比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：隨著 BTC 今天達到新的 ATH，黃金十字引發了 FOMO

日線圖上，比特幣突破100日和200日移動均線，鞏固了其看漲軌跡。

Bitcoin’s price soared to a new all-time high on Monday, continuing its relentless rally amid bullish technical signals and strong buying interest from large investors. As the world’s leading cryptocurrency approached the highly anticipated $100,000 milestone, key metrics and on-chain data provide insights into the market dynamics and what to expect next.

週一，比特幣價格飆升至歷史新高，在看漲的技術訊號和大型投資者的強勁購買興趣下繼續強勁上漲。隨著世界領先的加密貨幣接近備受期待的 10 萬美元里程碑，關鍵指標和鏈上數據提供了對市場動態和下一步預期的見解。

1- Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Golden Cross Sparks FOMO

1-比特幣技術分析：金十字引發 FOMO

On the daily chart, Bitcoin’s breakout above the 100-day and 200-day moving averages has solidified its bullish trajectory. The recent formation of a Golden Cross—where the 100-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average—has sparked fear of missing out (FOMO) among investors.

日線圖上，比特幣突破100日和200日移動均線，鞏固了其看漲軌跡。最近形成的金十字（即 100 日移動平均線穿越 200 日移動平均線）引發了投資者的錯失恐懼症 (FOMO)。

This technical indicator signals a long-term bullish trend, typically indicating sustained buying pressure and optimism in the market. As a result, FOMO has gripped investors, leading to a buying frenzy and pushing Bitcoin price to new highs.

此技術指標預示著長期看漲趨勢，通常顯示市場持續的購買壓力和樂觀情緒。因此，「FOMO」吸引了投資者，引發了購買狂潮，並將比特幣價格推至新高。

However, experts caution that this rapid ascent may trigger a corrective retracement. Fibonacci retracement levels between $74K and $70K are seen as critical support zones for profit-taking and re-entry opportunities. Meanwhile, short-term consolidation is expected near $90K as Bitcoin tests the upper boundary of its bullish price channel.

然而，專家警告稱，這種快速上漲可能會引發修正性回調。 74,000 美元至 70,000 美元之間的斐波那契回撤位被視為獲利了結和重新入場機會的關鍵支撐區域。同時，隨著比特幣測試其看漲價格通道的上限，預計短期盤整將接近 9 萬美元。

2- Whale Activity and Market Sentiment

2-鯨魚活動與市場情緒

Whale Transactions

鯨魚交易

Recent data from Arkham’s on-chain analytics reveals intensified whale activity. Notable transactions include:

Arkham 鏈上分析的最新數據顯示鯨魚活動加劇。值得注意的交易包括：

At 09:05 UTC, an unknown wallet moved 1,000 BTC ($74 million) from Coinbase.

世界標準時間 09:05，一個未知錢包從 Coinbase 轉移了 1,000 BTC（7,400 萬美元）。

Later, another unknown wallet transferred 2,000 BTC ($148 million) from Binance.

隨後，另一個不知名的錢包從幣安轉移了 2,000 BTC（1.48 億美元）。

Finally, an on-chain observer noted a massive over-the-counter (OTC) trade involving 10,000 BTC (around $740 million) being sold in a single transaction.

最後，一位鏈上觀察員指出，一筆涉及 10,000 BTC（約 7.4 億美元）的大規模場外交易（OTC）在單筆交易中被出售。

These large transactions, especially from exchanges, indicate that whales or institutions are actively shifting their crypto holdings. While the precise nature of these movements is unknown, they suggest substantial buying and selling activity in the market.

這些大額交易，尤其是來自交易所的交易，顯示鯨魚或機構正在積極轉移其加密貨幣持有量。雖然這些變動的確切性質尚不清楚，但它們表明市場上存在大量買賣活動。

Miners Position and Selling Pressure

礦工頭寸和拋售壓力

On-chain analysis shows that miners—key holders of Bitcoin supply—have increased selling activity. The Miners Position Index (MPI) has surged past the critical level of 2, signaling intensified selling pressure.

鏈上分析顯示，礦工（比特幣供應的主要持有者）增加了拋售活動。礦工頭寸指數 (MPI) 已飆升至 2 的關鍵水平，顯示拋售壓力加劇。

This metric measures the realized net change in miner positions, indicating their selling or hodling behavior. Higher MPI values typically coincide with miner selling activity, which could lead to short-term corrections.

此指標衡量礦工部位已實現的淨變化，顯示他們的出售或持有行為。較高的 MPI 值通常與礦商的拋售活動同時發生，這可能會導致短期調整。

However, despite the selling pressure, the market’s strong buy-side support continues to absorb the selling pressure, maintaining the bullish trend.

然而，儘管面臨拋售壓力，市場強勁的買方支撐繼續吸收拋售壓力，維持看漲趨勢。

3- As Bitcoin Price Reaches A New ATH Today, What's NEXT?

3- 隨著比特幣價格今天達到新的 ATH，接下來會發生什麼事？

Will Bitcoin Hit $100K?

比特幣會達到 10 萬美元嗎？

As Bitcoin approaches the $100K milestone, bullish options bets on platforms like Deribit showcase strong market confidence. Call options for December 31 are heavily concentrated at the $100,000 strike price, indicating bullish sentiment among options traders.

隨著比特幣接近 10 萬美元的里程碑，Deribit 等平台上的買權押注顯示出強大的市場信心。 12 月 31 日的看漲期權主要集中在 100,000 美元的執行價，顯示期權交易者的看漲情緒。

However, analysts warn that much of the good news is already priced in. A potential market breather or minor correction could pave the way for more sustainable growth in 2022.

然而，分析師警告稱，大部分好消息已被消化。

Risks and Considerations

風險和注意事項

While Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong, external factors such as regulatory uncertainties and macroeconomic shifts could influence its trajectory. Investors are advised to approach with caution, avoiding impulsive decisions driven by FOMO.

儘管比特幣的基本面仍然強勁，但監管不確定性和宏觀經濟變化等外部因素可能會影響其發展軌跡。建議投資者謹慎行事，避免因「FOMO」而做出衝動決定。

Bitcoin’s historic ATH marks a significant milestone, fueled by favorable macroeconomic conditions, technical indicators, and whale activity. As the crypto market evolves, Bitcoin’s dominance and influence continue to grow. While the path to $100K seems plausible, potential corrections could provide strategic entry points for investors.

在有利的宏觀經濟條件、技術指標和鯨魚活動的推動下，比特幣歷史性的 ATH 標誌著一個重要的里程碑。隨著加密貨幣市場的發展，比特幣的主導地位和影響力不斷增長。雖然通往 10 萬美元的道路似乎可行，但潛在的調整可能為投資者提供策略切入點。