比特幣（BTC）以正線結束一周，從76,00美元的低點反彈了近10分

比特幣上週以正線結束，而BTC從76,00美元的低點反彈了近10分。

Bitcoin (BTC) ended last week with a positive line, and BTC has rebounded nearly 10 points from the low of $76,600. At present, it is trading around the $81,000 mark, and the market is waiting to see whether Bitcoin can resume its upward trend in the short term.

比特幣（BTC）上週以正線結束，而BTC的低點從76,600美元的低點反彈了近10分。目前，它的交易約為81,000美元，市場正在等待比特幣在短期內恢復其上升趨勢。

Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, believes that it is still too early to close long positions or open short positions. He recommends closing short positions at the current stage, and it is very likely that Bitcoin will consolidate for another 8 months.

10倍研究的創始人馬庫斯·泰倫（Markus Thielen）認為，封閉長位置或打開短職位還為時過早。他建議在當前階段結束短職位，比特幣很可能會再合併8個月。

In the ETF market, the lack of motivation to "buy on dips" is evident. Most ETF fund inflows come from arbitrage-driven hedge funds, and the continued low funding rate also suppresses the willingness to further deploy capital.

在ETF市場中，缺乏“購買跌幅”的動力是顯而易見的。大多數ETF基金流入來自套利驅動的對沖基金，而持續的低資金率也壓制了進一步部署資本的意願。

Bitfinex analysts suggest that the current adjustment is a normal "washout" behavior, which may need to find a bottom in sync with the stock market (especially the S&P 500 index).

Bitfinex分析師表明，當前的調整是正常的“沖洗”行為，可能需要找到與股票市場同步的底部（尤其是標準普爾500指數）。

He pointed out that $72,000 to $73,000 constitutes a key support range, but Bitcoin's next move will be mainly dominated by macro factors such as global Treasury yields and stock market trends. Although the impact of the trade war has been digested by the market to a certain extent, continued economic pressure may further dampen market sentiment.

他指出，72,000美元至73,000美元構成了一個關鍵支持範圍，但比特幣的下一步行動將主要由諸如全球國庫收益率和股票市場趨勢等宏觀因素主導。儘管貿易戰的影響在一定程度上被市場消化，但持續的經濟壓力可能會進一步削弱市場的情緒。

It is worth noting that based on historical seasonal patterns, network economist Timothy Peterson predicts that Bitcoin is expected to hit a new high before June, with a median target price of $126,000.

值得注意的是，基於歷史季節性模式，網絡經濟學家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）預測，比特幣預計將在6月之前達到新的高位，中位目標價格為126,000美元。

However, economist Peter Schiff holds a pessimistic view. A 12% drop in the Nasdaq index could indicate a bigger drop for Bitcoin.

但是，經濟學家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）持悲觀的看法。納斯達克指數下降了12％，可能表明比特幣的下降更大。

Schiff analyzed that if the Nasdaq enters a bear market and falls 40%, the price of Bitcoin could fall to $20,000. In contrast, gold has a negative correlation with the Nasdaq and has risen 13% since December 16, 2023.

Schiff分析說，如果納斯達克進入熊市並下跌40％，那麼比特幣的價格可能會降至20,000美元。相比之下，黃金與納斯達克有負相關性，自2023年12月16日以來，黃金上升了13％。

In terms of market dynamics, the latest poll by Data For Progress shows that 51% of American voters oppose the government's inclusion of cryptocurrencies in its strategic reserves.

在市場動態方面，數據的最新民意調查表明，有51％的美國選民反對政府將加密貨幣納入其戰略儲備中。

At the same time, the number of bitcoins held by the hacker group Lazarus Group has reached 13,562, making North Korea the world's third largest bitcoin-holding state entity.

同時，黑客集團Lazarus集團持有的比特幣數量已達到13,562，使朝鮮成為世界第三大比特幣持有國家實體。

On the other hand, Binance founder Zhao Changpeng spent BNB to buy TST and mubarak over the weekend, which may lead to a recovery in the BNB chain market. GMGN data shows that in the past 24 hours, 7 Meme coin projects have a market value of more than $1 million, among which mubarak has a market value of nearly $150 million.

另一方面，Binance創始人Zhao Changpeng在周末花了BNB購買TST和Mubarak，這可能會導致BNB連鎖市場的恢復。 GMGN數據顯示，在過去的24小時中，7個模因硬幣項目的市場價值超過100萬美元，其中穆巴拉克的市場價值接近1.5億美元。

From March 17 to 23, major central banks around the world will usher in a highly anticipated "super week", with a number of central banks including the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England holding monetary policy meetings. The market generally expects central banks to keep interest rates unchanged, but investors need to pay close attention to the central bank's judgment on the economic outlook. Especially against the backdrop of uncertainty in Trump's trade policy, the central bank's attitude may have an important impact on market sentiment.

從3月17日至23日，全球主要的中央銀行將迎來備受期待的“超級週”，其中包括美聯儲，日本銀行和英格蘭銀行在內的許多中央銀行舉行貨幣政策會議。市場通常預計中央銀行將保持利率不變，但是投資者需要密切關注中央銀行對經濟前景的判斷。特別是在特朗普貿易政策不確定性的背景下，中央銀行的態度可能會對市場情緒產生重要影響。

Key data (as of 13:30 HKT on March 17)

關鍵數據（截至3月17日的13:30 HKT）

Bitcoin: $83,149.42 (-11.15% year-to-date), daily spot volume $24.523 billion

比特幣：$ 83,149.42（-11.15％至今），每日現貨量245.23億美元

Ethereum: $1,895.97 (-43.22% year-to-date), with a daily spot volume of $10.533 billion

以太坊：$ 1,895.97（-43.22％至今），每日現貨量為1053.3億美元

Fear of corruption index: 32 (fear)

恐懼腐敗指數：32（恐懼）

Average GAS: BTC 2 sat/vB, ETH 0.48 Gwei

平均氣體：BTC 2 SAT/VB，ETH 0.48 GWEI

Market share: BTC 60.77%, ETH 8.4%

市場份額：BTC 60.77％，ETH 8.4％

Upbit 24-hour trading volume ranking: XRP, AUCTION, BTC, STMX, VANA

UPBIT 24小時交易量排名：XRP，拍賣，BTC，STMX，VANA

24-hour BTC long-short ratio: 0.998

24小時BTC長短比：0.998

Sector ups and downs: Crypto market sectors generally fell, CeFi sector rose 2.71%, RWA sector rose 0.72%

行業起伏：加密市場部門通常下降，CEFI行業上漲了2.71％，RWA行業上漲了0.72％

24-hour liquidation data: A total of 94,553 people were liquidated worldwide, with a total liquidation amount of US$257 million, including BTC liquidation of US$95.26 million and ETH liquidation of US$44.77 million.

24小時清算數據：在全球範圍內，總共有94,553人清算，總清算額為2.57億美元，包括BTC清算952.6萬美元，ETH清算為4477萬美元。

ETF flows (as of March 14 EST)

ETF流動（截至美國東部時間3月14日）

Bitcoin ETF: -$68.41 million

比特幣ETF： - 6841萬美元

Ethereum ETF: -$35.3 million

以太坊ETF： - 3530萬美元

4. Important Dates (Hong Kong Time)

4。重要日期（香港時間）