比特幣 (BTC) 價格接近關鍵阻力位，到 2024 年底可能反彈至 15 萬美元

比特幣的價格正處於牛市週期的關鍵階段。分析師 Peter Brandt 表示，隨著加密貨幣達到頂峰，要專注於關鍵水平

Bitcoin price is currently experiencing a critical phase in its bull market cycle, with several key levels to watch as the cryptocurrency surges toward its peak, which is expected to be between $130,000 and $150,000 by late 2024, according to veteran technical analyst Peter Brandt.

資深技術分析師Peter Brandt 表示，比特幣價格目前正經歷牛市週期的關鍵階段，隨著加密貨幣飆升至峰值，預計到2024 年底，峰值將達到13 萬至15 萬美元，有幾個關鍵水平值得關注。

Bitcoin’s price has been moving in cycles that are tied to its halving events, which reduce the mining rewards and often lead to supply scarcity. Current price charts show Bitcoin is nearing a resistance point, with technical indicators that suggest the bullish momentum will continue.

比特幣的價格一直在與其減半事件相關的周期中波動，這減少了挖礦獎勵並常常導致供應稀缺。目前的價格圖表顯示比特幣正接近阻力點，技術指標顯示看漲勢頭將持續。

Bitcoin $BTC is now in the sweet spot of the bull market halving cycle that should top in the $130k to $150K range next Aug/Sep. I measure cycles differently than most. For background see link here: https://t.co/XWxS0kT4pO pic.twitter.com/3oDYzIQf69

比特幣 $BTC 目前正處於多頭減半週期的最佳點，預計明年 8 月/9 月將達到 13 萬至 15 萬美元的峰值。我測量週期的方式與大多數人不同。有關背景信息，請參閱此處的連結：https://t.co/XWxS0kT4pO pic.twitter.com/3oDYzIQf69

Resistance Levels: Bitcoin Nears $75,808 Barrier

阻力位：比特幣接近 75,808 美元障礙

The immediate challenge for Bitcoin price is a resistance level around $75,808, which has historically capped further price gains. At the moment, the live Bitcoin price is around $75,756, and a sustained move past this resistance could open the path toward new highs.

比特幣價格面臨的直接挑戰是 75,808 美元附近的阻力位，該水平歷來限制了價格的進一步上漲。目前，比特幣的即時價格約為 75,756 美元，持續突破這一阻力位可能會打開通往新高的道路。

Resistance levels like this one often require significant volume to overcome. If we do see a strong breakout here, it could signal the continuation of Bitcoin’s bullish trend, especially if other technical indicators remain positive.

像這樣的阻力位通常需要大量交易量才能克服。如果我們確實看到這裡出現強勁突破，則可能預示著比特幣看漲趨勢的延續，特別是如果其他技術指標仍然積極的話。

Read also: Bitcoin’s $76K Surge Highlights the “Trump Trade” Effect

另請閱讀：比特幣 7.6 萬美元的飆升凸顯了“川普貿易”效應

On the downside, Bitcoin has established strong support around the $35,000 range. This level has been crucial in previous price consolidations and served as a foundation for the current upward movement.

不利的一面是，比特幣在 35,000 美元範圍內建立了強大的支撐。這一水準在先前的價格盤整中至關重要，也是當前上漲的基礎。

If Bitcoin’s price does correct, we can likely expect to see $35,000 serving as a support level, providing a safety net for investors. This support zone may also help Bitcoin’s price if the broader market pulls back.

如果比特幣的價格確實正確，我們可能會看到 35,000 美元作為支撐位，為投資者提供安全網。如果大盤回落，這個支撐區域也可能有助於比特幣的價格。

Halving and Cyclical Patterns

減半和週期性模式

Bitcoin’s next halving, which is scheduled to take place in 2024, is a significant event that could influence price trends. Over the years, halving events have led to a reduction in supply, limiting the number of new Bitcoins that enter circulation.

比特幣的下一次減半預計將於 2024 年發生，這是可能影響價格趨勢的重大事件。多年來，減半事件導致供應減少，限制了進入流通的新比特幣數量。

In the past, this scarcity has sparked rallies, and the current cycle shows a similar upward momentum leading into the halving period.

過去，這種稀缺性引發了反彈，當前週期也顯示出類似的上漲勢頭，進入減半期。

Additionally, Brandt’s analysis of Bitcoin’s price chart reveals a pattern of roughly 74 bars (518 days). According to him, past cycles have shown that these intervals often precede bullish breakouts, suggesting the possibility of a price surge in the upcoming months.

此外，Brandt 對比特幣價格圖表的分析揭示了大約 74 個柱子（518 天）的模式。他表示，過去的周期表明，這些區間通常先於看漲突破，這表明未來幾個月價格可能會飆升。

Technical Indicators Signal Bullish Momentum

技術指標顯示看漲勢頭

At press time, the Bitcoin price is trading at $75,756.04, indicating a 1.91% increase over the last 24 hours, with trading volume exceeding $64 billion. The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 70.63, suggesting overbought conditions in the short term, which may signal a brief pullback before further gains.

截至發稿，比特幣價格報75,756.04美元，較過去24小時上漲1.91%，交易量超過640億美元。 4小時相對強弱指數（RSI）目前位於70.63，顯示短期處於超買狀態，這可能預示在進一步上漲之前會出現短暫回調。

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a bullish crossover, with the MACD line trading above the signal line, pointing to sustained upward momentum.

同時，移動平均線收斂發散（MACD）指標顯示出看漲交叉，MACD線交投於訊號線上方，顯示上漲動能持續。

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