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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)價格與全球貨幣供應量(M2)的相關性預示著可能出現大規模調整

2024/12/22 19:32

這種關係暗示比特幣可能會急劇下跌至 20,000 美元,較當前估值下跌近 80%。

比特幣(BTC)價格與全球貨幣供應量(M2)的相關性預示著可能出現大規模調整

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price could be set for a massive drop to as low as $20,000 if its historical correlation with the global money supply continues to hold.

如果比特幣 (BTC) 與全球貨幣供應量的歷史相關性繼續保持,其價格可能會大幅下跌至 20,000 美元。

According to an analysis by financial commentary platform The Kobeissi Letter in an X post on December 21, Bitcoin’s price could experience a steep decline of almost 80% from its current valuation if this relationship persists.

根據財經評論平台 The Koheissi Letter 在 12 月 21 日的 X 貼文中的分析,如果這種關係持續下去,比特幣的價格可能會比當前估值急劇下跌近 80%。

The platform highlighted that Bitcoin prices have shown a lagged correlation with the global money supply, typically trailing by about 10 weeks. This trend aligns with the recent peak in the M2 money supply, which reached a record $108.5 trillion in October. However, the supply decreased by $4.1 trillion to reach $104.4 trillion as of December, marking the lowest level since August.

該平台強調,比特幣價格與全球貨幣供應量呈現滯後相關性,通常落後約 10 週。這一趨勢與近期 M2 貨幣供應量高峰一致,10 月達到創紀錄的 108.5 兆美元。然而,截至 12 月,供應量減少 4.1 兆美元,達到 104.4 兆美元,創下 8 月以來的最低水準。

Interestingly, this decline coincides with Bitcoin’s recent setback, which saw the cryptocurrency岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可眺望岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危岌岌可危

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