediction

2024 年比特幣現金減半：綜合分析與價格預測

Key Insights:

重要見解：

• Bitcoin Cash's second halving is scheduled for April 3, 2024, at 15:00 UTC.
• The halving will reduce block rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 BCH, significantly affecting the cryptocurrency's supply and demand dynamics.
• Historical data suggests the potential for both a price correction and a sustained uptrend following the halving.

The Halving Event

比特幣現金的第二次減半計劃於2024 年4 月3 日15:00 UTC 進行。減半將使區塊獎勵從6.25 BCH 減少至3.125 BCH，顯著影響加密貨幣的供需動態。歷史數據表明價格調整和減半的可能性。減半後持續上升趨勢。減半事件

Bitcoin Cash, a fork of the original Bitcoin blockchain, has undergone a halving event every four years since its inception in 2017. This event, designed to maintain a predictable issuance schedule, reduces the number of BCH tokens minted in each newly added block by half.

比特幣現金是原始比特幣區塊鏈的一個分叉，自2017 年誕生以來，每四年就會經歷一次減半事件。該事件旨在維持可預測的發行時間表，將每個新添加的區塊中鑄造的BCH 代幣數量減少一半。

The upcoming halving is a critical milestone in Bitcoin Cash's history, as it will further limit the total supply of BCH. With only 21 million BCH coins set to be mined, this halving represents a significant decline in the cryptocurrency's issuance rate.

即將到來的減半是比特幣現金歷史上的一個重要里程碑，因為它將進一步限制 BCH 的總供應量。由於只有 2,100 萬枚 BCH 代幣將被開採，此次減半意味著該加密貨幣的發行率大幅下降。

Impact of Past Halvings

過去減半的影響

The first Bitcoin Cash halving occurred on April 10, 2020. At the time, BCH was trading around $250. After the halving, the price entered a consolidation phase for approximately 250 days, trading within a 50% range.

第一次比特幣現金減半發生在 2020 年 4 月 10 日。當時，BCH 的交易價格約為 250 美元。減半後，價格進入了大約250天的盤整階段，在50%的區間內交易。

In December 2020, however, the BCH price embarked on a parabolic upward trend, fueled by the reduced supply and growing demand. This trend culminated in a high of $1,644 in May 2021.

然而，2020 年 12 月，在供應減少和需求成長的推動下，BCH 價格開始呈現拋物線上漲趨勢。這一趨勢在 2021 年 5 月達到 1,644 美元的高點。

Current Market Conditions

目前的市場狀況

In anticipation of the second halving, the BCH price has witnessed a significant increase. However, the market conditions preceding this halving differ markedly from those of 2020.

在第二次減半的預期下，BCH價格大幅上漲。然而，減半前的市場狀況與 2020 年明顯不同。

While the price correction that preceded the previous halving lasted nearly 300 days, the BCH price has followed an upward trajectory this time around. Additionally, the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), an indicator of market momentum, is currently deep into overbought territory, unlike its neutral reading in 2020.

雖然上一次減半前的價格調整持續了近 300 天，但這次 BCH 價格卻遵循了上漲的軌跡。此外，與 2020 年的中性讀數不同，作為市場動能指標的每週相對強弱指數 (RSI) 目前已深入超買區域。

Price Prediction

價格預測

Technical analysis suggests that the BCH price may face a correction after the halving. A five-wave upward movement, which began in June 2023, appears to have culminated in a high of $705 on April 1.

技術分析表明，BCH價格可能在減半後面臨回調。自 2023 年 6 月開始的五波上漲運動似乎在 4 月 1 日達到了 705 美元的高點。

Subsequent weakness and bearish divergence in the daily RSI indicate the potential for a retracement towards the closest support level at $460. This bearish view could be invalidated if BCH breaks above $705, which would open up the path towards the next resistance at $834.

隨後每日 RSI 的疲軟和看跌背離表明有可能回撤至最近的支撐位 460 美元。如果 BCH 突破 705 美元，這種看跌觀點可能會失效，這將為下一個阻力位 834 美元開闢道路。

Conclusion

結論

The Bitcoin Cash halving in 2024 is a major event with the potential to significantly impact the cryptocurrency's price. While historical trends suggest both a correction and a sustained uptrend post-halving, the unique market conditions surrounding this event make it difficult to predict its precise outcome.

2024 年比特幣現金減半是一件重大事件，有可能對加密貨幣的價格產生重大影響。雖然歷史趨勢顯示減半後會出現修正和持續上升趨勢，但圍繞這一事件的獨特市場條件使得很難預測其準確結果。

Traders and investors should carefully monitor market developments and technical indicators to make informed decisions regarding their Bitcoin Cash positions. As with any cryptocurrency investment, thorough research and risk management are essential.

交易者和投資者應仔細監控市場發展和技術指標，以便就其比特幣現金部位做出明智的決定。與任何加密貨幣投資一樣，徹底的研究和風險管理至關重要。