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儘管比特幣在六個月多的時間裡一直在努力創下新的歷史高點,但其 MVRV 比率仍低於過去的峰值,這表明比特幣有進一步上漲的潛力。
Bitcoin price has been unable to set a new all-time high for over six months, yet its MVRV ratio remains below past peaks, signaling potential for further gains.
比特幣價格已連續六個月未能創下歷史新高,但其 MVRV 比率仍低於過去的峰值,顯示有進一步上漲的潛力。
A recent analysis by IntoTheBlock highlights signs of potential upside in Bitcoin, despite ongoing bearish sentiment. The analysis underscores the importance of the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio in gauging Bitcoin’s cycle top.
IntoTheBlock 最近的一項分析突顯了比特幣潛在上漲的跡象,儘管看跌情緒持續存在。該分析強調了 MVRV(市場價值與已實現價值)比率在衡量比特幣週期頂部的重要性。
In the current market cycle, Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio peaked at 2.64 in March, a relatively low value compared to previous bull markets. This suggests that, according to the market intelligence platform, Bitcoin’s rally may not be complete, with room for further upward price movement before the market reaches a true top.
在目前的市場週期中,比特幣的MVRV比率在3月份達到高峰2.64,與先前的多頭市場相比相對較低。這表明,根據市場情報平台的說法,比特幣的反彈可能尚未完成,在市場達到真正的頂部之前,價格還有進一步上漲的空間。
Historical MVRV Peaks
歷史 MVRV 峰值
IntoTheBlock’s historical data provides key insights into Bitcoin’s past performance. During the 2017 market cycle, the MVRV ratio reached a peak of 4.35, while the 2021 cycle saw a high of 3.7.
IntoTheBlock 的歷史數據提供了有關比特幣過去表現的重要見解。在2017年市場週期中,MVRV比率達到峰值4.35,而2021年週期則達到3.7的高點。
Hence, the current MVRV of 2.64 remains significantly lower, indicating that the cryptocurrency still has some distance to cover before reaching a cycle’s top comparable to previous cycles.
因此,目前 MVRV 2.64 仍然明顯較低,這表明加密貨幣在達到與先前週期相比的週期頂部之前仍有一段距離。
📊 Historical MVRV Insights:
📊 歷史 MVRV 見解:
2017 Peak: 4.35
2017年高峰:4.35
2021 Peak: 3.7
2021 年高峰:3.7
During the current cycle, MVRV peaked at 2.64, which seems relatively low to signal a market top. 🤔
在當前週期中,MVRV 達到峰值 2.64,這似乎相對較低,表明市場已見頂。 🤔
🔍 What MVRV level are you keeping an eye on? pic.twitter.com/Vq2iViWEtp
🔍 您關注的 MVRV 等級是多少? pic.twitter.com/Vq2iViWEtp
— IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) October 3, 2024
- IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) 2024 年 10 月 3 日
Whales Yet to See Massive Profit From Bitcoin
鯨魚尚未從比特幣中獲得巨額利潤
Another indication that Bitcoin’s top is not in yet may be observed through whale activity. The founder of CryptoQuant, Ki Young Ju, has noted that Bitcoin whales, particularly those holding large amounts of the cryptocurrency, have not yet seen substantial profits in this market cycle.
比特幣尚未見頂的另一個跡象可以透過鯨魚活動觀察到。 CryptoQuant 的創辦人 Ki Young Ju 指出,比特幣鯨魚,特別是那些持有大量加密貨幣的鯨魚,在這個市場週期中尚未看到可觀的利潤。
Many new whale wallets, including custodial wallets and ETF-related accounts, have shown limited gains. This suggests that these major holders are likely to continue holding rather than selling off their positions.
許多新的鯨魚錢包,包括託管錢包和 ETF 相關帳戶,收益有限。這表明這些主要持有者可能會繼續持有而不是出售其頭寸。
This accumulation of Bitcoin by whales further supports the notion that the market may have more room to grow. The whales are reportedly acquiring large quantities of Bitcoin through over-the-counter (OTC) markets, adding to the pressure on Bitcoin’s supply without contributing directly to the price volatility in exchanges.
鯨魚對比特幣的累積進一步支持了市場可能有更大成長空間的觀點。據報道,鯨魚正在透過場外交易(OTC)市場購買大量比特幣,這增加了比特幣供應的壓力,但並未直接導致交易所的價格波動。
At press time, Bitcoin is trading around $61,000, down by over 4% since this week.
截至發稿時,比特幣交易價格約為 61,000 美元,自本週以來下跌超過 4%。
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