比特幣[BTC]的價格低於$ 85K

在短暫下跌至7.6萬美元之後，比特幣[BTC]在圖表上的$ 85,000 - 移動Bitfinex Exchange分析師認為可能會穩定信號。

Bitcoin [BTC] has remained below $85k on the charts after a brief dip to $76k - A move Bitfinex exchange analysts believe could likely signal stabilisation.

在短暫跌至76K美元之後，比特幣[BTC]在圖表上仍保持低於$ 85K的價格 - 移動Bitfinex Exchange分析師認為可能會穩定信號。

In their weekly market report, the analysts noted that traders saw a realized loss of $818 million per day, a market flush that always precedes a potential bottom.

分析師在他們的每週市場報告中指出，交易者每天虧損8.18億美元，這一市場始終在潛在的底層之前。

“Such widespread capitulation often precedes market stabilisation, though geopolitical and macroeconomic concerns remain a significant overhang.”

“儘管地緣政治和宏觀經濟的關注仍然是一個重大的懸垂，但這種廣泛的投降通常在市場穩定之前就已經穩定了。”

However, short-term holders (STH) have been selling BTC at a loss for the first time since October 2024. This is a trend that, if extended, could complicate reversal efforts, the analysts added.

但是，分析師補充說，短期持有人（STH）自2024年10月以來一直在首次出售BTC。這是一種趨勢，如果擴大，可能會使逆轉努力複雜化。

They cited the Bitcoin Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which tracks traders’ profitability, as it dipped below 1. It indicated that holders have been selling at a loss.

他們引用了比特幣支出的產出利率（SOPR），該比特幣追踪了交易者的盈利能力，因為它降至1以下。表明持有人已經虧本出售。

“Short-term holder SOPR recorded its second-largest negative print of this cycle at 0.95, signalling that new market entrants are capitulating.”

“短期持有人SOPR記錄了其本週期的第二大負面印刷，這表明新的市場參與者正在傾斜。”

For the recovery shift, Bitfinex analysts claimed that SOPR must surge above 1 again, which would suggest ‘re-accumulation’ and ‘bullish continuation.’

對於恢復轉變，Bitfinex分析師聲稱，SOPR必須再次激增1，這將表明“重新佔領”和“看漲延續”。

The weak BTC demand corroborated Bitfinex’s warning. In fact, according to CryptoQuant’s data, demand for the cryptocurrency has remained negative since late February.

BTC薄弱的要求證實了Bitfinex的警告。實際上，根據CryptoQuant的數據，自2月下旬以來，對加密貨幣的需求一直是負面的。

U.S. spot BTC ETFs have bled $1.5 billion in the first half of March. In February alone, the product saw $3.56 billion outflows per Soso Value. They’ve seen over $5 billion bleed-out in the last 6 weeks.

在3月上半年，美國現貨BTC ETF損失了15億美元。僅在2月，該產品的每個SOSO價值就有35.6億美元的流出。在過去的6週內，他們看到了超過50億美元的出血。

Bitfinex analysts further warned that the mixed reading on U.S macroeconomic factors could still dent crypto markets. Despite Trump’s tariff wars, the U.S CPI inflation data came in cooler than expected for February.

Bitfinex分析師進一步警告說，美國宏觀經濟因素的混雜閱讀仍然可能抑制加密貨幣市場。儘管特朗普的關稅戰爭，但美國CPI通貨膨脹數據還是比2月預期的要涼爽。

Unfortunately, the market is not expecting any Fed rate cut in the next FOMC meeting scheduled for 19 March. Interest traders have been pricing a 97% chance that the Fed would keep the rates unchanged at the current target of 4.25%-4.50%.

不幸的是，該市場預計在計劃於3月19日舉行的下一次FOMC會議上會降低任何美聯儲率。利息交易者一直在定價97％的機會，即美聯儲將利率保持不變的目標為4.25％-4.4.50％。

There is only a 3% chance of a 25bps rate cut during next week’s FOMC meeting. As such, BTC could still be stuck in choppy waters in the short term.

在下週的FOMC會議上，只有3％的機會降低25bps率。因此，在短期內，BTC仍然可以被困在波濤洶湧的水域中。