XRP 价格预测：为何 Ripple (XRP) 本月可能上涨 21%

随着比特币和其他山寨币在今年第一个交易日反弹，瑞波币价格连续三天上涨，暗示潜在的一月效应。

output: Ripple (XRP) price rose for three consecutive days on Thursday as Bitcoin and other altcoins rebounded on the first trading day of the year, hinting at a potential January Effect.

产出：随着比特币和其他山寨币在今年第一个交易日反弹，瑞波币（XRP）价格周四连续三天上涨，暗示潜在的一月效应。

After hitting $2.40 on Thursday, XRP clocked its highest level since Dec. 18 and a 26% gain from its lowest level last week.

周四触及 2.40 美元后，XRP 创下 12 月 18 日以来的最高水平，较上周最低水平上涨 26%。

Here's a look at a few key factors driving the XRP price rally and why the momentum may continue in the next few weeks.

以下是推动 XRP 价格上涨的几个关键因素，以及为什么这种势头可能会在未来几周内持续下去。

Donald Trump will be inaugurated this month, while Gary Gensler is expected to resign before that.

唐纳德·特朗普将于本月就职，而加里·詹斯勒预计将在此之前辞职。

Trump has named Paul Atkins to be the next head of the Securities and Exchange Commission. A veteran regulator, Atkins has shown support for the crypto industry, signaling a potential shift from the Gensler era.

特朗普任命保罗·阿特金斯为下一任证券交易委员会主席。阿特金斯是一位经验丰富的监管者，他对加密货币行业表现出了支持，这标志着Gensler时代的潜在转变。

While these developments are already priced in, XRP and other cryptocurrencies could see further gains ahead of these events.

虽然这些进展已经被定价，但 XRP 和其他加密货币可能会在这些事件发生之前看到进一步的上涨。

Also, the odds of the SEC approving a XRP ETF are increasing. According to Polymarket, these odds now stand at 70%.

此外，SEC 批准 XRP ETF 的可能性也在增加。据 Polymarket 称，目前这一可能性为 70%。

If approved, a Ripple ETF would likely drive more purchases, much like we've seen with the Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) ETFs, which saw $35 billion and $2.6 billion in assets, respectively.

如果获得批准，Ripple ETF 可能会推动更多购买，就像我们在比特币 (BTC) 和以太坊 (ETH) ETF 中看到的那样，它们的资产分别为 350 亿美元和 26 亿美元。

There's also growth in the XRP ecosystem, with Ripple USD (RLUSD) being listed on several exchanges.

XRP 生态系统也在增长，Ripple USD (RLUSD) 在多家交易所上市。

Moreover, the XRP Ledger is expected to gain traction this year, which could solidify Ripple's role in industries like Decentralized Finance and Real World Asset tokenization.

此外，XRP Ledger 预计今年将获得关注，这可能会巩固 Ripple 在去中心化金融和现实世界资产代币化等行业中的作用。

Finally, the XRP price is also benefiting from the January Effect, which sees investors return from holiday and buy assets.

最后，XRP 价格也受益于一月效应，即投资者从假期返回并购买资产。

Strong XRP technicals

强大的 XRP 技术

Our XRP price analysis last week hinted at this potential, suggesting that the coin's recent pullback was part of a mean reversion process, where an asset returns to its historical averages after a strong rally.

我们上周的 XRP 价格分析暗示了这种潜力，表明该货币最近的回调是均值回归过程的一部分，即资产在强劲反弹后返回到其历史平均水平。

In XRP's case, this involved a drop toward its 50-day moving average.

就 XRP 而言，这涉及到跌向 50 日移动平均线。

Also, XRP has formed a bullish pennant chart pattern, which begins with a long vertical line and is followed by a period of consolidation. This pattern usually leads to a strong breakout, which appears to be unfolding now.

此外，XRP 已形成看涨三角旗图表模式，该模式以一条长垂直线开始，随后是一段盘整期。这种模式通常会导致强劲的突破，而这种突破现在似乎正在展开。

As a result, we expect the XRP price to continue rising, with the next target being $2.90, which is about 21% from the current level.

因此，我们预计 XRP 价格将继续上涨，下一个目标为 2.90 美元，较当前水平约 21%。

If the momentum continues, XRP could reach resistance at $3 and potentially $5. However, a drop below the 50-day moving average at $1.90 would invalidate this bullish outlook.input: Good morning. Here's a quick XRP price analysis for today:

如果这种势头持续下去，XRP 可能会达到 3 美元甚至 5 美元的阻力位。然而，跌破 1.90 美元的 50 日移动均线将使这一看涨前景失效。输入：早上好。以下是今天的 XRP 价格快速分析：

After rising for three consecutive days, XRP price encountered resistance at $2.40 on Thursday. This level marks the coin's highest since Dec. 18, and a 26% increase from its lowest level last week.

在连续三天上涨后，XRP 价格周四在 2.40 美元遭遇阻力。这一水平标志着代币自 12 月 18 日以来的最高水平，较上周的最低水平上涨了 26%。

Several factors contributed to XRP's recent price surge. These include the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump, the departure of Gary Gensler from the SEC, and the anticipation of Paul Atkins' appointment as the new SEC head.

有几个因素导致了 XRP 最近的价格飙升。其中包括唐纳德·特朗普即将就职、加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 离开 SEC，以及保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 被任命为新任 SEC 主席。

Moreover, the odds of the SEC approving a XRP ETF are also rising. According to Polymarket, these odds now stand at 70%.

此外，SEC批准XRP ETF的可能性也在上升。据 Polymarket 称，目前这一可能性为 70%。

If approved, a Ripple ETF would likely drive more purchases, much like we've seen with the Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) ETFs, which saw $35 billion and $2.6 billion in assets, respectively.

如果获得批准，Ripple ETF 可能会推动更多购买，就像我们在比特币 (BTC) 和以太坊 (ETH) ETF 中看到的那样，它们的资产分别为 350 亿美元和 26 亿美元。

There's also growth in the XRP ecosystem, with Ripple USD (RLUSD) being listed on several exchanges.

XRP 生态系统也在增长，Ripple USD (RLUSD) 在多家交易所上市。

Moreover, the XRP Ledger is expected to gain traction this year, which could solidify Ripple's role in industries like Decentralized Finance and Real World Asset tokenization.

此外，XRP Ledger 预计今年将获得关注，这可能会巩固 Ripple 在去中心化金融和现实世界资产代币化等行业中的作用。

Finally, the XRP price is also benefiting from the January Effect, which sees investors return from holiday and buy assets.

最后，XRP 价格也受益于一月效应，即投资者从假期返回并购买资产。

Our XRP price analysis last week hinted at this potential, suggesting that the coin's recent pullback was part of a mean reversion process, where an asset returns to its historical averages after a strong rally.

我们上周的 XRP 价格分析暗示了这种潜力，表明该代币最近的回调是均值回归过程的一部分，即资产在强劲反弹后返回其历史平均水平。

In XRP's case, this involved a drop toward its 50-day moving average.

就 XRP 而言，这涉及到跌向 50 日移动平均线。

Also, XRP has formed a bullish pennant chart pattern, which begins with a long vertical line and is followed by a period of consolidation. This pattern usually leads to a strong breakout, which appears to be unfolding now.

此外，XRP 形成了看涨三角旗图表模式，该模式以一条长垂直线开始，随后是一段盘整期。这种模式通常会导致强劲的突破，而这种突破现在似乎正在展开。

As a result, we expect the XRP price to continue rising, with the next target being $2.90, which is about 21% from the current level.

因此，我们预计 XRP 价格将继续上涨，下一个目标为 2.90 美元，较当前水平约 21%。

If the momentum continues, XRP could reach resistance at $3 and potentially $5. However, a drop below the 50-day moving average at $1.90 would invalidate this bullish outlook.output: After rising for three consecutive days, XRP price encountered resistance at $2.40 on Thursday. This level

如果这种势头持续下去，XRP 可能会达到 3 美元甚至 5 美元的阻力位。然而，跌破 1.90 美元的 50 日移动均线将使这一看涨前景失效。 产出：在连续三天上涨后，XRP 价格周四在 2.40 美元处遇到阻力。这个级别