随着月食的临近，XRP 面临着关键的十字路口，专家分析强调了成败时刻

加密货币专家 EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) 对 XRP 的价格轨迹进行了重要分析，强调了可能极大影响其未来走势的决定性时刻。

Crucial Analysis: XRP at a Crossroads, Needing to Break $4 by March 10 to Continue Bullish Momentum

关键分析：XRP 正处于十字路口，需要在 3 月 10 日之前突破 4 美元才能继续看涨势头

Renowned cryptocurrency expert EGRAG CRYPTO has performed an in-depth technical analysis of XRP’s price trajectory, pinpointing a critical moment that will heavily influence its future path. Trading at $2.27, XRP is currently encountering a significant technical barrier, and if it fails to overcome this hurdle, it could lead to a substantial price drop. According to EGRAG CRYPTO’s latest report, XRP must break and sustain a position above $4 by March 10, 2025, to preserve its bullish momentum and avoid the risk of a major correction.

著名加密货币专家 EGRAG CRYPTO 对 XRP 的价格轨迹进行了深入的技术分析，指出了将严重影响其未来走势的关键时刻。 XRP 的交易价格为 2.27 美元，目前遇到了重大的技术障碍，如果无法克服这一障碍，可能会导致价格大幅下跌。根据 EGRAG CRYPTO 的最新报告，XRP 必须在 2025 年 3 月 10 日之前突破并维持在 4 美元以上的位置，才能保持看涨势头并避免大幅回调的风险。

The Key Price Level: $3.9

关键价格水平：3.9 美元

EGRAG CRYPTO’s technical analysis identifies a specific resistance zone, known as Fork C, which is situated at $3.9. This zone forms part of the Bent Fork formation, a technical structure that has historically acted as a strong resistance level for XRP. According to the expert, if XRP manages to breach this critical level and secure a weekly close above $4, it will signal that XRP has the momentum to continue its upward trajectory in 2025. Failure to break through this level could lead to a sharp decline, with potential price corrections following historical patterns.

EGRAG CRYPTO 的技术分析确定了一个特定的阻力区域，称为叉 C，位于 3.9 美元。该区域是弯叉形态的一部分，这种技术结构历来是 XRP 的强大阻力位。该专家表示，如果 XRP 成功突破这一关键水平并确保周收盘价高于 4 美元，这将表明 XRP 有动力在 2025 年继续上涨。未能突破这一水平可能会导致大幅下跌，潜在的价格调整遵循历史模式。

The Threat of a Price Decline: Historical Precedents

价格下跌的威胁：历史先例

EGRAG CRYPTO’s research highlights that similar resistance levels have previously been associated with substantial price declines for XRP. In fact, past encounters with these levels have often triggered market corrections of over 60%, with XRP suffering major declines in December 2015 (-89.59%), May 2017 (-68.97%), September 2018 (-64.35%), and April 2021 (-73.39%). Based on these historical trends, if XRP fails to break through the $3.9 resistance, it could see a significant drop, with the price potentially revisiting the $1 level, marking an average decline of 74%.

EGRAG CRYPTO 的研究强调，类似的阻力位此前曾与 XRP 价格大幅下跌相关。事实上，过去遇到这些水平经常会引发超过 60% 的市场回调，其中 XRP 在 2015 年 12 月 (-89.59%)、2017 年 5 月 (-68.97%)、2018 年 9 月 (-64.35%) 和 4 月经历了大幅下跌2021 年（-73.39%）。根据这些历史趋势，如果 XRP 未能突破 3.9 美元的阻力位，它可能会大幅下跌，价格可能会重新回到 1 美元的水平，平均跌幅为 74%。

The Timing of the Challenge: Lunar Eclipse and Market Volatility

挑战的时机：月食和市场波动

The timing of XRP’s technical challenge is noteworthy, as it comes just before a lunar eclipse scheduled for March 14, 2025. EGRAG CRYPTO’s analysis suggests a historical correlation between lunar events and increased market volatility, typically resulting in downward price pressure. The lunar eclipse’s influence could add an additional layer of risk to XRP‘s price action in the coming months.

XRP 面临技术挑战的时机值得注意，因为它发生在预定于 2025 年 3 月 14 日发生的月食之前。EGRAG CRYPTO 的分析表明，月球事件与市场波动性增加之间存在历史相关性，通常会导致价格下行压力。月食的影响可能会给 XRP 未来几个月的价格走势增加额外的风险。

The Bullish Scenario: Can XRP Reach $15?

看涨情景：XRP 能否达到 15 美元？

Despite the risks, EGRAG CRYPTO remains optimistic about XRP‘s long-term potential. He suggests that if XRP can successfully break through the $3.9 resistance level by March 10, it could set the stage for a significant rally, with the possibility of XRP reaching $15 or more. Other analysts have echoed this bullish outlook, emphasizing that surpassing $3.9 would indicate that XRP is on a clear path to new all-time highs, potentially beyond $10.

尽管存在风险，EGRAG CRYPTO 仍然对 XRP 的长期潜力持乐观态度。他表示，如果 XRP 能够在 3 月 10 日之前成功突破 3.9 美元的阻力位，则可能为大幅反弹奠定基础，XRP 有可能达到 15 美元或更高。其他分析师也赞同这种看涨前景，强调突破 3.9 美元将表明 XRP 正在明确走向新的历史高点，有可能突破 10 美元。

As the market watches closely, all eyes are on XRP‘s performance in the coming weeks. Will it overcome this critical resistance and continue its bullish momentum, or will it follow the historical trend of sharp price declines? Only time will tell, but one thing is clear—XRP is at a crossroads, and the next few months could determine its trajectory for the rest of 2025.

随着市场的密切关注，所有人的目光都集中在 XRP 未来几周的表现。它会克服这一关键阻力并继续看涨势头，还是会追随价格大幅下跌的历史趋势？只有时间才能证明一切，但有一件事是明确的——XRP 正处于十字路口，未来几个月可能决定其 2025 年剩余时间的发展轨迹。