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在過去一周中,比特幣(BTC)市場的損失比收益少,導致淨價格下跌2.37%。儘管如此,投資者和市場專家在當前的公牛跑步中仍然高度看漲了高級加密貨幣的大量收益的潛力。
Bitcoin price has been on a roller coaster ride in recent times, and after notching a new all-time high at $114,000 in March, the premier cryptocurrency has seen a downturn in performance. However, market experts remain bullish on BTC’s potential for substantial gains in the current bull run.
比特幣的價格近來一直在過山車上,在三月份的新歷史最高高點為114,000美元之後,總理加密貨幣的性能下降了。但是,市場專家仍然對BTC在當前的公牛奔跑中獲得可觀收益的潛力看漲。
In a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst touted Bitcoin to achieve a $150,000 price in the current bull cycle. The analyst, known as Percival, highlighted key on-chain metrics that could propel BTC to attain this ambitious price target.
在最近的一個加密快速帖子中,一位分析師吹捧比特幣在當前的牛週期中達到15萬美元的價格。這位稱為Percival的分析師強調了關鍵的鍊鍊指標,這些指標可能會推動BTC達到這個雄心勃勃的目標目標。
Percival pointed out that that Bitcoin’s price trajectory, which might be unnerving to some investors, is displaying the structural dynamics of a mature financial asset, with sharp upward spikes followed by periods of consolidation.
Percival指出,該比特幣的價格軌跡可能對某些投資者感到不安,正在展示成熟金融資產的結構性動態,並具有急劇上升的尖峰,然後是合併期間。
To gauge future price movement, the analyst used a Fibonacci expansion from Bitcoin’s cycle low at $15,450 in November 2022 to the consolidation at $48,934 in 2024. Translating this historical data to the present market identifies a Bitcoin price target of $136,000 – $150,000, which is further supported by data from Bitcoin Realized Price Bands. This market metric analyzes supply based on different buying levels.
為了衡量未來的價格變動,分析師使用斐波那契從比特幣的周期低點擴展到2022年11月的15,450美元,到2024年的合併為48,934美元。將此歷史數據轉換為當前市場由比特幣實現的價格頻段的數據支持。該市場指標根據不同的購買水平來分析供應。
However, for Bitcoin to trade at $150,000, the asset must attain a total market cap of $3 trillion. But is there enough demand in the market to propel BTC to this lofty height? According to Percival, there is strong historical data in support of this postulation.
但是,要使比特幣以15萬美元的價格交易,資產必須達到3萬億美元的總市值。但是,市場上是否有足夠的需求將BTC推向這個高度的高度?根據Percival的說法,有強大的歷史數據支持這一假設。
For instance, Bitcoin Realized Cap rose by 470% in the previous bear cycle (2021) and has only risen 111% in this bull cycle so far, suggesting more potential for market growth.
例如,比特幣在上一個熊週期(2021)中實現了帽子上升470%,到目前為止,在這個牛週期中,CAP僅增長了111%,這表明市場增長的潛力更大。
Moreover, the analyst identifies possible sources of demand to drive up the projected $3 trillion market expansion, one of which is the US Bitcoin Spot ETFs. These investment funds registered nearly $40 billion in inflow during their debut trading year in 2024.
此外,分析師還確定了可能的需求來源,以提高預計的3萬億美元市場擴張,其中之一是美國比特幣現場ETF。這些投資基金在2024年的首張交易年度中籌集了近400億美元的流入。
With the US expected to adopt a pro-crypto stance in the Donald Trump administration, institutional demand is also likely to surge stronger through these ETFs. In addition, Percival includes the Bitcoin Futures market, which is currently valued at $95 billion, as another potential bullish driver for the projected market expansion.
隨著美國預計將在唐納德·特朗普政府中採取親克賴特托立場,因此通過這些ETF,機構需求也可能會激增。此外,Percival還包括比特幣期貨市場,目前價值950億美元,這是預計市場擴張的另一個潛在看漲驅動力。
BTC Price Overview
BTC價格概述
At the time of writing, Bitcoin price is trading at $102,334, reflecting a 1.66% decline over the last day. However, the flagship cryptocurrency is up by 7.93% on its monthly chart after a strong positive performance in January.
在撰寫本文時,比特幣價格的交易價格為102,334美元,反映了最後一天下降1.66%。但是,在一月份表現出色的積極表現之後,旗艦加密貨幣的月表上升了7.93%。
According to data from the prediction site CoinCodex, market sentiments remain bullish with the Fear & Greed Index at 76, which indicates extreme greed among investors.
根據預測網站Cocodex的數據,市場情緒仍然看漲,而恐懼和貪婪指數為76,這表明投資者極度貪婪。
Looking forward, the analysts at Coincodex predict Bitcoin could trade at $113,658 and $132,823 in the next five and thirty days, respectively. In particular, they project the digital asset to have crossed $150,000 in the next three months.
展望未來,Concodex的分析師預測,比特幣的交易價格分別為113,658美元和132,823美元,分別在接下來的五天和30天內。特別是,他們預測數字資產在未來三個月內已越過15萬美元。
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