比特幣（BTC）價格分析：川普任命支持加密貨幣的倡導者，反彈可能尚未見頂

唐納德·川普在宣誓就任第 47 任總統後的就職演說中對加密貨幣保持沉默，導致比特幣在最近幾個小時內小幅下跌

Bitcoin price dropped quickly following Donald Trump's inauguration as the 47th President of the United States on Monday.

唐納德·川普週一就任美國第 47 任總統後，比特幣價格迅速下跌。

Naturally, investors took it to heart that the President-elect did not mention Bitcoin or the crypto industry at large even once during his inaugural address.

當然，投資人牢記在心的是，當選總統在就職演說中甚至一次都沒有提到比特幣或整個加密產業。

But does that mean the Bitcoin rally has peaked already? Does it suggest the new government is quietly trying to roll back on its claims of what it would do for the crypto enthusiasts in 2025?

但這是否意味著比特幣漲勢已經見頂？這是否表明新政府正在悄悄地試圖推翻其關於 2025 年將為加密貨幣愛好者做些什麼的承諾？

Fortunately, the answer to both concerns seems to be “no”.

幸運的是，這兩個問題的答案似乎都是「否」。

Donald Trump has not lost conviction in Bitcoin

唐納德·川普並沒有失去對比特幣的信心

While Donald Trump may not have mentioned Bitcoin in his inaugural speech, his recent moves clearly indicate intention of making good on promises of pro-crypto policies this year.

儘管唐納德·川普在就職演說中可能沒有提到比特幣，但他最近的舉動明確表明他有意兌現今年支持加密貨幣的政策承諾。

For example, he’s appointed crypto advocate Paul Atkins as the head of the new Securities & Exchange Commission – and more recently, he named David Sacks as the “AI and Crypto Czar” of the White House.

例如，他任命加密貨幣倡導者保羅·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 擔任新的證券交易委員會主席，最近，他任命大衛·薩克斯 (David Sacks) 為白宮的「人工智慧和加密貨幣沙皇」。

Sacks is a veteran in venture capitalism and has previously served as the chief operating officer of digital payments giant PayPal. Sacks has links to Solana.

薩克斯是創投領域的資深人士，此前曾擔任數位支付巨頭PayPal的營運長。薩克斯與索拉納有聯繫。

So, the fact that Trump did not mention crypto in his inaugural address may only suggest the strategic Bitcoin reserve could take another few months to become a reality – and not that he’s no longer committed to making America a crypto superpower in the first place.

因此，川普在就職演說中沒有提到加密貨幣這一事實可能只表明戰略性比特幣儲備可能需要幾個月的時間才能成為現實，而不是表明他一開始就不再致力於讓美國成為加密貨幣超級大國。

In fact, close to 40% of the bets are still in favor of Trump choosing to set up a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the first 100 days in office, as per data from Polymarket.

事實上，根據 Polymarket 的數據，近 40% 的賭注仍然支持川普選擇在上任的前 100 天內建立戰略比特幣儲備。

Bitcoin could benefit as Trump pursues a weaker USD

隨著川普追求美元疲軟，比特幣可能受益

It’s reasonable for investors to remain bullish on Bitcoin even though Trump’s inauguration address had no mention of crypto because his macro policy could serve as a tailwind for the crypto asset as well.

儘管川普的就職演說沒有提及加密貨幣，但投資人仍然看好比特幣是合理的，因為他的宏觀政策也可以成為加密資產的順風車。

Donald Trump has already divulged that he’d favor a weaker US dollar as the 47th President of the United States.

唐納德·川普(Donald Trump)已經透露，身為美國第47任總統，他會支持美元走弱。

Why? Because a weaker dollar typically makes US companies’ products more competitive in the international market. In other words, it tends to boost exports, which ultimately serve as a meaningful tailwind for the economy at large.

為什麼？因為美元疲軟通常會使美國公司的產品在國際市場上更具競爭力。換句話說，它往往會促進出口，最終為整個經濟帶來有意義的動力。

For crypto enthusiasts, however, what may be more exciting to know is that a weaker USD has historically been a tailwind for Bitcoin – the fiat currency and the digital asset have been inversely related for years.

然而，對於加密貨幣愛好者來說，更令人興奮的是，美元疲軟歷來一直是比特幣的順風——法定貨幣和數位資產多年來一直呈負相關。

That’s because a weaker dollar often makes investors pursue alternative stores of value, including Bitcoin.

這是因為美元疲軟常促使投資人尋求其他價值儲存手段，包括比特幣。

Bitcoin technicals suggest bulls are still in control

比特幣技術面顯示多頭仍處於掌控之中

Crypto investors may remain confident in a potential resurgence in Bitcoin price from current levels despite a disappointing inaugural speech from Donald Trump also because the technicals suggest continued further upside ahead.

儘管唐納德·川普的就職演講令人失望，但加密貨幣投資者可能仍對比特幣價格從當前水平回升的可能性充滿信心，因為技術面顯示未來將繼續進一步上漲。

BTC may have been inched down following the President’s inaugural address but it remains above the $102,000 level that’s currently serving as a support, indicating buyers are still in control.

在總統就職演說之後，比特幣可能小幅下跌，但仍高於目前的支撐位 102,000 美元，表明買家仍處於控制之中。

Finally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at a little above 50 at writing even though Bitcoin is currently up some 50% versus its price on the election day (November 6th) – signalling the bullish momentum is far from over just yet.

最後，儘管比特幣目前較選舉日（11 月 6 日）的價格上漲了約 50%，但相對強弱指數 (RSI) 在撰寫本文時仍略高於 50，這表明看漲勢頭還遠未結束。

All in all, while Trump’s inaugural speech may have been a setback for Bitcoin investors on Monday, the broader commitment of the new government to crypto likely remains intact. So, the long-term bullish view for BTC may still play out in the weeks ahead.

總而言之，雖然川普週一的就職演說可能對比特幣投資者來說是一次挫折，但新政府對加密貨幣的更廣泛承諾可能仍然完好無損。因此，比特幣的長期看漲觀點可能在未來幾週內仍會發揮作用。