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在2024年的最后两个月中,XRP(XRP -7.60%)是世界上表现最好的加密货币之一。
XRP (XRP -7.60%) was among the best-performing cryptocurrencies in the world during the final two months of 2024. During that period, XRP skyrocketed from a price of $0.50 to $2 for a mind-boggling gain of 300%. While other major cryptocurrencies also surged in the post-election period, XRP was a clear standout.
XRP(XRP -7.60%)在2024年的最后两个月中是世界上表现最佳的加密货币之一。在此期间,XRP的价格从0.50美元的价格飙升至2美元,达到300%。虽然其他主要加密货币在选举后期也飙升,但XRP显然是一个杰出的表现。
Can XRP repeat that same kind of performance in 2025? It will be difficult to do so, but here are three reasons why XRP has the potential to become the best performer of this year, too.
XRP可以在2025年重复同样的性能吗?很难这样做,但是这是XRP有可能成为今年表现最好的三个原因。
Pro-crypto regulatory outlook
亲晶体监管前景
By far, the leading factor in XRP's stratospheric rise has been a complete 180-degree reversal in U.S. crypto policy. The new Trump administration has pledged a pro-business approach to crypto regulation, and thus far, has been good to its word. The key step, of course, was the appointment of cryptocurrency advocate Paul Atkins as the new head of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), replacing Gary Gensler.
到目前为止,XRP平流层上升的主要因素在美国加密政策中是完全180度的逆转。新的特朗普政府承诺采用了加密监管的亲企业方法,到目前为止,它对它的话来说是一件好事。当然,关键步骤是任命加密货币倡导者保罗·阿特金斯(Paul Atkins)为证券交易委员会(SEC)的新负责人,取代了加里·贡斯勒(Gary Gensler)。
That's important because the SEC has had an axe to grind with Ripple, the company behind the XRP token, for more than four years now. Back in December 2020, the SEC claimed that XRP was a security and that it was improperly launched. That has led to endless litigation, filled with a confusing back-and-forth of appeals, counter-appeals, and counter-counter-appeals.
这很重要,因为SEC拥有斧头与XRP令牌背后的公司Ripple磨碎了四年多。早在2020年12月,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)声称XRP是一种安全性,并且它是不当推出的。这导致了无穷无尽的诉讼,充满了令人困惑的上诉,反对意见和反击。
In mid-2023, Ripple executives acknowledged that over $200 million might be spent on litigation to settle the case. Even after Ripple agreed to pay $125 million in penalties last year, the case is still not over.
在2023年中期,Ripple高管承认,可能将超过2亿美元用于诉讼来解决此案。即使在Ripple同意去年支付1.25亿美元的罚款之后,此案仍未结束。
So the thinking here is that a pro-crypto SEC is going to put an end to this case once and for all in 2025. And that's what could lead to stratospheric new gains for the XRP token. Clearing the air of regulatory uncertainty will make it possible for Ripple to get back to business as usual. Case in point: Ripple already says it is hiring domestically again after years in which its U.S.-based business was very much in doubt.
因此,这里的想法是,亲克莱托普的SEC将在2025年一劳永逸地结束这种情况。这可能会导致XRP代币的平流层新收益。清除监管不确定性的气氛将使Ripple像往常一样重返业务。一个很好的例子:Ripple已经说过,经过多年的美国业务非常有疑问,它将再次在国内雇用。
New ETFs on the way
途中的新ETF
Even better, lifting the regulatory cloud around Ripple is going to make it much easier for investors to invest in XRP. And the way they are going to do that is via new spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). As a result, a number of different investment firms have already filed spot XRP ETF applications with the SEC, hopeful of gaining access to all that pent-up demand.
更好的是,举起Ripple周围的监管云将使投资者更容易投资XRP。他们将做到这一点的方式是通过新的现货交易所交易资金(ETF)。结果,许多不同的投资公司已经向SEC提交了现场XRP ETF申请,希望能够访问所有被压抑的需求。
The current thinking is that new spot XRP ETFs could be available sometime by mid-year. Once they become available, that will likely lead to a new surge of investor money into XRP. According to JPMorgan Chase, as much as $8 billion in new money could flow into XRP.
当前的想法是,新的XRP ETF可以在年中某个时候获得。一旦它们可用,这可能会导致投资者的新资金涌入XRP。根据摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase)的说法,多达80亿美元的新资金可以流入XRP。
In a best-case scenario, all of this new money flowing into XRP could lead to a new all-time high above $4. Given XRP's current price of $2.50, that's a 60% gain. So keep your eyes on the ETF application process. Once one ETF gets approved, it's likely that all of them will get approved, as we saw with the spot ETFs for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
在最佳情况下,所有流入XRP的新资金都可能导致新的高价高于$ 4。鉴于XRP的当前价格为2.50美元,这是60%的增长。因此,请注意ETF申请过程。一旦一个ETF获得批准,我们所有人都可能会获得批准,就像我们在比特币和以太坊的现场ETF中看到的那样。
XRP as a strategic reserve asset?
XRP作为战略储备资产?
Right now, there's a tremendous amount of hype and speculation about XRP. In one potential scenario, Ripple will file for a tech initial public offering (IPO) and then use the proceeds to put even more resources behind the Ripple payment network (which is powered by the XRP token).
目前,关于XRP有大量的炒作和猜测。在一个潜在的情况下,Ripple将申请技术首次公开募股(IPO),然后使用收益将更多资源放置在Ripple支付网络后面(由XRP令牌提供支持)。
As a result of all this positive sentiment, some investors are already predicting that XRP could hit a high of $15 in 2025. That's another 500% gain on top of the 400% gains we've already seen over the past three months!
由于所有这些积极的情绪,一些投资者已经预测,XRP在2025年的最高点可能达到15美元。在过去三个月中我们已经看到的400%增长中,这是另外500%的收益!
However, investors need to keep their expectations in check. The SEC case has yet to be fully resolved. And it's not really clear how much institutional demand there is for an XRP ETF. Yes, retail investors are having a love affair with XRP right now, but what about big institutional investors like pension funds and endowments?
但是,投资者需要保留他们的期望。 SEC案件尚未完全解决。尚不清楚XRP ETF的机构需求量多少。是的,散户投资者现在正在与XRP恋爱,但是像养老基金和捐赠这样的大型机构投资者呢?
So here's my prediction: XRP will be the best performer of the year if it becomes one of the cryptocurrencies added to the proposed U.S. strategic reserve of digital assets. Right now, Ripple's supporters are lobbying hard for XRP to be included alongside heavyweights such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. In fact, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse had a discussion with President Trump in January in the hopes of convincing him to consider XRP as a reserve asset.
因此,这是我的预测:如果XRP成为添加到拟议的美国数字资产战略储备中的加密货币之一,则将成为年度最佳性能。目前,Ripple的支持者正在努力游说XRP与比特币和以太坊等重量级人物一起。实际上,Ripple首席执行官布拉德·加林豪斯(Brad Garlinghouse)在一月份与特朗普总统进行了讨论,希望他说服他将XRP视为储备资产。
A seal of approval from the U.S. government would give the green light to institutional investors around the world to start accumulating, and that could set off an
美国政府的认可印章将向世界各地的机构投资者提供绿灯,以开始积累,这可能会引发
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