Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: Will Trump's Return Trigger a New Bull Market?

As Donald Trump prepares to return to the White House in 2025, market enthusiasts are pinning their hopes on the former president's policies having a major impact on the crypto market.

With Bitcoin halving having taken place just a year prior andチャートテクニカル分析 a fresh all-time high in sight, the stage is set for an explosive year in crypto.

Here's a closer look at how Trump's second term could affect the market and what to expect for Bitcoin in 2025.

1. Build up a Bitcoin reserveDuring last year's campaign, Trump promised to put all the bitcoins currently held by the U.S. government and those purchased in the future into a "national strategic bitcoin reserve." He likened the plan to the U.S. oil reserves and the need to act quickly to accumulate large reserves before competing countries such as China.

Trump's plan is not the first of its kind in the world. As early as 2021, El Salvador used Bitcoin as a reserve asset and currently holds a total of 6,150 Bitcoins, which is approximately $600 million at current prices.

Although the specific details of Trump's Bitcoin reserve plan are still unclear and there is uncertainty as to whether it will actually be implemented, there are signs that this plan may refer to the "BITCOIN Act" (Boosting Innovation, Technology and Competitiveness Through Optimized Investment Nationwide) proposed by Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis.

According to an analysis by Maxim Manturov, head of investment research at Freedom24, “Under the so-called BITCOIN Act, the U.S. must accumulate 1 million bitcoins over the next 20 years, equivalent to about 5% of the total supply. The limited supply of bitcoin is expected to push up its price, and by accumulating bitcoin now, the U.S. may help offset growing debt problems in the future.”

Since the total supply of Bitcoin is limited to 21 million, this means that 5% of the supply is equivalent to 1.05 million Bitcoins, which is worth more than $100 billion at current valuations.

2. Supply and demand imbalance will push up pricesWith the huge demand for Bitcoin ETF funds, this supply-demand imbalance may further drive prices up. Manturov pointed out that in this context, the market's predictions for Bitcoin prices range from $125,000 in 2025 to $2.9 million in 2050.

It is not certain whether Trump’s policy will come true, but if this plan is implemented, the United States may not only become the leader in Bitcoin reserves, but will also have a profound impact on the future of the crypto market. Bitcoin’s historic moment may be coming.

3. How high can Bitcoin go?The timing of Trump's return to the presidency is particularly critical because Bitcoin has just completed its fourth "halving event" in 2024. This is a preset mechanism that occurs automatically every four years or so, and each halving halves the Bitcoin rewards miners receive through computing power mining.

1. Halving event and market rallyThe Bitcoin halving event automatically increases the scarcity of newly generated Bitcoins, and historically this mechanism has often triggered market rallies and pushed Bitcoin prices to record highs.

Therefore, expectations for Bitcoin’s performance in the first half of 2025 are already extremely high, and the optimism brought about by Trump may further boost Bitcoin’s adoption.

2. Trump’s price expectationsAccording to sources, Trump privately hopes that Bitcoin can reach $150,000 early in his presidency and sees it as an alternative to the stock market.

Trump's son Eric Trump is even more radical. He said at the Bitcoin Conference MENA in December that the price of Bitcoin could reach $1 million in the future.

While the speculative nature of cryptocurrencies and the volatility of global markets and geopolitics make such predictions fraught with uncertainty, given investor enthusiasm and the limited supply of Bitcoin, it is not inconceivable that Bitcoin could reach the $1 million mark in the future.

However, in 2025, the price of Bitcoin could be closer to Trump’s $150,000 prediction. But if market sentiment continues to grow, $150,000 may appear too conservative.

4. Potential problems still existA key challenge facing the Trump administration is that uncertainty about the future of Bitcoin remains.

John Prasad, senior investment expert at Mirabaud Group, pointed out that Bitcoin's future is full of potential but also accompanied by uncertainty. He listed inflationary pressures, liquidity issues, global regulatory prospects and controversy as a store of value as reasons why Bitcoin's growth is not yet fully guaranteed.

Chris Lehmann, Washington bureau chief for The Nation magazine, believes that the growing acceptance of cryptocurrencies in the