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比特幣(BTC)市場預計在2025年將看到強勁的價格變動,但預測的時間和幅度也有所不同。
Renowned crypto analyst James Check has stated that there is a lot of resemblance between the price action of the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle and that of the 2016 to 2017 cycle. He predicts that the market could reach a top of $150,000 soon.
著名的加密分析師James Check表示,當前比特幣(BTC)週期的價格動作與2016年至2017年周期之間有很大的相似之處。他預測,市場將很快達到15萬美元。
Let's examine his analysis and see how it might pan out in 2025.
讓我們檢查一下他的分析,看看它在2025年如何播放。
Bitcoin’s Path to $150K: Analyst’s View
比特幣的$ 150K的道路:分析師的觀點
According to Check's analysis, if we overlay the present BTC cycle on that of 2016-2017, we can observe striking similarities. In both cycles, the market showed impressive performance in the second and the third quarters of the year and expressed weakness in the first quarter.
根據檢查的分析,如果我們覆蓋了2016 - 2017年的當前BTC週期,我們可以觀察到驚人的相似性。在這兩個週期中,市場在今年的第二季度和第三季度都表現出令人印象深刻的表現,並且在第一季度表現出弱點。
This indicates that the market may experience consolidation until May and a massive surge in the late 2025.
這表明市場可能會在5月之前經歷整合,並在2025年末大規模激增。
Moreover, Check's analysis suggests that the market might be entering the final stages of the bull market. He predicts that the market could reach the range of $120,000 and $150,000 soon. He terms the range as the “topping cloud.” He also warns that if the market rises above the range, it may not hold.
此外,檢查的分析表明,市場可能正在進入牛市的最後階段。他預測,市場將很快達到120,000美元和150,000美元的範圍。他將範圍稱為“頂雲”。他還警告說,如果市場上升到範圍以上,則可能無法持有。
Potential Profits for Bitcoin Holders
比特幣持有人的潛在利潤
According to Bitbo data, a short-term BTC holder has paid an average price of $90,349 per BTC, and a long-term BTC holder has paid an average price of $24,627.
根據BITBO數據,短期BTC持有人的平均價格為每BTC 90,349美元,而長期BTC持有人的平均價格為24,627美元。
This implies that if the market hits $150,000, a short-term holder will get an average profit of 66.0229%, and a long-term holder an average profit of 509.088%.
這意味著,如果市場上漲150,000美元,短期持有人的平均利潤將獲得66.0229%,而長期持有人的平均利潤為509.088%。
Comparing 2025 to the 2016-2017 BTC Cycle
比較2025與2016-2017 BTC週期
In the first quarter of 2016, the Bitcoin market recorded a change of -3.25%; in the second, around +61.6%; in the third, -9.34%; and the fourth, +58%.
在2016年第一季度,比特幣市場的變化為-3.25%;在第二個大約 +61.6%;在第三,-9.34%;第四, +58%。
In the first quarter of 2017, the market registered a change of +11.2%; in the second, +131.5%; in the third, +74.1%; and in the fourth, +226.1%.
在2017年第一季度,市場的變化為 +11.2%;在第二個, +131.5%;在第三個, +74.1%;在第四, +226.1%。
As we can see, there are a lot of similarities between the present cycle and the 2016-2017 cycle. In both cycles, the market showed impressive performance in the second and the third quarters of the year and expressed weakness in the first quarter.
如我們所見,本週期與2016-2017週期之間有很多相似之處。在這兩個週期中,市場在今年的第二季度和第三季度都表現出令人印象深刻的表現,並且在第一季度表現出弱點。
Trader’s 2025 Bitcoin Predictions
交易員的2025比特幣預測
Traders expect strong price movements in 2025, but predictions differ on timing and magnitude.
交易者期望2025年的價格變動強勁,但預測在時機和幅度上有所不同。
A crypto trader, identified as Bitquant, opines that claims of Bitcoin topping out now are premature. He expresses confidence in the market to gain further.
一個被確定為Bitquant的加密貨幣交易者認為,比特幣高高的聲稱現在還為時過早。他對市場有信心進一步獲得。
Meanwhile, crypto trader Braver forecasts that the BTC market will demonstrate strong bullish momentum in the first quarter of 2025.
同時,加密交易者勇士(Braver)預測BTC市場將在2025年第一季度表現出強大的看漲勢頭。
Indirectly accepting the argument regarding the similarities between the current cycle and the 2016-2017 cycle, Braver acknowledges the possibility of the market reaching a macro top in the final quarter of the year.
Braver間接接受有關當前週期與2016-2017週期之間相似之處的論點,他承認市場在今年最後一個季度達到了宏觀上流的可能性。
However, contrary to this assumption, cryptocurrency trader Mags asserts that the Bitcoin market will reach an all-time high between July and October.
但是,與此假設相反,加密貨幣交易員雜誌斷言,比特幣市場將在7月至10月之間達到歷史最高水平。
As Bitcoin mirrors patterns from the 2016-2017 cycle, analysts and traders are predicting significant price movements in 202
隨著比特幣鏡像2016 - 2017年周期的模式,分析師和交易者正在預測202年的重大價格變動
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