XRP 价格预测：随着获利回吐的激增，它会跌至 2.45 美元吗？

自 2025 年 1 月 16 日触及 3.41 美元的历史高点以来，XRP 的价值已下跌 9%。这一下跌很大程度上归因于交易者获利了结活动的大幅增加，给价格带来了压力。

XRP has experienced a 9% decline in value since hitting an all-time high of $3.41 on January 16. This drop is largely attributed to a significant increase in profit-taking activity among traders, putting pressure on the price. As a result, the asset could face continued downward momentum unless there is a reduction in the current selling spree.

自 1 月 16 日触及 3.41 美元的历史高点以来，XRP 的价值已下跌 9%。这一下跌很大程度上归因于交易者获利了结活动的大幅增加，给价格带来了压力。因此，除非当前的抛售热潮有所减少，否则该资产可能面临持续的下行势头。

The recent price action of XRP has been heavily influenced by profit-taking, as evidenced by on-chain data from Santiment. The Network Realized Profit/Loss (NPL) metric for XRP has been consistently positive in recent days, indicating that more holders are selling their tokens at a profit than at a loss.

Santiment 的链上数据证明，XRP 最近的价格走势受到获利回吐的严重影响。最近几天，XRP 的网络已实现损益（NPL）指标一直为正值，这表明更多持有者以盈利方式出售其代币，而不是以亏损方式出售。

The NPL metric helps track the difference between the price at which an asset was last moved and its current market price. When the NPL is positive, it suggests that a higher number of investors are selling their holdings for profit, which can increase the supply in the market. If demand doesn’t keep pace with the sell-offs, this can lead to downward price pressure.

不良贷款指标有助于跟踪资产上次移动的价格与其当前市场价格之间的差异。当不良贷款为正时，表明有更多投资者出售所持股票以获取利润，这可能会增加市场供应。如果需求跟不上抛售的步伐，可能会导致价格下行压力。

According to Santiment’s data, the NPL of XRP has been rising steadily over the past week, reflecting the growing number of traders cashing in on their gains. This selling activity has intensified as the coin reached new highs, leading to a cooling effect on its price.

根据Santiment的数据，过去一周XRP的不良贷款一直在稳步上升，反映出越来越多的交易者利用其收益获利。随着代币创下新高，这种抛售活动加剧，导致其价格降温。

Moreover, XRP's Exchange Flow Balance has also surged by 105% since January 17. This metric tracks the net movement of tokens into and out of exchanges, and a spike in this balance usually indicates a surge in deposits, suggesting that traders are preparing to sell.

此外，自 1 月 17 日以来，XRP 的交易流量余额也飙升了 105%。该指标跟踪代币进出交易所的净流动情况，该余额的飙升通常表明存款激增，表明交易者正准备出售。

The rise in XRP's Exchange Flow Balance highlights the growing sentiment of profit-taking in the market. When more tokens are deposited into exchanges, the increased sell-off pressure often leads to price declines if the demand doesn’t match the influx of supply.

XRP 交易流量余额的上升凸显了市场获利回吐情绪的增强。当更多代币存入交易所时，如果需求与供应量不匹配，抛售压力的增加通常会导致价格下跌。

Currently, XRP is trading at $3.09, down from its peak of $3.41. If the current sell-offs persist and demand remains weak, there is a possibility that XRP could experience further declines. The next significant support level for XRP lies around $2.45, a price point where many traders expect buying interest to step in.

目前，XRP 的交易价格为 3.09 美元，低于 3.41 美元的峰值。如果当前的抛售持续且需求依然疲弱，XRP 可能会进一步下跌。 XRP 的下一个重要支撑位位于 2.45 美元左右，许多交易者预计买入兴趣会介入这个价格点。

However, the situation could change if profit-taking slows down. If investors start holding onto their XRP or if buying pressure increases, the price could rebound. In that case, XRP could make an attempt to reclaim its all-time high of $3.41 or even surpass it, depending on broader market conditions and sentiment.

然而，如果获利了结放缓，情况可能会发生变化。如果投资者开始持有 XRP 或购买压力增加，价格可能会反弹。在这种情况下，XRP 可能会尝试重回 3.41 美元的历史高点，甚至超越它，具体取决于更广泛的市场状况和情绪。

Here are some factors that could impact XRP's price in the short-term:

以下是短期内可能影响 XRP 价格的一些因素：

* Strength of XRP community and developer activity

* XRP 社区和开发者活动的实力

* Regulatory updates and developments in the cryptocurrency industry

* 加密货币行业的监管更新和发展

* Overall market sentiment and macroeconomic conditions

* 整体市场情绪和宏观经济状况

* Technical analysis indicators, such as moving averages and support/resistance levels

* 技术分析指标，例如移动平均线和支撑/阻力位

* News and rumors about XRP or its competitors in the cryptocurrency space

* 有关 XRP 或其竞争对手在加密货币领域的新闻和谣言

As always, cryptocurrency markets are volatile, and XRP's future performance will depend on the balance between profit-taking and market demand. If you’re holding XRP, it may be worth keeping an eye on these key metrics to determine whether the current dip is an opportunity or a sign of further weakness.

与往常一样，加密货币市场波动较大，XRP 的未来表现将取决于获利回吐和市场需求之间的平衡。如果您持有 XRP，可能值得关注这些关键指标，以确定当前的下跌是机会还是进一步疲软的迹象。