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比特幣 [BTC] 投資者在 10 月對 BTC 表現出了很大的樂觀態度,以至於 Uptober 一直處於趨勢之中。這可能與多種因素有關
Bitcoin [BTC] investors had a lot to be excited about in October, to the point that Uptober was trending. This could be due to several factors, including lower interest rates, historical performance in October and BTC’s latest bullish performance.
十月份,比特幣 [BTC] 投資者有很多值得興奮的事情,以至於 Uptober 成為趨勢。這可能是由於多種因素造成的,包括較低的利率、10 月的歷史表現以及 BTC 最新的看漲表現。
However, despite the bullish expectations for Bitcoin in October, there were signs that things could pan out differently. For example, a recent CryptoQuant analysis suggested that BTC’s latest highs observed towards the end of September could mark its latest local high.
然而,儘管 10 月人們對比特幣抱持看漲預期,但有跡象表明情況可能會有所不同。例如,最近的 CryptoQuant 分析表明,BTC 在 9 月底觀察到的最新高點可能標誌著其最新的本地高點。
The analysis was based on BTC’s NVT golden cross and its recent push above 2.2. Another analysis suggested that Bitcoin will likely struggle to maintain bullish momentum in October based on historic performance.
該分析基於 BTC 的 NVT 金叉及其近期突破 2.2 的走勢。另一項分析表明,根據歷史表現,比特幣可能很難在 10 月保持看漲勢頭。
According to the analysis, Bitcoin rallied for two weeks after a major rate cut in 2019, followed by two months of bearish performance.
分析稱,比特幣在2019年大幅降息後連續兩週上漲,隨後經歷了兩個月的看跌表現。
These observations suggested that Bitcoin may still be subject to sell pressure despite the prevailing hype. This was already evident in BTC’s latest performance.
這些觀察結果表明,儘管炒作盛行,但比特幣可能仍面臨拋售壓力。這在比特幣的最新表現中已經很明顯了。
The cryptocurrency had already given up some of its September gains, indicating that some investors were taking profits.
該加密貨幣已經回吐了 9 月的部分漲幅,顯示一些投資者正在獲利了結。
Bitcoin sell pressure mounts
比特幣拋售壓力加大
Bitcoin recently threatened to dip below the $60,000 price point on 1 October. It was trading at $61,430 at press time. It has so far tanked by 7.8% from its highest price in September.
比特幣最近有可能在 10 月 1 日跌破 6 萬美元的價格點。截至發稿時,其交易價格為 61,430 美元。迄今為止,該價格已較 9 月的最高價格下跌 7.8%。
This meant it was on course to fall to the $59,580 and $57,940 price range as per the Fibbonacci retracement.
這意味著根據斐波那契回撤,價格將跌至 59,580 美元和 57,940 美元的價格範圍。
Source: TradingView
來源:TradingView
The pullback was indication enough that the hype post-rate cut announcement had run its course. However, this raised more questions than it answered. Would demand resume if price retests the Fibonnacci level?
這次回檔足以表明降息公告後的炒作已經結束。然而,這提出的問題多於它回答的問題。如果價格重新測試斐波那契水平,需求會恢復嗎?
On-chain data presented information that was consistent with the bearish outcome. For example, Bitcoin exchange reserves had maintained an overall downtrend for the last few months with slight upticks here and there.
鏈上數據提供的資訊與看跌結果一致。例如,比特幣交易儲備在過去幾個月中總體保持下降趨勢,但有時略有上升。
The Bitcoin exchange reserves concluded September with a bit of an uptick. This confirmed that some coins had been moving from private wallets to exchanges. In most cases, this was consistent with a resurgence of sell pressure in the last few days.
9 月份,比特幣交易儲備略有上升。這證實了一些代幣已從私人錢包轉移到交易所。在大多數情況下,這與過去幾天拋售壓力的重新抬頭是一致的。
Source: CryptoQuant
來源:CryptoQuant
The exchange reserve uptick was also consistent with a dip in Bitcoin open interest since 26th September. This confirmed that the demand for Bitcoin in the derivatives segment also slowed down.
外匯存底的上升也與 9 月 26 日以來比特幣未平倉合約的下降一致。這證實了衍生性商品領域對比特幣的需求也放緩了。
Source: CryptoQuant
來源:CryptoQuant
Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25
閱讀比特幣 [BTC] 2024-25 價格預測
The findings suggested a strong possibility that BTC may face more sell pressure in the short run, as was currently the case, but this did not provide a clear timeline.
研究結果表明,比特幣很可能在短期內面臨更大的拋售壓力,就像目前的情況一樣,但這並沒有提供明確的時間表。
It could be a short-lived pullback or turn out to be a longer one, depending on how things will play out.
這可能是短暫的回調,也可能是更長的回調,這取決於事態的發展。
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