比特幣從較早的更正中反彈

在特朗普總統90天的關稅停頓之後

Bitcoin (BTC) has encountered a setback in its recent rally, with prices pulling back from earlier highs above $85,000. The rebound followed a period of market concern, which was soothed by President Trump’s 90-day tariff pause on all countries except China. The move has also reignited some bullish momentum, which was waning amid the recent pullback.

比特幣（BTC）在最近的集會中遇到了挫折，價格從早期高於85,000美元以上的價格撤回。反彈之後是市場關注的時期，特朗普總統在中國以外的所有國家 /地區的90天關稅停頓舒適。此舉也重新點燃了一些看漲的勢頭，這在最近的回調中逐漸減弱。

While retail investors and algos are showing activity, there’s an unusual lack of activity from Bitcoin whales, especially on Binance. On-chain metrics suggest that these large holders are neither selling in droves nor accumulating in force. The question now is whether their restraint signals confidence, caution, or a setup for a bigger market move ahead.

雖然散戶投資者和algos正在展示活動，但比特幣鯨的活動不尋常，尤其是在Binance上。鏈上指標表明，這些大型持有人既沒有賣在斗爭，也沒有有效積累。現在的問題是，他們的約束信號是信心，謹慎還是設置，以實現更大的市場前進。

Chart: TradingView

圖表：TradingView

New analysis from CryptoQuant shows that Binance whales are keeping a low profile. The Exchange Whale Ratio (EWR), which tracks the proportion of large inflows compared to total exchange inflows, reveals a mixed picture. In the long term, the 365-day moving average is rising, suggesting that whales have been more influential over time. However, in the short term, the 30-day trend is falling. This drop points to a pause in active trading or distribution.

加密量的新分析表明，二鯨保持低調。與總交換流入相比，跟踪大量流入比例的交換鯨比（EWR）揭示了混合的情況。從長遠來看，365天移動平均線正在上升，這表明鯨魚隨著時間的流逝而變得更加影響力。但是，在短期內，30天的趨勢正在下降。該下降表明在主動交易或分銷中停了下來。

The Whale-to-Exchange Flow metric also supports this, showing a notable $3 billion decline in whale inflows to Binance over the last month. This pattern matches behavior seen during market corrections in 2024, where whales held positions rather than selling into weakness. The current data implies that whales are observing, not panicking, possibly positioning for a more strategic entry or waiting for clearer macro signals.

鯨魚到交換的流量指標也支持這一點，顯示上個月鯨魚流入鯨魚流入下降了30億美元。這種模式與2024年在市場校正期間看到的行為相匹配，鯨魚擔任職位而不是賣給弱點。當前的數據表明，鯨魚正在觀察而不是驚慌，可能會定位以進行更具戰略意義或等待更清晰的宏信號。

Meanwhile, separate data highlights strong buy-side activity from retail and mid-size players. With Bitcoin whales on the sidelines and persistent buying strength visible, the market may be primed for a larger move once uncertainty clears. Let’s take a look at Bitcoin price predictions to see how these developments impact the price of Bitcoin.

同時，單獨的數據突出了零售和中型玩家的強大購買端活動。由於比特幣鯨在場外並可見持續的購買強度，一旦不確定，市場可能會採取更大的舉動。讓我們看一下比特幣價格預測，以了解這些發展如何影響比特幣的價格。

Bitcoin Price Prediction for April 15, 2025

比特幣價格預測2025年4月15日

The 1-hour chart of BTC/USDT displays consolidation just below the $86,000 resistance zone, with strong support near $83,000. The Bitcoin breakout recently bounced from deeper support levels around $75,000 and $79,000, climbing steadily to reclaim lost ground. However, momentum has slowed near resistance, resulting in sideways movement. The RSI stands at 51.72, reflecting neutral sentiment with no immediate overbought or oversold signals. Notably, prior overbought conditions around April 10 preceded minor corrections, while earlier oversold readings signaled upward rallies.

BTC/USDT的1小時圖表顯示合併位於86,000美元的電阻區，大量支持接近83,000美元。比特幣的突破最近從更深層次的支持水平彈起了75,000美元和79,000美元，穩步攀升以恢復失落的地面。然而，動量已經放慢了接近阻力，從而導致側向運動。 RSI為51.72，反映了中性的情緒，沒有立即超買或超售信號。值得注意的是，4月10日左右的先前過度條件進行了較小的修正，而較早的讀數則表示向上的集會。

Chart 1: Analysed by vallijat007, published on TradingView, April 15, 2025

圖1：由Vallijat007分析，於2025年4月15日在TradingView上發布

On April 11 and 13, the MACD displayed multiple death crosses, suggesting waning bullish momentum and the possibility of brief declines. The flat histogram indicates that there isn’t a clear trend direction. To validate fresh upward momentum, bulls would need to see a breakthrough over $86,000. On the other hand, a decline below $83,000 may lead to a test of lower supports. Although the structure of the Bitcoin breakout is still positive overall, with higher lows, prudence is advised as the market tests a significant resistance level with waning momentum.

4月11日至13日，MACD展示了多個死亡十字架，這表明看漲的動力和短暫下降的可能性。平面直方圖表示沒有明確的趨勢方向。為了驗證新鮮的動力，公牛隊需要看到超過86,000美元的突破。另一方面，低於$ 83,000的下降可能會導致對較低支持的測試。儘管比特幣突破的結構總體上仍然是積極的，但由於市場測試的勢頭降低，因此建議審慎，因為市場測試具有顯著的阻力水平。

Market Eyes Whales as Key to Next BTC Move

市場眼鯨是下一個BTC移動的關鍵

Bitcoin’s recovery has sparked renewed optimism, but a key missing piece is the behavior of Bitcoin whales. Large holders on Binance are unusually quiet, with data showing a pullback in inflows and reduced exchange activity. This pause suggests strategic patience rather than panic selling. If macro conditions stabilize and buying pressure from smaller players holds, whales may soon re-enter. Until then, the market is treading cautiously, waiting to see whether these quiet giants will confirm or disrupt the next bullish leg.

比特幣的恢復激發了人們的樂觀興趣，但關鍵的缺失是比特幣鯨的行為。大型二進制者非常安靜，數據顯示流入和減少的交換活動的回調。此停頓表明戰略性耐心而不是恐慌銷售。如果宏觀條件穩定並從較小的玩家那裡購買壓力，鯨魚可能很快就會重新進入。在此之前，市場一直在謹慎行事，等待這些安靜的巨人是否會確認或破壞下一個看漲的腿。