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暗号通貨のニュース記事

Bitcoin Slumps to $92K, Invalidates Bullish Head-and-Shoulders Pattern

2025/01/09 17:28

Bitcoin Slumps to $92K, Invalidates Bullish Head-and-Shoulders Pattern

Bitcoin’s recent slide below $100,000 has raised concerns about the asset’s near-term trajectory. Following its climb to $102,278 on Jan. 7, BTC quickly reversed, shedding over 5% in a single day. It now trades at $92K, struggling to regain momentum.

This sharp decline came after U.S. labor market data hinted at fewer interest rate cuts in 2025, dampening investor sentiment. Amid this bearish pressure, market analyst Ali Martinez has outlined major levels and patterns that could shape Bitcoin’s outlook.

Bitcoin initially invalidated a bearish head-and-cap pattern by breaking through its right shoulder. However, the reversal on Jan. 7 erased those gains, pushing Bitcoin back below the pattern’s neckline. Discouragingly, this reactivation of bearish sentiment has unsettled the market, with investors eyeing crucial support zones.

Martinez called attention to the $95,400–$98,400 range as a significant demand zone where about 1.77 million addresses acquired 1.53 million BTC. As Bitcoin dips below this area, these investors could face mounting pressure to sell, potentially amplifying the downside.

Notably, this materialized on Monday, Jan. 8, with Bitcoin closing the day at $95,065 amid a 1.94% drop. BTC now changes hands at $92,951. Martinez warns that a further slide below $92,000 could lead to a steeper decline, with Bitcoin facing minimal support until it reaches $74,000.

Interestingly, the market analyst had previously highlighted the possibility of this $70,000 level, citing bearish commentaries from multiple market veterans in a report late last month.

According to him, the current conditions also show broader macroeconomic fears. The combination of weaker rate cut expectations, and the loss of critical technical levels has triggered concerns about a deeper market correction.

Notably, if selling pressure accelerates, Bitcoin could soon enter a phase of pronounced volatility. Despite the bearish macro setup, Martinez sees short-term opportunities for a potential rebound.

On Bitcoin’s four-hour chart, the TD Sequential indicator flashed a buy signal. This suggests that a bounce toward $98,600 could occur as market participants seek to capitalize on this liquidity zone.

Martinez noted that $98,600 represents a $35 million liquidation area that could entice market makers to trigger a brief rally. Nonetheless, traders should approach such a rebound with caution, as it may only provide temporary relief.

The analyst stressed that a drop below $92,000 would likely negate any short-term recovery. The lack of support between $92,000 and $74,000 could trigger a more substantial downturn. However, if Bitcoin were to reclaim $100K, this would invalidate the bearish trend.

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