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比特幣 [BTC] 在 9 月底強勁反彈後,在 6.65 萬美元的價格上遭到拒絕。十月通常是代幣獲得正回報的一個月
Bitcoin [BTC] faced a strong rejection at $66.5k toward the end of September as it failed to hold on to the gains. While October usually brings positive returns for the coin, this time has been different.
比特幣 [BTC] 在 9 月底遭遇了 6.65 萬美元的強烈拒絕,因為它未能守住漲幅。雖然十月通常會為代幣帶來正回報,但這次有所不同。
At the time of writing, BTC was down 4% from the month’s open. The spent output age bands metric showed that many longer-term holders opted to sell Bitcoin on 8 October.
截至撰寫本文時,BTC 較當月開盤價下跌 4%。支出年齡範圍指標顯示,許多長期持有者選擇在 10 月 8 日出售比特幣。
The 12-month to 18-month band showed the selling activity, which was last seen in January 2021.
12 個月至 18 個月區間顯示拋售活動,最後一次出現在 2021 年 1 月。
Bitcoin halving returns not matching expectations As per a post on X by CryptoQuant Founder and CEO Ki Young Ju, we are on course to have the longest sideways price action in a halving year.
比特幣減半報酬率不符合預期 根據 CryptoQuant 創辦人兼執行長 Ki Young Ju 在 X 上發表的一篇文章,我們將迎來減半年中最長的橫向價格走勢。
The 2020 cycle saw Bitcoin begin its rally mid-way through October. While the performance of BTC in the first quarter far surpassed the one seen in 2020, the two years had wildly different starts.
2020 年周期中,比特幣在 10 月中旬開始上漲。儘管 BTC 第一季的表現遠遠超過 2020 年,但這兩年的開局卻截然不同。
In 2024, the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were approved in the U.S., leading to a massive wave of demand.
2024年,現貨ETF在美國獲得批准,引發了巨大的需求浪潮。
On the other hand, in 2020, the onset of the Coronavirus pandemic was looming and every analyst and investor was on the verge of panic due to the threat of economic damage.
另一方面,2020年,冠狀病毒大流行的爆發迫在眉睫,每個分析師和投資者都因經濟損失的威脅而處於恐慌的邊緣。
However, a counterargument is that the longer the consolidation phase, the stronger the breakout. Could this happen to Bitcoin, or is the king coin more mature and less amenable to the crazy gains it saw in previous cycles? Only time will tell.
然而,一個反駁的觀點是,盤整階段越長,突破就越強。這種情況會發生在比特幣身上嗎?只有時間才能證明一切。
Bitcoin October sell-off might be a ‘buy the dip’ scenario As per a post on X by crypto analyst nestay, the first two weeks of October have historically seen volatility and a seeming downturn, before recovery.
比特幣10 月的拋售可能是一種「逢低買入」的情況根據加密貨幣分析師nestay 在X 上的一篇文章,從歷史上看,10 月的前兩週在復甦之前會出現波動和看似低迷的情況。
The 2021, 2023, and 2024 price actions were compared. In each of these cases, the market structure turned bearish before a bullish trend was established in the second half of the month.
對 2021 年、2023 年和 2024 年的價格走勢進行了比較。在每一個案例中,市場結構在下半月建立看漲趨勢之前都轉為看跌。
This might encourage the idea of buying the dip. Now, whether Bitcoin can trend as strongly as it did in the previous cycle is unknown, but long-term holders would likely prefer to HODL than to sell in the face of disappointing Bitcoin performances.
這可能會鼓勵逢低買入的想法。現在,比特幣的走勢是否能像上一個週期那樣強勁尚不得而知,但面對令人失望的比特幣表現,長期持有者可能更願意持有而不是出售。
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