比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC/USD是否會恢復到8.9萬美元以維持看漲的勢頭？

比特幣在周二四處奔波，打出了一個新鮮的四個月低點，但結束了大約5％的比賽，贏得了為期五天的損失。

Crypto traders are used to seeing Bitcoin wildly change direction, but even by the token's standards, Tuesday's price action was noteworthy.

加密交易者習慣於看到比特幣發生了大幅改變的方向，但是即使按照令牌的標準，週二的價格行動也值得注意。

Bitcoin price dropped to a four-month low on Tuesday before rebounding to post a 5% gain for the session, snapping a five-day losing streak.

比特幣的價格在周二下降到四個月的低點，隨後反彈以發布5％的會議，贏得了五天的連勝紀錄。

Bitcoin was down 0.3% in the past 24 hours to $79,270.2 by 01:00 ET (05:00 GMT).

在過去的24小時內，比特幣下跌了0.3％，至$ 79,270.2，乘01:00 ET（GMT 05:00）。

The world’s biggest cryptocurrency had hit $76,600 earlier in the session, sliding to a four-month low. But it recovered steadily from those levels through the session.

全球最大的加密貨幣在本次會議早些時候上漲了76,600美元，滑到了四個月的低點。但是它通過會議從這些級別穩步恢復。

Bitcoin recovered above the $83,000 level, which is critical for sustaining bullish momentum. Otherwise, the token risks sliding to $74,000 or $62,400, possibly marking the final leg of the bull cycle.

比特幣以高於83,000美元的水平回收，這對於維持看漲的勢頭至關重要。否則，代幣的風險滑到$ 74,000或62,400美元，可能標誌著牛週期的最後一圈。

At least that is according to Martin Leinweber, Director of Digital Asset Research & Strategy at MarketVector Indexes and author of "Mastering Crypto Assets."

至少這是根據MarketVector指數數字資產研究與戰略總監Martin Leinweber的說法，也是“掌握加密資產”的作者。

"The price has yet to establish a bottom; further decline is plausible through April-May 2025," Leinweber said.

萊因韋伯說：“價格尚未確定底部；直到2025年4月至5月，進一步的下降都是合理的。”

Crypto tokens saw distress as over 95% of the top 100 cryptocurrencies were trading below their 90-day moving average.

加密代幣感到困擾，因為前100名加密貨幣中有95％以下的交易低於其90天的移動平均線。

This was a situation last seen during the Yen carry trade unwinding in August 2024 and June 2023, when Bitcoin was around $30,000 and the market was beginning to rise.

這是在2024年8月和2023年6月日元攜帶貿易中最後一次出現的情況，當時比特幣約為30,000美元，市場開始上漲。

These values typically indicate capitulation ahead of a reversal.

這些值通常表明逆轉之前的投降。

Another sea of red as tariffs trump ceasefire hopes

當徵收稅率的另一片紅色海王特朗普停火希望

The story was no different for the S&P 500.

標準普爾500指數沒有什麼不同。

Q1 weakness was common in election years and risk assets such as the S&P 500, which is down 9% from its peak, were struggling now as Quantitative Tightening (QT) continued to play out.

Q1弱點在選舉年很普遍，隨著定量收緊（QT）繼續發揮作用，諸如S＆P 500的風險資產（例如標準普爾500號）正在掙扎。

Unless the Fed pivots on QT early, which may be spurred by a 20% decline in the S&P to 5100 or 4,900, then expect more volatility until March options expiry, with April bringing some reprieve.

除非美聯儲早期樞紐，否則QT可能會因標準普爾至5100或4,900的20％下降而刺激，然後期望在3月期權到期之前有更多的波動性，而四月會帶來一些緩刑。

A decline in exchange volume and $1 billion in liquidations (mainly longs) indicated a lack of strength.

交換量的下降和10億美元的清算（主要是渴望）表明缺乏強度。

Uncertainty was heightened by recent news regarding Donald Trump (tariffs, strategic reserve delays) and upcoming economic data like CPI & PPI.

關於唐納德·特朗普（Tarriffs）（關稅，戰略儲備延遲）以及即將到來的經濟數據（如CPI＆PPI），最近的新聞加劇了不確定性。

If past trends were any indication, we should expect a downturn in March and a possible upturn in April.

如果過去的趨勢有任何跡象，我們應該期望三月的經濟下滑，並可能在四月進行上漲。

A more optimistic setup could occur if Bitcoin manages to stay above the $74,000 level and the S&P 500 rebounds.

如果比特幣設法保持高於74,000美元的水平和標準普爾500籃板，可能會發生更樂觀的設置。

But for Bitcoin's bullish momentum to be confirmed, the price had to regain the $89,000 mark.

但是要確認比特幣的看漲勢頭，價格必須重新獲得89,000美元的成績。

Similarly, for the S&P 500 to avoid a steeper decline, it needed to close above 5,900.

同樣，為了避免急劇下降，標準普爾500指數需要關閉5,900以上。

For now, though, market mood was more glum as the threat of escalating trade wars and recession risks remained in the mix.

但是，目前，由於貿易戰和衰退風險的威脅仍然存在，市場情緒更加沮喪。

US President Donald Trump's volatile new tariff threats and reversals pushed stock prices deeper into the red.

美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）揮發了新的關稅威脅和逆轉，將股價更深地推向了紅色。

The president's economic broadsides had investors largely dumping shares, and the market hue remained negative as US trading wrapped up on Tuesday.

總統的經濟範圍內，投資者在很大程度上傾倒了股票，並且隨著美國交易在周二結束時，市場色調仍然是負面的。

Wall Street stocks continued their steep slide, adding to the biggest monthly loss as investors grew increasingly concerned about the potential effects of fresh tariff threats on international trade.

華爾街的股票繼續陡峭的滑梯，隨著投資者越來越關注新的關稅威脅對國際貿易的潛在影響，每月最大的損失。

Progress toward a truce between Russia and Ukraine briefly helped stocks, but trading remained choppy amid shifting statements on tariffs.

俄羅斯和烏克蘭之間停戰的進展短暫地幫助了股票，但由於關稅的變化聲明，交易仍然有些不穩定。

At one point, the Nasdaq rose more than 1% as investors cheered the announcement.

有一次，隨著投資者的歡呼，納斯達克上漲了1％以上。

But traders saw mostly red on their screens by the time the day ended, with Trump's decision to raise taxes on Canada's steel and aluminum imports to 50% being a key factor.

但是交易者在一天結束時大部分屏幕上的紅色大部分是紅色的，特朗普決定將加拿大鋼鐵和鋁進口稅提高到50％是關鍵因素。

That was after Trump took to social media to post in all-caps that Canada was planning more tariffs on U.S. steel, to which he responded that he would "terحدثات

那是在特朗普上到社交媒體上發布的全力以赴之後，加拿大正在計劃對美國鋼鐵的徵收更多的關稅，他回答說他將“