比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC會反彈還是突破支持？

比特幣（BTC）最近正在瀏覽一個動蕩的市場，目前徘徊在84,968美元至85,168美元之間。

Bitcoin (BTC) price has been trading in a limited range recently as the crypto behemoth shows signs of a consolidation phase. Despite the recent pullbacks from 2025's all-time high, Bitcoin price analysis suggests that the large coin could be setting the stage for the next price move.

比特幣（BTC）價格最近在有限的範圍內交易，因為加密龐然大物顯示了合併階段的跡象。儘管最近從2025年有史以來高的回調了，但比特幣的價格分析表明，大硬幣可能正在為下一個價格轉移奠定基礎。

As the world's leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin’s price movements are closely followed by market participants. With a market capitalization of $1.68 trillion, Bitcoin’s price continues to fluctuate within an intraday range of $1,551, trading between $83,682 and $85,233.

作為世界領先的加密貨幣，比特幣的價格變動緊隨其後的是市場參與者。由於市值為1.68萬億美元，比特幣的價格繼續在日內範圍內波動1,551美元，交易在83,682美元至85,233美元之間。

As the price ranges aimlessly in a consolidation behavior, traders are focusing on key levels to anticipate the market's next direction.

由於價格在整合行為中毫無用處，交易者正在關注關鍵水平，以預測市場的下一個方向。

Daily Chart Analysis

每日圖表分析

From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin has shown a gradual recovery after a descending trend that began near $99,508 and hit a low of $76,680. This formed the basis for a lateral consolidation phase, where the price has gained slight upward momentum.

從每日圖表的角度來看，比特幣在下降的趨勢開始接近$ 99,508之後顯示出逐漸恢復，低點為76,680美元。這構成了橫向整合階段的基礎，在該階段，價格略有上升勢頭。

The candlestick structure is reflecting reduced body sizes, which could be indicating market indecision or early accumulation behavior.

燭台結構反映了減少的身體大小，這可能表明市場猶豫不決或早期積累行為。

As it currently stands, Bitcoin hovers just above a key support level at $83,000, with a stronger foundational support around $76,700. On the other hand, resistance is noted around the $88,000 to $89,000 range.

就目前而言，比特幣徘徊在關鍵支持水平上，為83,000美元，基礎支持更強，約為76,700美元。另一方面，阻力約為88,000美元至89,000美元。

For a potential bullish breakout, a daily close above $86,000 with good volume could suggest further upside, potentially targeting $89,000 or higher. However, traders should be prepared for signs of rejection near these resistance levels in order to manage their exit strategies effectively.

對於潛在的看漲突破，每天關閉86,000美元以上的收盤價可能會進一步提出上漲空間，可能針對89,000美元或更高。但是，交易者應為在這些阻力水平附近的拒絕跡像做好準備，以便有效地管理其退出策略。

Short-Term Price Action and Fibonacci Levels

短期價格動作和斐波那契水平

Shifting to the four-hour chart, Bitcoin has been recovering from a low of $81,138, encountering a corrective phase after reaching a high of $87,470.

比特幣轉移到四個小時的圖表，從81,138美元的低點恢復，在達到87,470美元的高點後遇到了糾正階段。

Despite the recent pullback, the formation of higher lows suggests underlying bullish pressure. In this time frame, the key resistance level is noted at $87,470, with support developing around $83,500.

儘管最近有所下降，但高低的形成表明了看漲壓力的潛在壓力。在此時間範圍內，關鍵阻力水平的價格為87,470美元，支持的支撐量約為83,500美元。

If Bitcoin can break above this resistance level with sustained volume, a short-term rally toward $88,500 or higher could be anticipated.

如果比特幣能夠以持續的量超過此阻力水平，則可以預期短期集會向88,500美元或更高。

If, however, Bitcoin fails to clear the resistance, there is a risk of retracing to the $83,500 level, which would suggest that the upward momentum has stalled. This price range is critical for Bitcoin’s short-term outlook.

但是，如果比特幣未能清除阻力，則可能會追溯到83,500美元的水平，這表明向上的動力已經停滯不前。這個價格範圍對於比特幣的短期前景至關重要。

Hourly Chart and Momentum Indicators

每小時圖表和勢頭指標

On the one-hour chart, Bitcoin is showing signs of an upward channel, supported by increasing buy-side volume. The price lifted from $83,682 to a session high of $85,233, and maintaining a position above $85,000 is crucial for sustaining bullish sentiment.

在一個小時的圖表上，比特幣顯示出一個向上渠道的跡象，並以增加的買入量為支持。價格從83,682美元上漲至$ 85,233的會議高價，維持在85,000美元以上的職位對於維持看漲的情緒至關重要。

A retest and reclaim of $85,233 would likely trigger momentum for another push toward the $86,000 to $86,500 level. On the flip side, a breakdown below $84,000, particularly with increasing sell volume, could lead to a cascade of stop-losses and undermine bullish setups.

重新測試和回收$ 85,233可能會觸發勢頭，以推動$ 86,000至86,500美元的水平。另一方面，低於$ 84,000的細分，尤其是隨著銷售量的增加，可能會導致一系列級聯的停止損失和破壞看漲的設置。

Momentum indicators are giving mixed signals. The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 48, suggesting neutral momentum, while other indicators like the stochastic at 71 and the commodity channel index (CCI) at 13 also reflect a balance in market sentiment.

動量指標給出了混合信號。相對強度指數（RSI）為48，表明中性動量，而其他指標（如71的隨機指標）和13的商品渠道指數（CCI）也反映了市場情緒的平衡。

The average directional index (ADX) at 32 shows that a trend is in place, but it lacks strong conviction. However, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and the momentum indicator are indicating modest bullishness.

32處的平均定向指數（ADX）表明趨勢已經到位，但缺乏強烈的信念。但是，移動平均收斂差異（MACD）和動量指標表明謙虛的看漲度。

Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent swing high of $107,948 on January 20, 2025, to the recent low of $76,680 are also key for identifying potential entry and exit points. The 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% retracement levels are likely to act as key points of interest, offering tactical entry opportunities during price pullbacks.

斐波那契回溯水平從2025年1月20日的107,948美元的鞦韆高點到最近的76,680美元的低點，也是確定潛在入口和出口點的關鍵。 38.2％，50％和61.8％的回撤水平可能充當關鍵興趣點，並在價格下跌期間提供戰術入境機會。

Traders should also keep an eye on the 78.6% and 100% retracement levels to manage downside risk through stop-losses.

交易者還應密切關注78.6％和100％的回撤水平，以通過停止損失來管理下行風險。

Bullish and Bearish Scenarios

看漲和看跌場景

For a bullish scenario, Bitcoin must maintain support above $85,000 and secure a decisive close above $85,233, supported by increasing volume. This could pave the way for a rally toward $86,500 to $88,500. If Bitcoin manages to break resistance at $89,00

對於看漲的情況，比特幣必須維持超過85,000美元的支持，並確保果斷超過$ 85,233的決定性，並得到增加的數量支持。這可以為$ 86,500到$ 88,500的集會鋪平道路。如果比特幣設法以89,00美元的價格打破阻力