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比特幣 [BTC] 市場情緒開始轉為看漲。加密貨幣恐懼和貪婪指數為 63,顯示在 BTC 突破 6.4 萬美元阻力區後,貪婪在市場上佔據主導地位。
Bitcoin [BTC] market sentiment was starting to turn bullish. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index stood at 63 to show greed was predominant in the market after BTC raced past the $64k resistance zone.
比特幣 [BTC] 市場情緒開始轉為看漲。加密貨幣恐懼和貪婪指數為 63,顯示在 BTC 突破 6.4 萬美元阻力區後,貪婪在市場上佔據主導地位。
However, a closer look at the data revealed a different story. Despite the BTC rally, the interest from the wider market was minimal. It was only a fraction of the frenzy seen during the 2020 run.
然而,仔細觀察數據卻發現了不同的情況。儘管比特幣上漲,但更廣泛市場的興趣卻微乎其微。這只是 2020 年跑步期間瘋狂的一小部分。
A look at the popularity of the term “Bitcoin” on Google Trends underlines this point. It reached the zenith of its popularity in the first half of 2021. The rally from last October to March 2024 saw BTC popularity reach a score of 58.
谷歌趨勢上「比特幣」一詞的流行程度就突顯了這一點。 2021年上半年,BTC的受歡迎程度達到高峰。
In contrast, the score it set last week was 20. This meant that Bitcoin searches are only a third of what they were earlier this year, even as the king of crypto trades just 11% below its all-time high.
相比之下,上週的得分為 20。
AMBCrypto took a closer look at other charts to understand what this means for the wider crypto market.
AMBCrypto 仔細研究了其他圖表,以了解這對更廣泛的加密市場意味著什麼。
Bitcoin Dominance is key for understanding capital flow
比特幣的主導地位是理解資本流的關鍵
At press time, the total crypto market capitalization was $2.3 trillion. The Bitcoin Dominance, or BTC’s share of the total market cap, stood at 57.66%. The weekly chart outlined the 60% area as a resistance zone.
截至發稿時,加密貨幣總市值為 2.3 兆美元。比特幣主導地位,即 BTC 在總市值中的份額,為 57.66%。週線圖將 60% 區域描繪為阻力區。
The BTC.D chart generally has an inverse correlation with how well alts perform. A fall in BTC.D means that the altcoin market cap is rising faster than BTC’s, which would be a positive development for the alt market.
BTC.D 圖表通常與山寨幣的表現呈負相關。 BTC.D 的下跌意味著山寨幣市值的上漲速度快於 BTC,這對山寨幣市場來說是一個積極的發展。
However, comparing with the 2020 cycle, we see that it would be ideal if Bitcoin can embark on a long-term uptrend to draw capital to the crypto market. Once it does, this capital can “rotate” into other altcoin sectors, which traders and investors can profit from.
然而,與2020年周期相比,我們認為如果比特幣能夠走上長期上漲趨勢,為加密貨幣市場吸引資金,那將是理想的選擇。一旦完成,這些資本就可以「輪換」到其他山寨幣領域,交易者和投資者可以從中獲利。
Long-term investors can use this dominance chart to understand whether Bitcoin or the altcoins are the market’s focus at any given time.
長期投資者可以使用此主導圖表來了解比特幣或山寨幣在任何特定時間是否是市場的焦點。
Another positive sign for alt season
另類季節的另一個積極跡象
The market capitalization of the top crypto assets excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum [ETH] are represented on the chart above. It broke out past a descending channel formation.
上圖顯示了除比特幣和以太坊 [ETH] 之外的頂級加密資產的市值。它突破了下降通道形態。
In doing so, it also breached the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the 2020 bull run.
同時,它也突破了 2020 年多頭市場的 50% 斐波那契回檔位。
This set the stage up nicely for a strong performance from the altcoins in the coming months. From a technical perspective and looking at historic trends, the only way for the crypto market to go is upward over the next 3-6 months.
這為山寨幣在未來幾個月的強勁表現奠定了良好的基礎。從技術角度和歷史趨勢來看,加密貨幣市場唯一的出路是在未來 3-6 個月內上漲。
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