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加密货币市场专家最近的分析表明,根据之前比特币减半事件后观察到的模式,XRP 下一次重大价格变动的具体时间范围。
Recent analyses by cryptocurrency market experts have pinpointed a specific timeframe for XRP’s next significant price movement, based on patterns observed following previous Bitcoin halving events.
加密货币市场专家最近的分析根据之前比特币减半事件后观察到的模式,确定了 XRP 下一次重大价格变动的具体时间范围。
According to detailed research, historical data indicates a consistent relationship between Bitcoin halving cycles and subsequent XRP price actions.
根据详细研究,历史数据表明比特币减半周期与随后的 XRP 价格走势之间存在一致的关系。
Understanding the Eight-Month Pattern
了解八个月模式
Financial analysts Block Bull (@TheBlockBull) and PharaohX (@PharaohX33) have independently identified a recurring pattern in XRP’s market behavior. Their research demonstrates that XRP typically initiates significant price movements approximately eight months after each Bitcoin halving event.
金融分析师 Block Bull (@TheBlockBull) 和 PharaohX (@PharaohX33) 独立发现了 XRP 市场行为的反复出现模式。他们的研究表明,XRP 通常会在每次比特币减半事件后大约八个月引发显着的价格波动。
PharaohX gave a detailed analysis of historical data, revealing compelling evidence supporting this timeline. Following the July 2016 Bitcoin halving, XRP commenced its upward trajectory in March 2017, achieving unprecedented growth from $0.005 to its all-time high of $3.84 in January 2018, representing a 68,000% increase in value. Notably, other analysts believe the digital asset might repeat this performance soon.
PharaohX 对历史数据进行了详细分析,揭示了支持这一时间表的令人信服的证据。继 2016 年 7 月比特币减半之后,XRP 于 2017 年 3 月开始上涨,实现了前所未有的增长,从 0.005 美元升至 2018 年 1 月的历史新高 3.84 美元,价值增长了 68,000%。值得注意的是,其他分析师认为该数字资产可能很快就会重复这种表现。
The pattern repeated after the May 2020 halving, with XRP beginning its ascent in January 2021. This cycle produced more modest gains of approximately 900%, sending XRP to $1.96.
这种模式在 2020 年 5 月减半后重复,XRP 在 2021 年 1 月开始上涨。这一周期产生了约 900% 的温和涨幅,将 XRP 推至 1.96 美元。
Experts believe it would have performed better, and the underperformance is primarily attributed to regulatory uncertainty caused by the legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
专家认为它的表现本来会更好,而表现不佳主要归因于与美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的法律纠纷带来的监管不确定性。
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— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) July 15, 2023
- TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) 2023 年 7 月 15 日
Projections for the Current Cycle
当前周期的预测
Based on these historical patterns and the recent April 2024 Bitcoin halving, PharaohX’s analysis suggests XRP’s next significant price movement could commence between December 2024 and January 2025.
根据这些历史模式和最近 2024 年 4 月的比特币减半,PharaohX 的分析表明,XRP 的下一次重大价格变动可能会在 2024 年 12 月至 2025 年 1 月之间开始。
PharaohX notes similarities between current market conditions and those preceding the 2017 bull run. He speculated that mirroring that performance would send the digital asset to $190 with a market cap of $10.8 trillion.
PharaohX 指出当前市场状况与 2017 年牛市之前的相似之处。他推测,如果反映这一表现,数字资产将达到 190 美元,市值将达到 10.8 万亿美元。
However, he noted that although this is possible, it is not guaranteed. Despite this, he believes XRP ETFs and the upcoming RLUSD stablecoin can help the digital asset climb.
然而,他指出,尽管这是可能的,但并不能保证。尽管如此,他相信 XRP ETF 和即将推出的 RLUSD 稳定币可以帮助数字资产攀升。
Strategic Entry Point Analysis
战略切入点分析
Block Bull’s analysis focused on weekly chart patterns and identified a specific timeline for optimal market entry. Historical data indicates that the 33-week mark following a Bitcoin halving consistently correlates with cycle bottoms, presenting potentially advantageous entry opportunities.
Block Bull 的分析侧重于每周图表模式,并确定了最佳入市的具体时间表。历史数据表明,比特币减半后的 33 周大关始终与周期底部相关,提供了潜在的有利入场机会。
Applied to the current cycle, this analysis suggests an optimal entry window between December 9-16, 2024, notably positioned after the U.S. presidential election. This timeline aligns with the broader eight-month pattern identified by PharaohX.
应用于当前周期,该分析建议最佳进入窗口在 2024 年 12 月 9 日至 16 日之间,特别是在美国总统大选之后。该时间表与 PharaohX 确定的更广泛的八个月模式一致。
At press time, XRP traded at $0.5151, up 1.64% over the past 24 hours. Most experts believe a price explosion is coming, and their analysis shows it won’t be long.
截至发稿,XRP 交易价格为 0.5151 美元,过去 24 小时上涨 1.64%。大多数专家认为价格爆炸即将到来,而且他们的分析表明这种情况不会持续太久。
: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
:此内容旨在提供信息,不应被视为财务建议。本文表达的观点可能包含作者的个人观点,并不代表时代小报的意见。敦促读者在做出任何投资决定之前进行深入研究。读者采取的任何行动均需自行承担风险。 《时代小报》对任何经济损失不承担任何责任。
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