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在最近的更正後,比特幣已經開始顯示出恢復的早期跡象,該跡象使資產降至本月初的74,000美元。
Bitcoin (BTC) has begun showing early signs of recovery following a recent correction that saw the asset fall to $74,000 earlier this month. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades above $82,000, inching closer to the $85,000 range with its market capitalization now sitting above $1.6 trillion.
比特幣(BTC)在最近的修正後已經開始顯示早期恢復的跡象,這一資產降至本月早些時候的$ 74,000。在撰寫本文時,比特幣的交易超過82,000美元,其市值現在超過1.6萬億美元。
Bitcoin price volatility remained high throughout the week as trade tensions and macroeconomic developments continued to influence market sentiment. Prices dipped sharply earlier in the week with the introduction of retaliatory tariffs by China and the European Union.
隨著貿易緊張局勢和宏觀經濟發展繼續影響市場情緒,比特幣價格波動率在整個星期中保持較高。由於中國和歐盟引入了報復性關稅,本週早些時候的價格急劇下跌。
However, they began recovering on April 9 following the suspension of tariffs. The temporary policy reduced tariffs to 10% for most countries, while China remained subject to a 125% rate.
但是,在暫停關稅後,他們於4月9日開始康復。大多數國家的臨時政策將關稅降低至10%,而中國仍處於125%的速度。
Bitcoin Technical Support and Market Sentiment
比特幣技術支持和市場情緒
According to a recent market report by CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s 365-day moving average (MA) at $76,100 is a key technical support level that has been observed in previous market cycles.
根據CryptoQuant最近的一份市場報告,比特幣的365天移動平均值(MA)為76,100美元,是以前市場週期中觀察到的關鍵技術支持水平。
This level was touched upon in August 2024, July 2021, and December 2021, and the recent bounce from this MA is being monitored as a potential base for a renewed uptrend.
該水平於2024年8月,2021年7月和2021年12月涉及,最近對該MA的反彈正在監視,以此作為重新上升趨勢的潛在基礎。
A breach below this moving average would increase the likelihood of Bitcoin entering a bearish phase. However, despite this positive movement, investor sentiment remains subdued.
低於此移動平均線的違規行為會增加比特幣進入看跌階段的可能性。但是,儘管有這種積極的動作,但投資者的情緒仍然柔和。
“Nevertheless, although market sentiment has improved after the tariff pause, Bitcoin remains in one of its least bullish phases since November 2022, according to our Bull Score Index. The Index is now at 10—its lowest reading since that time—signaling continued weak investor sentiment and a low probability of a sustained rally in the near term.”
“儘管如此,儘管在關稅暫停之後,儘管市場情緒得到了改善,但根據我們的公牛分數指數,比特幣仍然處於自2022年11月以來最不希望的階段之一。現在,該指數目前為10,這是從那時起的最低讀數,這是自那時以來的最低讀數 - 信號持續較弱的投資者情緒,並且在近學期內持續持續持續出現。”
According to the firm, a longer-term rally is unlikely unless the score climbs above 40.
根據該公司的說法,除非分數攀升40次,否則不可能進行長期集會。
Furthermore, with BTC’s price currently on the rise, CryptoQuant mentioned that the asset could find resistance at $84,000 and $96,000—zones historically linked to the Trader Realized Price, which has served as both support and resistance in different market phases.
此外,隨著BTC目前的價格正在上漲,CryptoFeant提到,該資產可能以84,000美元和96,000美元的價格找到抵抗力,這與交易者實現的價格相關,該區域在不同的市場階段既是支持又是阻力。
Altcoin Accumulation Signal Emerges
出現山寨幣積累信號
In another analysis, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost highlighted data that may indicate favorable conditions for altcoin accumulation.
在另一項分析中,加密分析師DarkFost強調了可能表明替補幣積累條件的數據。
According to his commentary, the 30-day moving average of trading volume for altcoins paired with stablecoins has dropped below its annual average. This market behavior, according to Darkfost, has previously marked buying zones, with the last occurrence seen in September 2023.
根據他的評論,與穩定幣配對的30天移動平均值降低了其年平均水平。 Darkfost認為,這種市場行為以前標誌著購買區,最後一次發生在2023年9月。
The analysis suggests that while Bitcoin’s immediate trend remains uncertain, altcoins may be entering a phase conducive to dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategies.
分析表明,儘管比特幣的直接趨勢仍然不確定,但Altcoins可能會進入有利於美元成本平均策略(DCA)策略的階段。
“These windows of opportunity usually open when capital is largely absent from the market, and in this case, we can observe it with low trading volumes in the altcoins-stablecoins pair, an indicator that has historically marked these buying zones.”
“這些機會窗口通常在很大程度上不在市場上時開放,在這種情況下,我們可以在Altcoins-Stablecoins對中以低的交易量觀察到它,這一指標歷史上標誌著這些購買區。”
According to the analyst, these windows can last for weeks or months but have historically aligned with the early stages of altcoin market recoveries. If the macroeconomic environment stabilizes and capital flows return, these conditions could lead to broader participation across the crypto sector.
根據分析師的說法,這些窗戶可以持續數週或數月,但歷史上與替代幣市場回收的早期階段保持一致。如果宏觀經濟環境穩定和資本流動恢復,這些條件可能會導致整個加密貨幣部門的參與。
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