比特幣再次從主要的支撐區域中反彈,在該區域顯示出強大的購買壓力。價格還收回了50 dma,這是公牛隊的積極信號。
Trump’s proposed tariffs pose a significant inflation risk, which could impact the Federal Reserve’s approach to rate cuts. Higher tariffs would lead to inflation spikes, forcing the Fed to maintain a slow and cautious stance rather than aggressively cutting rates. This “higher for longer” neutral rate scenario would weaken liquidity flows into risk assets like the S&P 5p00 and Bitcoin, putting downward pressure on their prices.
特朗普提議的關稅構成了嚴重的通貨膨脹風險,這可能會影響美聯儲削減稅率的方法。較高的關稅將導致通貨膨脹率飆升,迫使美聯儲保持緩慢和謹慎的立場,而不是積極降低速度。這種“更高的”中立利率方案將削弱流動性流入標準普爾5P00和比特幣等風險資產,從而向其價格下降壓力。
At the same time, slower rate cuts would increase demand for the U.S. dollar, causing XXXUSD pairs (eg. BTCUSD, EURUSD, SPXUSD) to decline. The irony here is that while Trump is pushing for faster rate cuts, his own tariff policies would likely delay them.
同時,降低速度降低將增加對美元的需求,從而導致XXXUSD對(例如BTCUSD,EURUSD,SPXUSD)下降。具有諷刺意味的是,儘管特朗普推動更快的降低速度,但他自己的關稅政策可能會推遲他們。
Overall, as long as the real Fed interest rate remains above CPI levels, inflation will continue to trend downward. However, baseline turbulence in the markets should be expected, creating uncertainty for investors.
總體而言,只要實際美聯儲的利率保持在CPI水平上,通貨膨脹將繼續向下趨勢。但是,應該期望市場上的基線動盪,從而給投資者帶來不確定性。
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