（arweave）亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）：比特幣（BTC）在今年晚些時候達到新的歷史最高水平之前已經深入降低了。

海斯在一篇新的博客文章中說，比特幣的“更有可能”前進的道路是在大規模集會之前從目前的水平下降32％。

According to BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to experience a deep drawdown before reaching a new all-time high later this year.

根據Bitmex聯合創始人Arthur Hayes的說法，比特幣（BTC）可能會在今年晚些時候達到新的歷史最高水平之前會經歷深層的縮寫。

Hayes stated in a recent blog post that the “more probable” scenario for Bitcoin is a drop of up to 32% from its current level before a substantial rally.

海耶斯在最近的博客文章中說，比特幣的“更可能”方案在實質性集會之前的目前水平下降了32％。

“I don’t think this bull cycle is over, but looking ahead, I think we’re more likely to see Bitcoin drop to $70,000-$75,000 and then hit $250,000 by year-end than to see it continue climbing with no major pullback.”

“我認為這個公牛的周期沒有結束，但是展望未來，我認為我們更有可能看到比特幣降至70,000-75,000美元，然後逐年達到250,000美元，而不是看到它繼續攀升而沒有重大回調。透明

Hayes stated that after being bullish earlier this year, his “excitement has vanished” due to bearish signals from the macroeconomic environment and the crypto industry.

海耶斯說，由於宏觀經濟環境和加密貨幣行業的看跌信號，今年早些時候看漲了他的“興奮消失”。

“Subtle shifts in central bank balance sheet levels, the rate of banking credit expansion, the relationship between the US 10-yr treasury/stocks/Bitcoin prices, and the狂野Official Trump (TRUMP) memecoin price action gave me a gut feeling. It’s similar to what I felt in late 2021, right before the crypto markets crashed.”

“中央銀行資產負債表，銀行信貸的增長率，美國10年庫存/股票/比特幣價格之間的關係的細微轉變以及狂野官方特朗普官方（特朗普）紀念價格行動給我帶來了直覺。這類似於我在加密貨幣市場崩潰之前的2021年末的感受。”

Another factor contributing to the BitMEX co-founder’s change in sentiment is the slowing rate of money supply increase in the world’s first, second, and fourth-largest economies.

促成Bitmex聯合創始人情緒變化的另一個因素是，全球第一，第二和第四大經濟體的貨幣供應率降低了。

“A pullback of this magnitude would be brutal because the level of bullishness right now is so high. Trump keeps saying the right things with these executive orders, whether it’s boosting sentiment by pardoning Ross Ulbricht or stoking the degen crypto spirits with his recent memecoin launch. However, the slowdown in dirty fiat creation in Pax Americana, China, and Japan is not being fully appreciated.”

“這樣的回調將是殘酷的，因為現在的看漲程度如此之高。特朗普一直在用這些執行命令說正確的話，無論是通過赦免羅斯·烏爾布里希特（Ross Ulbricht）還是通過他最近的成員發射來促進羅斯·烏爾布里希特（Ross Ulbricht）的情感。但是，在Pax Americana，中國和日本，骯髒的菲亞特創建放緩並未得到完全讚賞。”

Bitcoin is currently trading at $102,555.

比特幣目前的交易價格為102,555美元。

AI-Generated Image: Midjourney

AI生成的圖像：Midjourney