如果比特币崩溃至70k美元，XRP价格将是多少？我们问AI

2月的加密货币和三月非常相似。一月份达到109K美元后，BTC的价格为$ 86K。分析师现在被分割了

Sluggish February for crypto, and March is pretty similar. BTC is now at $86k after hitting $109k in January. Analysts are now divided where Bitcoin price could go next with some anticipating more crashes towards $70k are coming.

2月的加密货币和三月非常相似。一月份达到109K美元后，BTC的价格为$ 86K。分析师现在被分配给比特币价格下一步可能会出现，其中一些预计会有更多的崩溃到7万美元。

The XRP price is trading in the $2.30 – $2.60 range for the past week which is pretty stable compared to other altcoins, but still down significantly from local high in January at $3.30.

XRP价格在过去一周的2.30 - 2.60美元之间的交易价格与其他AltCoins相比相当稳定，但在1月份的高处仍显着下降，价格为3.30美元。

With this in mind, we asked AI to predict the XRP price if BTC indeed plunges towards the $70k range.

考虑到这一点，我们要求AI预测BTC是否确实跌入7万美元范围的XRP价格。

Economist Timothy Peterson claims that if the Fed persists with no rate cuts in 2025, a scenario he describes as "less likely," markets could experience a steeper decline.

经济学家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）声称，如果美联储在2025年没有降低速度的情况下，他将这种情况描述为“较小的可能性”，市场可能会经历更大的下降。

"My rough estimate is that Bitcoin could drop to around $70,000 or $71,000 if the Fed stalls on cutting rates in 2025, which I think is less likely," stated Peterson.

彼得森说：“我的粗略估计是，如果美联储在2025年降低降低率，我认为比特币可能会降至70,000美元或71,000美元，我认为比特币降低了。”

However, if the Fed does begin cutting rates in 2025, which Peterson considers "more likely," he anticipates a shallower decline for Bitcoin, possibly to $90,000.

但是，如果美联储确实在2025年开始降低率，彼得森认为“可能更有可能”，他预计比特币会下降，可能会减少到90,000美元。

"If they do start cutting rates in 2025, which I'd say is more likely, then I think we could see something like $90,000."

“如果他们在2025年开始降低率，我会说这是更有可能的，那么我认为我们可以看到约90,000美元。”

The scenario of the Fed delaying rate cuts is related to the potential impact on the market. In Peterson's view, if the Fed keeps interest rates high for an extended period, it might not begin cutting rates until 2026.

美联储延迟降低率的情况与对市场的潜在影响有关。彼得森认为，如果美联储长期保持利率很高，则直到2026年才开始降低利率。

"The market is currently pricing in a rate cut in the first quarter of 2025. If the Fed stalls on cutting rates in 2025, I think the market will likely panic."

“市场目前的定价在2025年第一季度的降低速度。如果美联储在2025年的削减速度停滞不前，我认为市场可能会恐慌。”

This panic could lead to a broader market downturn, ultimately pushing Bitcoin down as well.

这种恐慌可能会导致更广泛的市场低迷，最终也将比特币降低了。

"My rough estimate is that we could see something like a 30% to 35% decline in the market, and if we hit that, we might land somewhere in the $70,000 to $71,000 range for Bitcoin."

“我的粗略估计是，我们可以看到市场下降30％至35％，如果我们达到了这一点，我们可能会在比特币的70,000至71,000美元之间降落。”

If Bitcoin crashes to $70,000, XRP will likely follow it down. How far it falls depends on market mood, trading volume, and updates in the Ripple vs. SEC case.

如果比特币崩溃至$ 70,000，则XRP可能会降低。跌落取决于市场情绪，交易量以及Ripple与SEC案中的更新。

In the worst case, Bitcoin might drop sharply to $70,000 because of panic selling, new regulations, or bad economic news. This could push XRP down to $1.50 – $1.70, about 25-35% below its current $2.33 price. If XRP can’t hold at $2.00 and $1.80, widespread panic and forced selling would make things worse.

在最坏的情况下，由于恐慌销售，新法规或不良经济新闻，比特币可能会急剧下降至70,000美元。这可能会将XRP降至1.50美元至1.70美元，比目前的2.33美元低约25-35％。如果XRP不能以2.00美元和1.80美元的价格持有，那么广泛的恐慌和强迫销售将使情况变得更糟。

A more likely scenario is Bitcoin sliding gradually to $70,000 without major drama. In this case, XRP might fall to $1.85 – $2.10, just 10-20% down. A slow decline could help XRP find support near $2.00 before possibly bouncing back.

一个更有可能的情况是，比特币逐渐滑至70,000美元，没有主要戏剧性。在这种情况下，XRP可能降至1.85美元 - 2.10美元，下降10-20％。缓慢的下降可以帮助XRP在可能的2.00美元接近$ 2.00的情况下找到支持。

There’s also a brighter possibility. If Bitcoin drops to $70,000 but XRP gets good news like a favorable SEC ruling, new business partnerships, or big investors coming in, it could do better than other coins. XRP might stay in the $2.20 – $2.50 range and outperform most of the market.

也有更大的可能性。如果比特币跌至70,000美元，但XRP获得了好消息，例如有利的SEC裁决，新的业务合作伙伴关系或大型投资者，它可以比其他硬币做得更好。 XRP可能会留在2.20美元 - $ 2.50的范围内，并且大部分市场的大部分市场。

Bitcoin still drives the whole crypto market. When Bitcoin crashes, other coins usually follow, though XRP might react a bit differently or later.

比特币仍然驱动整个加密市场。当比特币崩溃时，通常会遵循其他硬币，尽管XRP的反应可能有所不同或以后。

The SEC lawsuit remains crucial for XRP. A win for Ripple could cancel out Bitcoin’s negative pull and keep XRP above $2.00. A loss would make XRP’s situation even worse.

SEC诉讼对于XRP仍然至关重要。连冠的胜利可能会取消比特币的负拉，并使XRP超过$ 2.00。损失将使XRP的情况变得更糟。

When Bitcoin falls hard, some investors have to sell everything at once, causing steep drops in less-traded coins. But if XRP keeps seeing lots of trading activity, it might avoid the worst crashes.

当比特币陷入困境时，一些投资者必须一次出售所有东西，从而导致交易较少的硬币下降。但是，如果XRP不断看到很多交易活动，则可能避免崩溃最严重。

Finally, real-world use matters. If more banks and companies keep using Ripple’s payment technology, and if Ripple continues expanding its On-Demand Liquidity services, XRP might find price support even in a down market.

最后，现实世界中的使用很重要。如果更多的银行和公司不断使用Ripple的支付技术，并且Ripple继续扩大其按需流动性服务，那么XRP即使在下跌市场中也可能会找到价格支持。

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