比特幣多頭著眼於下一步行動之前的更深層回調

比特幣多頭正在關注近期上漲後的更深層回調。隨著減半的臨近，在看漲走勢之前可能會出現「賣出事件」下跌。 59,400 美元和 55,500 美元的支撐位至關重要，因為跌破 50,500 美元可能預示著看跌逆轉。突破 7.37 萬美元將表明 BTC 市場結構繼續看漲。

Will Bitcoin Bulls Wait for a Deeper Retracement?

比特幣多頭會等待更深的回檔嗎？

Bitcoin [BTC] has experienced a retracement of its recent gains. With the halving approaching, a short-term "sell the event" decline may occur before bulls regain momentum.

比特幣 [BTC] 經歷了近期漲幅的回撤。隨著減半的臨近，在多頭重新獲得動力之前，可能會出現短期的「賣出事件」下跌。

Bullish Structure, but Support Levels Key

看漲結構，但支撐位關鍵

BTC's daily market structure remains bullish, but a drop below $50.5k would signal a bearish reversal. Conversely, a move above $73.7k would indicate bullish continuation. Support levels at $59.4k and $55.5k are crucial for maintaining the uptrend.

BTC 的每日市場結構仍然看漲，但跌破 5.05 萬美元將預示著看跌逆轉。相反，突破 73,700 美元將表明看漲持續。 59,400 美元和 55,500 美元的支撐位對於維持上升趨勢至關重要。

Momentum Waning, Liquidity Targets Identified

勢頭減弱，流動性目標已確定

Momentum indicators suggest that buyers have lost their advantage. The OBV has approached a support level, indicating that buyers may struggle to sustain prices above $60k. Liquidation levels around $60.8k, $57.2k, and $55k present potential targets for bears.

動能指標顯示買家已經失去了優勢。 OBV 已接近支撐位，顯示買家可能難以將價格維持在 6 萬美元以上。 6.08 萬美元、5.72 萬美元和 5.5 萬美元左右的清算水準是空頭的潛在目標。

Ethereum's Retest Rejected

以太坊的重新測試被拒絕

Ethereum [ETH] has already tested its 78.6% retracement level. Despite a strong bullish reaction, the bulls faced rejection below $3600. The OBV and RSI indicate that the retracement may not be complete, with a potential drop to $3160 or lower.

以太幣 [ETH] 已經測試了 78.6% 的回撤水準。儘管看漲反應強烈，但多頭在 3,600 美元下方遭遇拒絕。 OBV 和 RSI 表明回調可能尚未完成，有可能跌至 3160 美元或更低。

Liquidity Pockets and On-Chain Metrics

流動性口袋和鏈上指標

A significant liquidity pocket at $3000 could be tested soon. On-chain metrics provide mixed signals. The MVRV ratio remains positive, indicating that holders are still in profit. However, the dormant circulation metric has marked recent local tops, which could indicate panic selling.

3000 美元的重要流動資金可能很快就會受到考驗。鏈上指標提供了混合訊號。 MVRV 比率仍為正值，表示持有者仍在獲利。然而，休眠流通指標已達到近期局部最高點，這可能表示出現恐慌性拋售。

Solana's Upward Trajectory

Solana 的上升軌跡

Solana [SOL] has maintained its bullish momentum, despite the retracements in BTC and ETH. Bulls have yet to break below the 50% retracement level. The OBV and RSI support the bullish trend.

儘管 BTC 和 ETH 出現回調，但 Solana [SOL] 仍保持看漲勢頭。多頭尚未跌破 50% 回檔位。 OBV 和 RSI 支援看漲趨勢。

Support Levels and Indicator Analysis

支撐位和指標分析

Support levels at $106.9 and $128.8 could be retested if BTC falls below $60k. However, indicators suggest that a deep retracement is unlikely. The spot CVD and Open Interest indicate that bullish conviction is not strong yet, but selling pressure is also subdued.

如果 BTC 跌破 6 萬美元，則可能會重新測試 106.9 美元和 128.8 美元的支撐位。然而，指標顯示深度回調的可能性不大。現貨CVD和未平倉合約顯示看漲信心尚不強烈，但拋售壓力也減弱。

Overall Market Outlook

整體市場展望

Despite the recent retracements, all three markets maintain a long-term bullish bias. A Bitcoin move above $73k is expected, given the recent demand. The losses of the past two weeks may prove to be a temporary setback in the overall uptrend.

儘管近期出現回調，但三個市場均保持長期看漲傾向。鑑於近期的需求，比特幣預計將突破 7.3 萬美元。過去兩週的下跌可能只是整體上漲趨勢中的暫時挫折。