博彩市場顯示，當選總統川普到 2026 年建立比特幣儲備的可能性為 70%

Kalshi 和 Polymarket 因其預測市場的準確性而受到關注，它們比傳統民意調查方法更有效地預測美國大選結果。

Betting markets are indicating a high probability of President-elect Donald Trump establishing a Bitcoin reserve during his presidency.

博彩市場表明，當選總統唐納德·川普很有可能在其總統任期內建立比特幣儲備。

According to Kalshi, traders are betting on a 70% chance that Trump will create this reserve by 2026.

Kalshi 表示，交易員押注川普有 70% 的機會在 2026 年之前建立這項儲備。

Polymarket bettors, on the other hand, estimate a 42% chance of this occurring within his first 100 days in office. These odds have reportedly risen by about 20% since earlier this month.

另一方面，Polymarket 投注者估計，在他上任的頭 100 天內，這種情況發生的可能性為 42%。據報道，自本月初以來，這一幾率上升了約 20%。

Kalshi and Polymarket have gained attention for their accuracy in prediction markets, having forecasted the outcomes of the US elections more effectively than traditional polling methods.

Kalshi 和 Polymarket 因其預測市場的準確性而受到關注，它們比傳統民意調查方法更有效地預測美國大選結果。

Trump, who advocated for the US to become a leader in cryptocurrency at the Bitcoin 2024 conference, also proposed the creation of a national Bitcoin reserve.

在比特幣2024大會上主張美國成為加密貨幣領導者的川普還提議建立國家比特幣儲備。

This proposal aligns with US Senator Cynthia Lummis’ BITCOIN Act, which aims to require the Treasury Department to acquire 1 million BTC over five years.

該提案與美國參議員 Cynthia Lummis 的比特幣法案一致，該法案旨在要求財政部在五年內收購 100 萬比特幣。

Recent reports indicate that Trump is open to including a diverse range of cryptocurrencies, such as USD Coin, Solana, and XRP, in this potential reserve.

最近的報告表明，川普願意將多種加密貨幣納入這項潛在儲備，例如 USD Coin、Solana 和 XRP。

Additionally, Trump intends to issue an executive order prioritizing cryptocurrency on a national level once he assumes office.

此外，川普打算在就職後發布一項行政命令，在國家層級優先考慮加密貨幣。

CoinShares, a digital asset investment firm, has suggested that forming a Bitcoin reserve in the US could have a greater long-term impact on the asset’s adoption than the introduction of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in 2024.

數位資產投資公司 CoinShares 表示，與 2024 年推出比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 相比，在美國建立比特幣儲備可能對該資產的採用產生更大的長期影響。

As the incoming administration prepares to make its move, the cryptocurrency industry is keeping a close watch to see if these promises regarding cryptocurrency will come to fruition.

隨著即將上任的政府準備採取行動，加密貨幣產業正在密切關注這些加密貨幣的承諾是否會實現。