XRP ETF 将于 2025 年获得 Polymarket 批准，定价概率为 +70%

加密货币市场对 2025 年多个山寨币 ETF 的潜在批准持强烈乐观态度。在最近的彭博社采访中，Ripple

output: A crypto market outlook for 2025 appears optimistic with several altcoin ETFs anticipated to be approved. In a recent Bloomberg interview, Ripple president Monica Long shared her perspective on the potential XRP ETF approval sequence.

产出：2025 年的加密货币市场前景似乎乐观，预计将有多个山寨币 ETF 获得批准。在最近接受彭博社采访时，Ripple 总裁 Monica Long 分享了她对潜在 XRP ETF 批准顺序的看法。

According to Long, several U.S. spot crypto ETFs are expected to be approved this year, and XRP is likely to be next in line after Bitcoin and ETH ETFs.

Long 表示，预计今年将有多个美国现货加密 ETF 获得批准，而 XRP 很可能是继比特币和 ETH ETF 之后的下一个。

Multiple applications for XRP ETFs have been filed with the SEC by Canary Capital and other potential issuers. Long believes that the new administration may expedite the approval process.

Canary Capital 和其他潜在发行人已向 SEC 提交了多份 XRP ETF 申请。朗认为，新政府可能会加快审批程序。

Additionally, the Ripple dollar (RLUSD) is set to be imminently integrated into leading platforms like Coinbase.

此外，瑞波币（RLUSD）即将被整合到 Coinbase 等领先平台中。

In 2023, U.S. District Judge Analisa Torres ruled that XRP was not a security when sold on public exchanges. However, the SEC could still claim jurisdiction if the tokens were offered directly to institutional investors.

2023 年，美国地区法官 Analisa Torres 裁定 XRP 在公共交易所出售时不是证券。然而，如果代币直接提供给机构投资者，美国证券交易委员会仍然可以主张管辖权。

Coinbase is now planning to appeal to the Second Circuit to determine whether the SEC is correct in treating “sales of digital assets on secondary market” as a security.

Coinbase 目前正计划向第二巡回法院提起上诉，以确定 SEC 将“在二级市场上销售数字资产”视为证券是否正确。

If the court agrees with Torres's analysis, it could strengthen XRP's legal standing in the country. However, if the sale of tokens on exchanges is ultimately deemed to be a security, it could negatively impact XRP ETF prospects.

如果法院同意托雷斯的分析，则可能会加强 XRP 在该国的法律地位。然而，如果在交易所出售代币最终被视为一种证券，则可能会对 XRP ETF 前景产生负面影响。

The SEC has the option to appeal Torres's ruling, and the deadline for doing so is January 15. XRP is likely to experience a significant price movement early next week, depending on the regulator's decision.

SEC 可以选择对托雷斯的裁决提出上诉，上诉的截止日期是 1 月 15 日。XRP 可能会在下周初经历重大价格波动，具体取决于监管机构的决定。

According to prediction site Polymarket, the chances of XRP ETF approval in 2025 are priced at +70%, indicating optimism within the crypto market.

根据预测网站 Polymarket 的数据，XRP ETF 在 2025 年获得批准的可能性为 +70%，这表明加密货币市场的乐观情绪。

On the price chart, XRP has been consolidating within a triangle pattern. A breakout could either trigger an upswing to $3.4 or drag it lower to $1.

在价格图表上，XRP 一直在三角形模式内盘整。突破可能会引发价格上涨至 3.4 美元，也可能将其拖低至 1 美元。