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在過去的24小時內,BTC保持了相對穩定的性能,略微下降了0.84%,顯示出明顯的市場疲憊跡象。
Bitcoin [BTC] has maintained relatively stable performance over the last 24 hours, dropping slightly by 0.84%, showing clear signs of exhaustion in the market. However, several indicators now suggest that a rally is near and in motion, with Bitcoin potentially extending its move further.
在過去的24小時內,比特幣[BTC]保持了相對穩定的性能,略微下降了0.84%,顯示出明顯的市場疲憊跡象。但是,現在有幾個指標表明集會即將到來,比特幣可能進一步擴展其移動。
One critical metric aligning with the bullish narrative is the sell-side ratio. This ratio compares investor spending within a specific period to the realized market capitalization.
賣方比率是一個關鍵的指標與看漲的敘述。該比率將在特定時期內的投資者支出與已實現的市值進行了比較。
Historically, when this level drops to the 0.1% region or below, it often signals the start of a major price rally. Currently, the sell-side ratio stands at 0.086%, implying that Bitcoin could resume its rally soon.
從歷史上看,當該水平下降到0.1%的地區或以下時,它通常會標誌著主要價格集會的開始。目前,賣方比率為0.086%,這意味著比特幣可以很快恢復其集會。
Image Credit: Glassnode
圖片來源:玻璃節
Furthermore, the adjusted spent output profit ratio (aSOPR) has recently crossed below 1, with a reading of 0.99—suggesting that traders are selling at a loss.
此外,調整後的支出利潤率(ASOPR)最近越過1次以下,讀數為0.99,這表明交易者正在損失出售。
Selling at a loss usually forces the market upward as Bitcoin is being accumulated at a discount.
由於比特幣以折扣價累積,損失的銷售通常會迫使市場向上迫使市場。
While these indicators remain bullish and suggest a rally could be near, AMBCrypto’s analysis shows that traders may be waiting for the optimal buying opportunity.
儘管這些指標仍然看漲,並暗示可能會舉行集會,但Ambcrypto的分析表明,交易者可能正在等待最佳的購買機會。
The Bitcoin Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) momentum (70-day) indicator helps determine this prime opportunity. A major price run typically begins when the MVRV crosses above its 70-day moving average.
對實現價值(MVRV)動量(70天)指標的比特幣市場價值有助於確定這一主要機會。當MVRV超過其70天移動平均線以上時,主要價格通常會開始。
If this happens, Bitcoin could start making higher highs, increasing its overall monthly gain, currently at 4.32%, according to CoinMarketCap.
根據CoinMarketCap的數據,如果發生這種情況,比特幣可能會開始提高高點,增加其總月收益,目前為4.32%。
Market activity remains low
市場活動仍然很低
Market activity remains subdued, with fewer transactions occurring, indicating a lack of momentum to push Bitcoin forward.
市場活動仍然柔和,交易量較少,這表明缺乏推動比特幣前進的動力。
At the time of writing, the amount of BTC being transferred has dropped significantly, currently at approximately 441,000 BTC—a sharp decline from previous highs.
在撰寫本文時,轉移的BTC數量已大大下降,目前約為441,000 BTC,與以前的高點相比急劇下降。
If market momentum continues to decline, the likelihood of a sustained rally remains slim. For a rally to occur with full force, both volume and price must rise simultaneously.
如果市場勢頭繼續下降,持續集會的可能性仍然很小。為了使集會全力發生,數量和價格都必須同時上升。
A divergence between the two would indicate weak momentum, making a rally unlikely.
兩者之間的差異表明勢頭較弱,使集會不太可能。
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