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XRP价格已经形成了高度看跌的图表模式,并有发生强烈看跌崩溃的风险

2025/03/18 23:33

XRP价格已经形成了高度看跌的图表模式,并有发生强烈看跌损失的风险,这可能会在短期内达到1美元。

The price of XRP has formed a highly bearish chart pattern and is at risk of having a strong bearish breakdown, which could see it hit $1 in the near term. On top of this, a popular crypto analyst has warned that the Bitcoin bull cycle has ended, which could hurt altcoins like Ripple. So, what should you do if Ripple price crashes below $1?

XRP的价格已经形成了高度看跌的图表模式,并有遭受强烈看跌损失的风险,这可能会在短期内达到1美元。最重要的是,一位受欢迎的加密分析师警告说,比特币牛周期已经结束,这可能会伤害像Ripple这样的山寨币。那么,如果波纹价格崩溃低于1美元,该怎么办?

CryptoQuant’s Ki Young Ju, a billionaire and the founder of the on-chain analytics firm, said that the bull market was over and that all on-chain metrics were now overbought and in bear-market territory. He explained:

CryptoQuant的Ki Young Ju是亿万富翁,链接分析公司的创始人,他说牛市已经结束,现在所有的链量指标现在都过高,并且在熊市领土上。他解释说:

“I’ve been calling for a bull market over the past two years, even when indicators were borderline. Sorry to change my view, but it now looks pretty clear that we’re entering a bear market."

“在过去的两年中,我一直在呼吁牛市,即使指标很抱歉改变我的观点,但现在看来我们正在进入熊市。”

The daily chart below shows that the XRP price is forming a rare bearish pattern known as head and shoulders. This pattern forms when an asset is in an uptrend and is a sign of a bearish reversal. In XRP's case, the head is at the year-to-date high, while the shoulders are at $3 and the neckline is at around $2. In this case, a bearish breakdown will be confirmed if the coin drops below the neckline at $2. A drop below the support at $2 will point to further declines to the next psychological point at $1. This price also coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level. That would be a 55% crash from the current level.

下面的每日图表显示,XRP价格形成了一种罕见的看跌模式,称为头部和肩膀。当资产处于上升趋势中,是看跌逆转的标志时,这种模式形成。在XRP的情况下,头部到更高的高处,而肩膀为3美元,领口左右约为2美元。在这种情况下,如果硬币以2美元的价格下降到领口,则将确认看跌的崩溃。低于2美元的支持将指向下一个心理点的进一步下降,为1美元。该价格还与78.6%的斐波那契回撤水平相吻合。那将是当前级别的55%崩溃。

One of the best approaches to handle the XRP price crash is to do dollar cost averaging (DCA). DCA is an approach where an investor buys an asset in small quantities during its downtrend. The main reason for this is to buy more tokens over time, and possibly benefit when the price bounces back. In XRP's case, there are signs that the price will bounce back over time, helped by numerous catalysts.

处理XRP价格崩溃的最佳方法之一是进行美元成本(DCA)。 DCA是投资者在下降期间以少量资产购买资产的一种方法。这样做的主要原因是随着时间的推移购买更多令牌,当价格弹回时可能会受益。就XRP而言,有迹象表明,随着时间的推移,价格会随着众多催化剂的帮助。

There are some bullish catalysts that will push the XRP price higher in the long term. For example, the SEC might approve an XRP ETF later this year, especially after Donald Trump's administration began approving Bitcoin ETFs in August. A spot ETF will likely lead to more inflows and boost the price. The SEC has already ended lawsuits against other companies in the crypto industry like Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN), Gemini, and Kraken. As such, there is a likelihood that the agency will close the Ripple lawsuit later this year.

从长远来看,有一些看涨的催化剂会将XRP价格提高。例如,SEC可能会在今年晚些时候批准XRP ETF,尤其是在唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的政府在8月开始批准比特币ETF之后。 ETF可能会导致更多的流入并提高价格。 SEC已经结束了针对加密货币行业中其他公司(例如Coinbase(Nasdaq:Coin),Gemini和Kraken)的诉讼。因此,该机构可能会在今年晚些时候关闭连锁诉讼。

Ending the lawsuit would be a positive thing for XRP price because it will allow Ripple to ink deals with other companies, link banks, and money transfer firms. XRP price could also benefit from the potential crypto bull run triggered by the Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and end of quantitative tightening.

对于XRP价格而言,结束诉讼将是一件积极的事情,因为它将允许波纹与其他公司,链接银行和汇款公司交易。 XRP价格也可能受益于联邦储备降低利率降低和定量收紧的潜在加密公牛运行。

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