Will Ethereum rise after the upgrade? How much will it rise?

Ethereum's price post-upgrade depends on factors like increased ETH staking reducing supply, improved user experience attracting developers, market sentiment, and competition from other blockchains. A successful upgrade could boost prices significantly, while setbacks could cause drops.

Mar 04, 2025 at 01:39 pm

• Changes in supply and demand relationship : In the Pectra upgrade, EIP - 7251 increases the maximum stake limit for verifiers. More ETH is pledged and the market circulation is reduced. According to the principle of supply and demand, a decrease in supply may drive prices up, just as prices rise when commodities are scarce.

• Attractiveness of technological improvements : EIP - 7702 Improves crypto wallet user experience and account abstraction, EIP - 7691 Strengthens Rollup expansion capabilities. These technological improvements attract developers and users and increase demand for ETH. Increased demand will have an upward pull on prices.

• Market sentiment fluctuations : Ethereum, as an important smart contract platform, has attracted much attention. If the upgrade test goes smoothly, investors' confidence will increase greatly, and a large amount of capital inflows will drive prices to rise; on the contrary, if the test encounters obstacles and investors panic and sell, the price may fall.

• Influence of the competitive landscape : The competition in the blockchain field is fierce, and other public chains are also developing. If Ethereum upgrade can lead the opponent and attract more project migration, it will increase ETH demand and prompt price increases; if it is surpassed by its opponent, the price may be suppressed.

• Historical data analysis : Review of Ethereum's price performance before and after its past upgrades. For example, after some upgrades, prices will rise sharply due to market expectations in the short term, while prices will continue to rise due to ecological development in the long term. By comparing similar upgrades, we speculate on the price trend of this upgrade.

• Technical indicator analysis : Use technical indicators such as moving average, relative strength indicator (RSI) and other technical indicators. After the upgrade, if the indicator shows overbought, the price may fall back; if the indicator is positive and on the upward trend, the price is expected to continue to rise.

• Professional organization forecast : Pay attention to the forecasts of well-known cryptocurrency research institutions. They have a professional team to analyze the market and give a price prediction range based on multiple factors. However, it is necessary to note that different institutions may have different views and should refer to them from multiple sources.

• Community and Investor Emotion : The cryptocurrency community is discussing enthusiastically, and investor Emotion can be reflected through social media, forums, etc. If the community is generally optimistic after the upgrade, and a large number of investors buy, the price will easily rise; if there are many negative emotions, the price may be affected.

• The technology was perfectly implemented : the upgrade was successfully completed on the Holesky test network and main network, and all improvements were implemented as expected. Developers actively develop projects based on new functions to attract a large number of users. At this time, the ETH price may rise by 50% - 100% in the short term, and may achieve several times growth in the long term.

• The market is widely recognized : mainstream financial institutions and enterprises have recognized the upgrade value of Ethereum and a large amount of capital flows in. The market demand for ETH has skyrocketed, and prices may rise by 2-3 times or even higher in a year, reaching new heights.

• Some technology implementation : Some upgrade functions have been successfully implemented. Although they have not achieved the ideal results, there are still some improvements. Investor confidence has increased to a certain extent, and ETH prices may rise by 20%-50% within a few months after the upgrade. As the ecology gradually improves, the increase may further expand.

• The market has a stable response : The market responded to the upgrade in a dull manner, and there was no large inflow of new funds, but the original investors continued to hold it. Prices may rise slowly after upgrading, with an increase of 10%-30% in half a year, mainly supported by the long-term value brought by the upgrade.

• Frequent technical problems occur : Serious technical problems occur during the upgrade test, and there are many loopholes in the main network upgrade or upgrade on time. Investor confidence is frustrated, selling ETH in large quantities, and prices may fall 30% - 50%, or even more until the problem is solved. Market confidence recovers.

• Competitive pressure is intensifying : other public chains have made major breakthroughs during the Ethereum upgrade period, attracting some users and projects. ETH demand is reduced, and prices may fall 10%-30% after upgrading, and users need to be attracted back to the market through subsequent optimization and new features.