如何準確預測牛市的頂峰？您必須掌握這9個關鍵指標！

幾乎不可能準確預測加密市場公牛運行的峰值，但是您可以使用這些數據指標來確定是否是否

It's almost impossible to accurately predict the peak of the crypto market bull run, but you can use these data indicators to determine whether the market is close to the top.

幾乎不可能準確地預測加密市場公牛運行的峰值，但是您可以使用這些數據指標來確定市場是否接近頂部。

If all five signs appear at the same time, then you have either accumulated enough wealth or you can only go back to work at McDonald's...

如果所有五個跡像都同時出現，那麼您要么積累了足夠的財富，要么只能回到麥當勞工作...

Now, let us uncover the secret of the end of the bull market.

現在，讓我們揭開牛市結束的秘密。

1. NUPL (Unrealized Net Profit/Loss)

1。NUPL（未實現的淨利潤/損失）

Market Sentiment Indicators

市場情緒指標

When NUPL enters the mania/greed zone (over 75%), it usually means that the market is close to a top and investors are becoming overly optimistic.

當Nupl進入躁狂/貪婪區（超過75％）時，通常意味著市場接近頂部，投資者變得過於樂觀。

2. RSI (Relative Strength Index)

2。RSI（相對強度指數）

Short-term overbought signal

短期超買信號

When the RSI exceeds 90, the market is usually in an extremely overbought state, and historical data shows that highs are usually formed within 4-7 weeks, followed by a correction.

當RSI超過90時，市場通常處於極為超出的狀態，歷史數據表明，高點通常在4-7週內形成，然後進行更正。

3. Altcoin Season Index

3。Altcoin季節指數

Altcoins vs Bitcoin

Altcoins與比特幣

When the index exceeds 85, it means that altcoins as a whole are outperforming Bitcoin, which is usually a sign that the market has entered a frenzy phase.

當指數超過85時，這意味著山寨幣整體上的表現優於比特幣，這通常是市場進入瘋狂階段的標誌。

4. MVRV Z-Score (Market Value vs Actual Value)

4。MVRVz得分（市場價值與實際價值）

Determining whether the market is extremely overvalued

確定市場是否非常高估

When the MVRV Z-Score exceeds 6, it indicates that the market may be close to the top and we need to be alert to the potential risk of a pullback.

當MVRV Z得分超過6時，這表明市場可能接近頂部，我們需要警惕回調的潛在風險。

5. Pi Cycle Top Indicator

5。PI循環頂部指示器

Accurately Identify the Peak of Bitcoin Bull Market

準確確定比特幣牛市的峰值

This indicator has successfully predicted major price highs for Bitcoin over multiple cycles.

該指標已成功預測了比特幣在多個週期中的主要價格高點。

When it sends out warning signals, it means the bull market is about to peak.

當它發出警告信號時，這意味著牛市即將達到頂峰。

6. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

6。MACD（移動平均收斂差異）

Trend Change and Momentum Signals

趨勢變化和動量信號

When MACD forms a death cross, it means that market momentum is weakening and the trend may reverse.

當MACD形成死亡十字架時，這意味著市場動量正在減弱，趨勢可能會逆轉。

7. MFI (Money Flow Index)

7. MFI（貨幣流索引）

Buying and selling pressure monitoring

買賣壓力監控

Similar to the RSI, but the MFI incorporates volume data and when it shows extreme overbought conditions, it often signals a market top.

與RSI相似，但是MFI包含了數量數據，當它顯示出極端的過份條件時，它通常會標誌著市場頂部。

8. Composite Business Cycle Index

8。綜合商業周期指數

Macroeconomic impact

宏觀經濟的影響

When the index exceeds 50, it indicates that the market may be about to enter a peak phase.

當指數超過50時，這表明市場可能會進入峰值階段。

9. Mayer Multiple

9. Mayer多重

Price vs 200 Day Moving Average

價格與200天移動平均

Historical data shows that when the Mayer Multiple reaches 2.4, Bitcoin is usually at the peak of a bull market.

歷史數據表明，當Mayer多重達到2.4時，比特幣通常處於牛市的頂峰。

In conclusion, although it is difficult to accurately predict the market peak, these 9 indicators can help you evaluate the market position more scientifically. The bull market frenzy can make you a lot of money, but if there is no clear exit strategy, it may also make you return to the pre-liberation era overnight.

總之，儘管很難準確預測市場的峰值，但這9個指標可以幫助您更科學地評估市場位置。牛市瘋狂可以賺很多錢，但是如果沒有明確的退出策略，它也可能會使您在一夜之間重返自由時代。