随着散户套现，XRP 鲸鱼坚守阵地，表明长期信念

在高市值加密货币中，XRP 表现出色，在过去一个月中上涨了 40%，令人印象深刻。值得注意的是，超过一半的反弹发生在新年伊始。

Cryptocurrency enthusiasts have witnessed a captivating scene unfold as XRP, the native token of Ripple, has soared to new heights, captivating the attention of traders and enthusiasts alike. Over the past month, XRP has recorded an impressive 40% gain, leaving many to ponder the sustainability of this rapid ascent.

随着Ripple的原生代币XRP飙升至新的高度，加密货币爱好者们目睹了令人着迷的一幕，吸引了交易者和爱好者的关注。在过去的一个月里，XRP 的涨幅达到了令人印象深刻的 40%，这让许多人思考这种快速上涨的可持续性。

In a surprising twist, over half of this rally has occurred since the start of the new year, indicating a strong shift in market sentiment toward XRP. However, this rapid pace of appreciation has also raised concerns, with some traders questioning whether the token is rising too quickly, setting the stage for a potential sell-off.

令人惊讶的是，这次上涨的一半以上是自新年伊始以来发生的，这表明市场情绪向 XRP 强烈转变。然而，这种快速的升值速度也引发了担忧，一些交易员质疑该代币是否升值过快，从而为潜在的抛售奠定了基础。

To further illustrate this concern, XRP's Relative Strength Index (RSI) jumped from neutral to overbought within three days, indicating that the token may be due for a price correction. This rapid shift in RSI also suggests that traders are quickly piling into XRP, pushing its price up at an unsustainable rate.

为了进一步说明这种担忧，XRP 的相对强度指数（RSI）在三天内从中性跃升至超买，表明该代币可能需要进行价格调整。 RSI 的快速变化也表明交易者正在迅速涌入 XRP，从而以不可持续的速度推高其价格。

As XRP's price surged to new heights, reaching $3.50, a massive influx of the token was observed flowing into Binance. According to data from CryptoQuant, over 350 million XRP tokens entered the exchange in just two days, marking a 1567% increase in exchange inflow.

随着 XRP 的价格飙升至新高，达到 3.50 美元，观察到该代币大量涌入币安。 CryptoQuant的数据显示，短短两天内就有超过3.5亿个XRP代币进入交易所，交易所流入量增长了1567%。

This astronomical surge in exchange inflow suggests that traders, particularly retail traders, are cashing out their XRP holdings following the token's impressive price spike. While this move is hardly surprising, it does set the stage for a potential sell-off as traders continue to book their profits.

交易流入的天文数字激增表明，交易者，尤其是零售交易者，在 XRP 价格大幅上涨后正在兑现其持有的 XRP。虽然这一举措并不令人意外，但随着交易员继续获利了结，它确实为潜在的抛售奠定了基础。

Interestingly, while retail traders are cashing out, XRP whales have remained largely unfazed by the recent price action and sell-off. Data reveals that whales have continued to accumulate XRP, amassing around $4 billion since the last major rally.

有趣的是，虽然零售交易者正在套现，但 XRP 鲸鱼基本上没有受到近期价格走势和抛售的影响。数据显示，鲸鱼继续积累 XRP，自上次大幅上涨以来已积累了约 40 亿美元。

This accumulation, coupled with the lack of a "massive" sell-off, signals that whales may still be bullish on XRP's long-term potential. If this trend persists, it could pave the way for a push toward $4 per token, making XRP a potentially lucrative long-term hold.

这种积累，加上没有出现“大规模”抛售，表明鲸鱼可能仍然看好 XRP 的长期潜力。如果这种趋势持续下去，可能会为每枚代币涨至 4 美元铺平道路，使 XRP 成为潜在有利可图的长期持有。

In a recent development, XRP recently surged past $3 with a 17% jump, reaching $3.50 - just 11% shy of its all-time high from seven years ago - before pulling back by 8%.

在最近的发展中，XRP 最近飙升至 3 美元以上，涨幅为 17%，达到 3.50 美元——仅比七年前的历史高点低 11%——然后回落 8%。

This dip reflects a shift in market dynamics, as supply began to outpace demand, leading to an economic imbalance. In the perpetual futures market, bearish sentiment is growing.

这种下跌反映了市场动态的转变，因为供应开始超过需求，导致经济失衡。在永续合约市场上，看空情绪正在增强。

The taker buy/sell ratio now favors shorts, resulting in $8.44 million in long position liquidations. Despite these challenges, Open Interest (OI) has only declined by 0.70%, suggesting that more long positions could face liquidation in the near future.

现在，吃单者的买入/卖出比率有利于空头，导致多头头寸清算 844 万美元。尽管面临这些挑战，未平仓合约 (OI) 仅下降了 0.70%，这表明更多多头头寸可能在不久的将来面临清算。

As capital flows from XRP to Bitcoin amid heightened interest in BTC's recent rally, the XRP/BTC pair has turned red. Unless whales resume accumulation, further profit-taking and forced liquidations could occur.

由于对 BTC 近期上涨的兴趣日益浓厚，资金从 XRP 流向比特币，XRP/BTC 货币对已转红。除非鲸鱼恢复增持，否则可能会发生进一步的获利了结和强制平仓。

For now, caution is advised, especially in the derivatives market. However, in the spot market, the lack of aggressive selling by whales signals strong conviction. If Bitcoin's rally slows and XRP stabilizes, a push toward $4 could be on the horizon, making it a smart hold for long-term investors.

目前，建议谨慎行事，尤其是在衍生品市场。然而，在现货市场上，鲸鱼并未积极抛售，这表明了他们的坚定信念。如果比特币的涨势放缓并且 XRP 稳定下来，那么比特币价格可能会升至 4 美元，这对于长期投资者来说是一个明智的持有选择。