比特幣 (BTC) 價格回到 101.5K 美元，本週以高價收盤。儘管出現反彈，但社交媒體上的買單出乎意料地平靜，表明交易員情緒謹慎。對於那些試圖掌握交易時機的人來說，過去的趨勢和市場週期可以為何時買入（恐慌期間）和何時賣出（貪婪期間）提供寶貴的見解。

在加密貨幣週結束時回到 101,500 美元。社群媒體上的購買訂單正在受到關注。在比特幣的下一個大動作之前，這張圖表對於何時買入（當人群恐慌時）和何時賣出（當人群變得貪婪時）非常有幫助。 👇https://t.co/Ub7Cb7UyqA pic.twitter.com/WmaF2YFi8Z

As Bitcoin price nears the $100,000 mark once again, crypto market participants are keeping a close eye on the next major swing in sight. While some anticipate the next market top, others believe the peak has already passed.

隨著比特幣價格再次接近 10 萬美元大關，加密貨幣市場參與者正在密切關注即將到來的下一個重大波動。雖然有些人預計下一個市場頂部將會到來，但有些人則認為高峰已經過去。

In a recent tweet, Ali highlighted three possible scenarios for Bitcoin's next market top. Based on the price patterns of the 2015 and 2018 cycles, the next peak could hit in October 2025. However, if Bitcoin follows the trajectory of its 2011 cycle, the market top may already be in. This scenario is determined by the varying slopes of Bitcoin's price rallies, which differ across each cycle.

在最近的一條推文中，阿里強調了比特幣下一個市場頂部的三種可能情況。根據2015 年和2018 年周期的價格模式，下一個高峰可能會在2025 年10 月達到。的。

If #Bitcoin follows the patterns of the 2015 and 2018 cycles, the next market top could hit in October 2025. But if $BTC mirrors the 2011 cycle, the market top is already in!

如果 #Bitcoin 遵循 2015 年和 2018 年周期的模式，那麼下一個市場頂部可能會在 2025 年 10 月觸及。

pic.twitter.com/YSEzKKf95T

— Ali (@ali_charts) December 13, 2024

— 阿里 (@ali_charts) 2024 年 12 月 13 日

This analysis aligns with the recent discussion among crypto analysts regarding the possibility of Bitcoin's next halving event occurring in April 2024. If this timing proves accurate and Bitcoin price continues to follow its historical cycles, we might expect to see a new market top around H2 2025.

這項分析與加密貨幣分析師最近關於比特幣下一次減半事件發生在2024 年4 月的可能性的討論相一致。可能預計會在2025 年下半年左右看到新的市場頂部。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin miners are making headlines with their significant sell-offs. According to Ali's analysis, Bitcoin miners have sold over 140,000 BTC, amounting to a staggering $13.72 billion so far in December. Such large-scale miner sell-offs are known to influence short-term price movements and contribute to the overall volatility in the crypto market.

與此同時，比特幣礦商因大幅拋售而成為頭條新聞。根據阿里的分析，12 月迄今為止，比特幣礦商已售出超過 14 萬枚 BTC，金額達到驚人的 137.2 億美元。眾所周知，這種大規模的礦商拋售會影響短期價格走勢，並導致加密貨幣市場的整體波動。

So far in December, #Bitcoin miners have sold over 140,000 $BTC, totaling to $13.72 billion!

12 月到目前為止，#Bitcoin 礦工已售出超過 14 萬美元 BTC，總計 137.2 億美元！

pic.twitter.com/1g3sCo6uJM

— Ali (@ali_charts) December 14, 2024

— 阿里 (@ali_charts) 2024 年 12 月 14 日

On the other hand, Bitcoin spot ETFs are seeing massive inflows. According to Wu Blockchain, these ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $429 million on December 13, continuing a 12-day streak of net positive inflows. Notably, BlackRock's IBIT ETF saw the highest daily inflow at $393 million.

另一方面，比特幣現貨 ETF 正出現大量資金流入。據Wu Blockchain稱，這些ETF在12月13日錄得總淨流入4.29億美元，延續了連續12天的淨正流入。值得注意的是，貝萊德的 IBIT ETF 日流入量最高，達 3.93 億美元。

Collectively, these ETFs have a total net asset value of $114.969 billion, indicating strong institutional interest in the leading cryptocurrency. This news comes amidst anticipation for the upcoming launch of Grayscale's spot Bitcoin ETF.

總的來說，這些 ETF 的總資產淨值為 1,149.69 億美元，顯示機構對領先的加密貨幣有濃厚的興趣。這項消息發布之際，人們正期待著灰階即將推出的現貨比特幣 ETF。

Bitcoin spot ETF had a total net inflow of $429 million on December 13, continuing its net inflow for 12 consecutive days.

12月13日，比特幣現貨ETF總淨流入4.29億美元，連續12天淨流入。

BlackRock ETF IBIT had a net inflow of $393 million per day.

貝萊德 ETF IBIT 每日淨流入 3.93 億美元。

The total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETF is $114.969 billion.https://t.co/59u0BnEqLG pic.twitter.com/dkQIYxF4Y8

比特幣現貨ETF總資產淨值為1,149.69億美元。

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) December 14, 2024

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) 2024 年 12 月 14 日

As Bitcoin price continues to make headlines, the crypto market is watching closely for signs of the next major price swing in sight. Whether the market top is still ahead or already behind us, understanding historical cycles and monitoring key data points will be critical for navigating the road ahead.

隨著比特幣價格繼續成為頭條新聞，加密貨幣市場正在密切關注下一個重大價格波動的跡象。無論市場頂部仍然領先還是已經落後，了解歷史週期和監控關鍵數據點對於引領未來道路至關重要。