Polymarket 交易员押注 SEC ETF 将于 2025 年获得批准，XRP 多头不断下跌

XRP 是 Ripple Labs 创建的去中心化区块链的原生加密货币，由于 Solana、Polkadot 和 Cardano 等顶级同行的股价下跌了两位数，XRP 仍处于整合阶段。

Ripple (XRP) price seems poised for a breakout as top peers like Solana, Polkadot, and Cardano correct sharply.

随着 Solana、Polkadot 和 Cardano 等顶级同行的大幅调整，Ripple (XRP) 的价格似乎即将突破。

XRP price steadies after a 10% drop from 2024 highs. Still, key fundamental and technical catalysts could propel the coin in the next few months.

XRP 价格较 2024 年高点下跌 10% 后趋于稳定。尽管如此，关键的基本面和技术催化剂可能会在未来几个月推动代币的发展。

XRP whale activity picks up

XRP 鲸鱼活动有所增加

Whale accumulation is a crucial bullish indicator for cryptocurrencies, as these investors are known for their large capital and market insights. Recent data indicates that XRP whales have been actively accumulating the coin as broader sentiment in the crypto industry turns sour.

鲸鱼积累是加密货币的一个重要看涨指标，因为这些投资者以其庞大的资本和市场洞察力而闻名。最近的数据表明，随着加密行业的整体情绪恶化，XRP 鲸鱼一直在积极积累该代币。

Ali Martinez, a prominent crypto investor, highlighted this trend using Santiment data, showing that these whales purchased 1 billion XRP tokens in the last 48 hours — a sign that they are bullish on the coin.

著名的加密货币投资者 Ali Martinez 使用 Santiment 数据强调了这一趋势，显示这些鲸鱼在过去 48 小时内购买了 10 亿 XRP 代币，这表明他们看好该代币。

“Whales bought roughly 1 billion $XRP in the last 48 hours!”

“鲸鱼在过去 48 小时内购买了大约 10 亿美元的 XRP！”

Polymarket traders are also optimistic that the Securities and Exchange Commission will approve a spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) in 2025. A small pool with $5,000 in assets places the odds of this approval at 68%. Another pool with $30,000 places the odds of a Ripple ETF being approved by July 31 at 51%.

Polymarket 交易员也乐观地认为，美国证券交易委员会将在 2025 年批准现货 XRP 交易所交易基金 (ETF)。资产规模为 5,000 美元的小型资金池获得批准的几率为 68%。另一个 30,000 美元的资金池认为 Ripple ETF 在 7 月 31 日之前获得批准的几率为 51%。

These hopes have been growing after Donald Trump won the election and promised to be a more crypto-friendly president. He has nominated Paul Atkins to be the next SEC chair and started to create his artificial intelligence and crypto council.

在唐纳德·特朗普赢得大选并承诺成为一位对加密货币更加友好的总统后，这些希望一直在增长。他提名保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 担任下一任 SEC 主席，并开始创建他的人工智能和加密货币委员会。

Crypto ETFs have become wildly popular among investors, with the ProShares Bitcoin ETF having over $2.3 billion in assets, and spot Bitcoin ETFs attracting over $36 billion in inflows. Bitcoin ETFs have over $107 billion in assets, while Ethereum ETFs have $11.6 billion.

加密货币 ETF 已在投资者中广受欢迎，ProShares 比特币 ETF 拥有超过 23 亿美元的资产，而现货比特币 ETF 吸引了超过 360 亿美元的资金流入。比特币 ETF 的资产超过 1070 亿美元，而以太坊 ETF 的资产为 116 亿美元。

Besides XRP, crypto investors are also betting on the potential approval of Solana, Hedera Hashgraph, and Chainlink ETFs.

除了 XRP 之外，加密货币投资者还押注 Solana、Hedera Hashgraph 和 Chainlink ETF 的潜在批准。

XRP price has bullish technicals

XRP 价格技术面看涨

Finally, XRP has also formed strong technicals that could be set to push its price substantially higher in the next few weeks.

最后，XRP 还形成了强大的技术面，可能会在未来几周内大幅推高其价格。

The daily chart shows that XRP has been forming a bullish pennant pattern, which is one of the most powerful continuation patterns in trading. The lower trendline of this pennant was at $0.4913, and the triangle pattern has been forming since December. A bullish breakout usually occurs when the two lines of a triangle come close to each other.

日线图显示，XRP 一直在形成看涨三角旗模式，这是交易中最强大的持续模式之一。该三角旗的较低趋势线为 0.4913 美元，三角形形态自 12 月以来一直在形成。当三角形的两条线彼此接近时，通常会发生看涨突破。

XRP has been holding above the 50-day moving average, and the MVRV indicator has dropped to 2.5, suggesting that the coin is undervalued. As such, the initial levels to watch will be the Murrey Math Lines’ extreme overshoot point, followed by the 2024 high at $2.90 and then the psychological level at $3.

XRP 一直保持在 50 日移动均线上方，MVRV 指标已降至 2.5，表明该代币被低估。因此，最初值得关注的水平将是 Murrey Math Lines 的极端超调点，然后是 2024 年高点 2.90 美元，然后是心理水平 3 美元。