比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：BTC/美元這次會突破 10 萬美元嗎？

在經歷了動盪的華爾街交易時段後，1 月 7 日，比特幣繼續維持在 10 萬美元以上。接下來它的價格會走向何方？

Bitcoin ( BTC ) price continued to trade above the $100,000 mark on Jan. 7 following a choppy Wall Street trading session. Where will its price go next?

在華爾街交易時段震盪之後，比特幣 (BTC) 價格於 1 月 7 日繼續交投於 10 萬美元大關之上。接下來它的價格會走向何方？

Traders and other market commentators shared their short-term Bitcoin price predictions as data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed 4% daily gains.

交易員和其他市場評論員分享了他們的短期比特幣價格預測，Cointelegraph Markets Pro 和 TradingView 的數據證實每日比特幣價格上漲 4%。

Bitcoin “head and shoulders” ripe for failure

比特幣「頭肩頂」失敗的時機已經成熟

Bitcoin bulls beating a path back to six figures means that some bearish chart signals may no longer be valid.

比特幣多頭重返六位數意味著一些看跌圖表訊號可能不再有效。

Among them is the “head and shoulders” pattern on daily timeframes that had been playing out through December.

其中之一是每日時間框架上的「頭肩形」形態，該形態一直持續到 12 月。

Here, an uptrend traditionally reverses in three local peaks, two lower “shoulders” with a higher “head” between them. In Bitcoin's case, the current all-time high of $108,000 marked the head.

在這裡，上升趨勢傳統上在三個局部峰值處反轉，兩個較低的“肩膀”，它們之間有一個較高的“頭部”。就比特幣而言，目前的歷史高點 108,000 美元標誌著頭部。

For trader and analyst Aksel Kibar, there is cause to consider that the head and shoulders reversal may fail.

對於交易員兼分析師 Aksel Kibar 來說，有理由認為頭肩形反轉可能會失敗。

“$BTCUSD On daily scale formed a similar H&S top. Price is now challenging the high of the possible right shoulder,” he reported in a dedicated X thread on the topic.

「BTCUSD 在日線規模上形成了類似的 H&S 頂部。價格現在正在挑戰可能的右肩高點，」他在專門的 X 主題中報告道。

BTC/USD chart. Source: Aksel Kibar/X

比特幣/美元圖表。資料來源：Aksel Kibar/X

Kibar added that bears could push BTC price down significantly — even to near the old all-time high of $73,800 from last March — and still fail to cancel the bull run entirely.

Kibar 補充說，空頭可能會大幅壓低 BTC 價格，甚至跌至去年 3 月以來的歷史高點 73,800 美元附近，但仍然無法完全取消多頭市場。

“Even if the H&S top succeeds and price reaches 80K, this price action can be part of the pullback following the breakout above 73.7K,” he said.

他表示：“即使 H&S 頂部成功並且價格達到 80K，這種價格走勢也可能是突破 73.7K 後回調的一部分。”

BTC price cup and handle breakout still in play

BTC價格杯和手柄突破仍在發揮作用

Another chart formation on the radar is the so-called cup and handle, which, for BTC/USD, is at a critical point.

雷達上的另一個圖表形態是所謂的杯柄，對於 BTC/USD 來說，它正處於關鍵點。

After returning to the March highs and continuing up, multiple retracements to near $90,000 made some traders nervous that the traditionally bullish cup and handle may break down. Now, hope is returning.

回到3月高點並繼續上漲後，多次回撤至90,000美元附近，令一些交易員擔心傳統看漲的杯子和手柄可能會崩潰。現在，希望又回來了。

“Bitcoin looks ripe to complete the cup & handle formation,” trader Jelle told X followers this week, offering a target of $140,000.

交易員 Jelle 本週對 X 粉絲表示：「比特幣完成杯柄形態的時機似乎已經成熟，」他給出的目標價為 14 萬美元。

BTC/USD chart. Source: Jelle/X

比特幣/美元圖表。來源：Jelle/X

For Kibar, too, the formation remains a valid long-term navigation tool. As Cointelegraph reported, his monthly chart currently has a target of $137,000 in the event of success.

對於基巴爾來說，該編隊仍然是一個有效的長期導航工具。根據 Cointelegraph 報導，如果成功，他的月線圖表目前的目標是 137,000 美元。

Others have eyed the phenomenon for several months, with price targets varying.

其他人幾個月來一直關注這一現象，但價格目標各不相同。

“Weekly Cup and Handle targets $125000 still in effect,” commentator MartyParty confirmed in an X post on Dec. 31 as BTC/USD traded at $94,000.

「每週 Cup and Handle 目標仍然有效，」評論員 MartyParty 在 12 月 31 日的 X 帖子中證實，當時 BTC/USD 交易價格為 94,000 美元。

BTC/USD chart. Source: MartyParty/X

比特幣/美元圖表。資料來源：MartyParty/X

Fibonacci levels speak volumes

斐波那契水平意義重大

Zooming out further, Keith Alan, co-founder of trading resource Material Indicators, is concerned with where the bull market may put in its real top.

進一步縮小範圍，交易資源 Material Indicators 的聯合創始人 Keith Alan 擔心牛市可能會在哪裡達到真正的頂部。

Even this week's surge was capped by a familiar Fibonacci retracement level, he noted on X, with old 2021 all-time highs still influencing price.

他在 X 上指出，即使本週的上漲也受到熟悉的斐波那契回撤水準的限制，2021 年的歷史高點仍在影響價格。

“This time it came from the 1.618 Fib,” he wrote about short-timeframe rejection.

「這次它來自 1.618 Fib，」他在談到短期框架拒絕時寫道。

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BTC/美元 1 小時圖。來源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

Those levels include $110,000 and $122,500 thanks to the cup and handle — numbers already familiar to Cointelegraph readers.

這些水平包括 110,000 美元和 122,500 美元，這要歸功於杯子和手柄——Cointelegraph 讀者已經熟悉這些數字。

“If price continues up from there, the lower end of the Lifetime Channel serves as the glass ceiling on price discovery,” Alan concluded alongside an accompanying chart.

「如果價格從那裡繼續上漲，生命週期通道的低端將成為價格發現的玻璃天花板，」艾倫在隨附的圖表中總結道。

BTC/USD 1-week chart with Fibonacci levels. Source: Keith Alan/X

帶有斐波那契水平的 BTC/USD 1 週圖表。來源：Keith Alan/X