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由於強於預期的經濟數據推高了美國公債殖利率,給比特幣等風險資產帶來了下行壓力,加密貨幣已經失勢
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) price dropped further on Thursday evening, falling below the $94,000 level as investors continued to reassess the outlook for interest rates in 2024.
由於投資者繼續重新評估 2024 年利率前景,比特幣(BTCUSD)價格週四晚間進一步下跌,跌破 94,000 美元水準。
The cryptocurrency lost ground throughout the day as stronger-than-expected economic data drove up Treasury yields, putting downward pressure on risk-on assets amid concerns that the Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates again.
由於強於預期的經濟數據推高了美國公債殖利率,由於擔心聯準會可能不會再次降息,加密貨幣全天下跌,給風險資產帶來下行壓力。
Notably, spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw their second-largest daily outflow on Wednesday, indicating caution toward the asset class among institutional investors.
值得注意的是,現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)週三出現了第二大日流出量,顯示機構投資者對該資產類別持謹慎態度。
Bitcoin had surged more than double over the past year, with the cryptocurrency rising about 33% since November’s election on expectations that the incoming Trump administration and a crypto-friendly Congress will pave the way for a more-favorable regulatory landscape.
比特幣在過去一年飆升了一倍多,自11 月大選以來,加密貨幣上漲了約33%,因為人們預期即將上任的川普政府和對加密貨幣友好的國會將為更有利的監管環境鋪路。
Bitcoin was trading at $93,500 late Thursday, down slightly from the day before and well below the high for the week on Monday of near $103,000. The cryptocurrency set an all-time high of around $108,000 in mid-December.
週四晚間,比特幣交易價格為 93,500 美元,較前一天小幅下跌,遠低於週一接近 103,000 美元的本周高點。該加密貨幣在 12 月中旬創下了 108,000 美元左右的歷史新高。
Below, we break down the technicals on bitcoin’s chart and point out important price levels to watch out for.
下面,我們詳細分析了比特幣圖表上的技術面,並指出了需要關注的重要價格水準。
Bearish Engulfing Pattern Halts New Year Rally
看跌吞沒模式阻止了新年漲勢
Bitcoin’s price faced significant selling pressure after setting an all-time high (ATH). More recently, the cryptocurrency formed a bearish engulfing pattern to halt last week’s rally back above the closely watched $100K level.
比特幣的價格在創下歷史新高(ATH)後面臨巨大的拋售壓力。最近,加密貨幣形成了一種看跌吞噬模式,阻止了上週反彈至備受關注的 10 萬美元水準之上。
In addition, the relative strength index (RSI) dropped below the 50 threshold and the price fell decisively under the respected 50-day moving average (MA), signaling a weakening in buying momentum.
此外,相對強弱指數(RSI)跌破50關口,價格果斷跌破受人尊敬的50日移動平均線(MA),顯示買盤動力減弱。
Let’s turn to bitcoin’s chart to identify key support and resistance levels that investors will likely be following closely.
讓我們來看看比特幣的圖表,以確定投資者可能會密切關注的關鍵支撐位和阻力位。
Key Support Levels to Watch
值得關注的關鍵支撐位
The first key support level to watch sits around $92,000. This zone may find buying interest near the late-November retracement low and December trough, as well as from the lower trendline of a potential new descending channel forming on the chart.
值得關注的第一個關鍵支撐位位於 92,000 美元左右。該區域可能會在 11 月底回撤低點和 12 月低點附近以及圖表上形成的潛在新下降通道的較低趨勢線處發現買盤興趣。
Selling below the area could see a move down to the $87,000 level, a location on the chart where bitcoin bulls may seek entry points beneath a pennant pattern that preceded the cryptocurrency’s move to its record high.
低於該區域的賣出可能會跌至 87,000 美元的水平,在圖表上的這個位置,比特幣多頭可能會在加密貨幣升至歷史高點之前的三角旗模式下尋求切入點。
A decisive close below this level opens the door for a drop to around $74,000. Longer-term investors could look to accumulate the cryptocurrency in this region near the 200-day MA and prominent peaks in March and October. Such a move would represent a correction of around 20% from current prices.
若果斷收於該水平之下,則為跌至 74,000 美元左右打開大門。長期投資者可能會在 200 日均線附近以及 3 月和 10 月的顯著高峰附近累積加密貨幣。這項舉措將比當前價格調整約 20%。
Important Resistance Levels to Monitor
需要監控的重要阻力位
Returning bullish momentum could see another attempt at the psychological $100K mark, though this area on the chart may provide overhead resistance near a range of recent peaks and the descending channel’s upper trendline.
看漲勢頭的回歸可能會再次嘗試觸及 10 萬美元的心理關口,儘管圖表上的這一區域可能會在一系列近期峰值和下降通道的上部趨勢線附近提供上方阻力。
Buying above this level could prompt a retest of the important $106,000 level. Traders who have bought the latest pullback may look to lock in profits around this level.
在此水平之上買入可能會促使重新測試重要的 106,000 美元水平。買入最新回檔的交易者可能希望鎖定該水準附近的利潤。
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As of the date this article was written, the author does not own any of the above securities.
截至本文撰寫之日,作者不擁有任何上述證券。
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