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加密貨幣新聞文章

在市場動盪中,XRP 鏈上指標暗示復甦前景

2024/05/02 15:00

XRP 的鏈上指標(包括 MVRV 和 MDIA)與 2023 年 8 月至 9 月有相似之處,這表明如果 MDIA 繼續上漲,則可能被低估並可能導致價格升值。然而,儘管 3 天加權情緒積極,但社交指標仍然不鼓舞人心,社交量和主導地位不斷下降。

在市場動盪中,XRP 鏈上指標暗示復甦前景

XRP: Amidst Market Volatility, On-Chain Metrics Offer Glimmer of Hope

XRP:在市場波動中,鏈上指標帶來了一線希望

The recent cryptocurrency market turmoil has taken its toll on Ripple (XRP), leading to a breach of the crucial $0.5 support level. However, despite the bearish pressure, on-chain metrics suggest that the asset may be poised for a potential recovery.

最近的加密貨幣市場動盪對 Ripple (XRP) 造成了影響,導致其突破了 0.5 美元的關鍵支撐位。然而,儘管面臨看跌壓力,但鏈上指標表明該資產可能已做好潛在復甦的準備。

On-Chain Metrics Indicate Undervaluation and Accumulation

鏈上指標顯示低估和積累

A closer examination of XRP's on-chain metrics reveals noteworthy trends. The percent of total supply in profit has witnessed a significant decline from 92% in mid-March to 72.6% at the time of writing. This drop reflects the substantial losses endured by investors amidst the recent market volatility.

對 XRP 鏈上指標的仔細檢查揭示了值得注意的趨勢。利潤佔總供應量的百分比已從 3 月中旬的 92% 大幅下降至撰寫本文時的 72.6%。這一下跌反映了投資者在近期市場波動中遭受的巨大損失。

However, the Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA) paints a more optimistic picture. The MDIA indicates the average age of coins held by investors. A rising MDIA suggests that investors are accumulating XRP despite the price fluctuations, demonstrating a long-term belief in the asset's potential.

然而,平均美元投資年齡(MDIA)描繪了一幅更樂觀的景象。 MDIA 表示投資者持有代幣的平均年齡。 MDIA 的上升表明,儘管價格波動,投資者仍在累積 XRP,這表明投資者對該資產的潛力抱有長期信心。

Moreover, the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, which measures the profitability of XRP holders, has fallen below -10%. Historically, periods with low MVRV ratios have often coincided with periods of accumulation and subsequent price recoveries.

此外,衡量 XRP 持有者獲利能力的市值與已實現價值 (MVRV) 比率已降至-10% 以下。從歷史上看,MVRV 比率較低的時期通常與累積時期和隨後的價格回升時期同時發生。

In fact, during August and September 2023, the MVRV ratio dipped below -10% while the MDIA steadily increased. This pattern was followed by a rally in XRP prices. The current market conditions bear striking similarities to that period, suggesting the possibility of a similar trajectory for XRP.

事實上,在 2023 年 8 月和 9 月期間,MVRV 比率降至-10% 以下,而 MDIA 則穩定上升。這種模式之後 XRP 價格上漲。目前的市場狀況與那個時期有著驚人的相似之處,這表明 XRP 可能會出現類似的軌跡。

Social Media Engagement Declines

社群媒體參與度下降

While the on-chain metrics offer some hope, XRP's social media engagement has waned. Both the social volume and social dominance have experienced a decline in April compared to March. This suggests that public interest and sentiment towards XRP have weakened.

雖然鏈上指標帶來了一些希望,但 XRP 的社群媒體參與度已經減弱。 4月份的社交量和社交主導度均較3月下降。這表明公眾對 XRP 的興趣和情緒已經減弱。

However, the 3-day weighted sentiment, which gauges the market sentiment towards an asset, remains positive. This indicates that a positive market sentiment could emerge if the technical conditions improve.

然而,衡量市場對資產情緒的 3 天加權情緒仍然樂觀。這表明如果技術條件改善,可能會出現積極的市場情緒。

Swing Traders May Find Opportunities Amidst Volatility

波段交易者可能會在波動中找到機會

Despite the challenging market environment, swing traders may identify potential opportunities. The recent price action suggests that XRP is finding support at the $0.48 level. If the MDIA continues to trend higher, it could provide a bullish signal for traders.

儘管市場環境充滿挑戰,波段交易者仍可能發現潛在的機會。最近的價格走勢表明 XRP 在 0.48 美元水平找到支撐。如果 MDIA 繼續走高,可能會為交易者提供看漲訊號。

Conversely, a sustained breach below the $0.48 support could indicate further downside risk. Traders should exercise caution and monitor the market closely before making any trading decisions.

相反,持續跌破 0.48 美元支撐位可能預示著進一步的下行風險。交易者在做出任何交易決定之前應謹慎行事並密切監控市場。

Ripple's Classification as a 'Zombie Token' Ignites Debate

Ripple被歸類為「殭屍代幣」引發爭論

The recent classification of the Ripple network as a "zombie token" has drawn criticism from long-term investors. Critics argue that the network lacks utility and has failed to gain widespread adoption.

最近,瑞波網絡被歸類為“殭屍代幣”,引起了長期投資者的批評。批評者認為該網絡缺乏實用性並且未能獲得廣泛採用。

However, supporters of Ripple contend that the network has a real-world use case in facilitating cross-border payments. They point to the growth of the RippleNet network and partnerships with financial institutions as evidence of its potential.

然而,瑞波幣的支持者認為,該網路在促進跨國支付方面有一個現實的用例。他們指出 RippleNet 網路的發展以及與金融機構的合作夥伴關係證明了其潛力。

Ultimately, the classification of XRP as a "zombie token" remains a matter of debate. Investors should conduct thorough research and exercise due diligence before making investment decisions based on such classifications.

最終,XRP 被歸類為「殭屍代幣」仍然是一個有爭議的問題。投資者在根據此類分類做出投資決策之前,應進行徹底的研究和盡職調查。

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