XRP 价格分析：XRP 为何下跌？技术面对未来走势有何建议？

XRP 是 Ripple 使用的最大加密货币之一，周一跌至 12 月低点 2.04 美元，导致加密货币市场下跌

XRP, among the largest cryptocurrencies used by Ripple, fell to December lows of $2.04 on Monday, leading cryptocurrency market losses as a strengthening U.S. dollar and year-end profit-taking pressured digital assets.

XRP 是 Ripple 使用的最大加密货币之一，周一跌至 12 月低点 2.04 美元，因美元走强和年底获利回吐给数字资产带来压力，导致加密货币市场下跌。

Let’s examine why XRP is down and what technical analysis suggests about future movements. We’ll also review XRP price predictions from analysts and experts.

让我们来看看 XRP 下跌的原因以及技术分析对未来走势有何建议。我们还将回顾分析师和专家对 XRP 的价格预测。

XRP Price Is Going Down by 6%

XRP 价格下跌 6%

The fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has dropped nearly 30% from its December 3 peak of $2.9, with a 6% decline in the past 24 hours alone. The token's trading volume stands at $4.5 billion, indicating significant selling pressure as investors reduce exposure ahead of year-end.

按市值计算第四大加密货币已较 12 月 3 日峰值 2.9 美元下跌近 30%，仅在过去 24 小时内就下跌了 6%。该代币的交易量为 45 亿美元，表明随着投资者在年底前减少风险敞口，抛售压力巨大。

The decline is also causing liquidations in the leveraged market. Over the past 24 hours, these liquidations totaled $173 million, with the majority being long positions. A significant portion of these liquidations, approximately $7 million in long positions, was attributed to XRP.

下跌还导致杠杆市场出现清算。过去 24 小时内，这些清算总额达 1.73 亿美元，其中大部分是多头头寸。这些清算的很大一部分（大约 700 万美元的多头头寸）归因于 XRP。

The cryptocurrency market's traditional year-end rally hopes have faded, with Bitcoin retreating from its recent all-time high of $108,000 to trade around $93,700, marking a 12.6% weekly decline. Other major cryptocurrencies have followed suit, with Ethereum falling 15.5% to $3,337 and Solana showing a 15.9% weekly slump.

加密货币市场传统的年底上涨希望已经破灭，比特币从近期历史高点 108,000 美元回落至 93,700 美元左右，周跌幅为 12.6%。其他主要加密货币也纷纷效仿，以太坊下跌 15.5% 至 3,337 美元，Solana 每周下跌 15.9%。

The U.S. Dollar Index's surge to 108.5, its highest level in months, has emerged as a key factor pressuring cryptocurrency valuations. This strengthening dollar has made speculative assets less attractive to investors, particularly affecting dollar-denominated assets like cryptocurrencies.

美元指数飙升至数月来最高水平108.5，已成为压制加密货币估值的关键因素。美元走强降低了投机资产对投资者的吸引力，特别是影响到加密货币等以美元计价的资产。

The USD hasn’t been this strong in over 20 years, which certainly makes it harder for cryptocurrencies denominated in it to sustain growth during an already extended bull run.

美元在 20 多年来从未如此坚挺，这无疑使得以美元计价的加密货币在已经持续的牛市期间更难维持增长。

XRP Technical Analysis

XRP 技术分析

The current market structure shows XRP trading above key support levels, with immediate resistance at $2.5. Technical analysts have identified $2.0-1.96 as a crucial support level that needs to hold to prevent further decline.

当前的市场结构显示 XRP 交易高于关键支撑位，直接阻力位为 2.5 美元。技术分析师已将 2.0-1.96 美元确定为关键支撑位，需要守住该支撑位才能防止进一步下跌。

In my view, XRP is still moving within a time-limited pennant chart pattern, with its lower boundary currently aligning with the mentioned psychological support level and December lows. A breakout above this level would not only allow XRP to overcome current resistance dynamically but also provide a chance for a measured upward movement towards the $4 or even $5 level.

在我看来，XRP 仍在限时三角旗图表模式内波动，其下限目前与上述心理支撑位和 12 月低点一致。突破该水平不仅能让 XRP 动态克服当前阻力，而且还提供了向上移动至 4 美元甚至 5 美元水平的机会。

This scenario would be invalidated if the price falls below the lower boundary of the pennant and the psychological support at $2. In that case, the bears could regain control, and the chart would return to a downtrend.

如果价格跌破三角旗的下限和 2 美元的心理支撑位，这种情况就会失效。在这种情况下，空头可能会重新获得控制权，图表将回到下降趋势。

XRP price key support and resistance levels

XRP 价格关键支撑位和阻力位

XRP Price Resistance Levels:

XRP 价格阻力位：

XRP Price Predictions: Future Outlook

XRP 价格预测：未来展望

Despite the current downturn, some analysts maintain a bullish long-term outlook. The January Effect could provide some relief to the market in the coming weeks.

尽管当前经济低迷，但一些分析师仍然看好长期前景。一月效应可能会在未来几周内给市场带来一些缓解。

For December 2024, analysts project a minimum price of $1.91 for XRP, with a maximum potential of $2.5. However, the immediate focus remains on defending current support levels to prevent further deterioration in market sentiment.

分析师预计 2024 年 12 月 XRP 的最低价格为 1.91 美元，最高潜力为 2.5 美元。然而，当前的重点仍然是捍卫当前的支撑位，以防止市场情绪进一步恶化。

In January 2025, XRP is projected to trade within a range of $1.35 to $2.12. By February, the price is expected to fluctuate slightly, moving between $1.30 and $2.50. Looking ahead to the end of 2025, if institutional adoption continues to gain momentum, XRP could potentially climb to $5 or higher, reflecting increased market confidence and demand.

2025 年 1 月，XRP 预计交易价格在 1.35 美元至 2.12 美元之间。到 2 月份，价格预计将小幅波动，在 1.30 美元至 2.50 美元之间波动。展望 2025 年底，如果机构采用继续获得动力，XRP 可能会攀升至 5 美元或更高，反映出市场信心和需求的增加。

For instance, Egrag, a popular analyst with 70,000 followers on X (formerly Twitter), believes that XRP could rise to $50 in 2025.

例如，在 X（前身为 Twitter）上拥有 70,000 名粉丝的知名分析师 Egrag 认为，XRP 可能会在 2025 年升至 50 美元。

“The next 10 days are crucial for XRP. From a pure technical analysis perspective (ignoring fundamentals for a moment), this could be the most pivotal price action in XRP’s history,” Egrag commented.

“接下来的 10 天对于 XRP 来说至关重要。从纯粹的技术分析角度来看（暂时忽略基本面），这可能是 XRP 历史上最关键的价格走势。”Egrag 评论道。

#XRP - High Timeframe (HTF) Analysis:TRUST ME, U'RE NOT #BULLISH ENOUGH, EVEN THE OGs 😎Time for a Thread 🧵 (1/7)The next 10 days are crucial for #XRP. From a Pure TA perspective (ignoring fundamentals for a moment), this could be the most pivotal price action in XRP's… pic.twitter.com/Hrx225lglT

#XRP - 高时间框架 (HTF) 分析：相信我，即使是 OG，你也不够#看涨 😎讨论话题的时间 🧵 (1/7)接下来的 10 天对于 #XRP 至关重要。从纯粹 TA 的角度来看（暂时忽略基本面），这可能是 XRP 中最关键的价格走势…… pic.twitter.com/Hrx225lglT

Market participants are also closely watching the incoming Trump administration's potential impact on the crypto sector. The appointment of pro-crypto SEC chairman Paul Atkins and potential regulatory clarity could serve as catalysts for future price recovery.

市场参与者也在密切关注即将上任的特朗普政府对加密货币行业的潜在影响。支持加密货币的 SEC 主席保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 的任命以及潜在的监管明确性可能会成为未来价格复苏的催化剂。

XRP Price, FAQ

XRP 价格、常见问题解答

What is the expected price of XRP in 2

2 年 XRP 的预期价格是多少