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Whale Activity: A Sell-Off Risk for Solana Price or a Strategic Consideration

2025/01/14 04:51

Whale Activity: A Sell-Off Risk for Solana Price or a Strategic Consideration

After a strong rally post Trump’s win, a lot has changed in the crypto sector. Bitcoin and the Solana price are facing bull insufficiency after the December 2024 corrections.

In 2025 start, bulls tried to wake up with Bitcoin reaching $100K again and SOL to $223. However, the euphoria was short-lived as bears dominated and followed the December 2024 trend.

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Solana showed bearish pressure despite several optimistic factors in the market. In 2025, Solana crypto announced future-based quantum attacks resistant Winternitz Vault. It also gave The SIMD-0215 proposal to improve blockchain and serve billions without sacrificing performance.

Similarly, several giant factors are in line that could rejuvenate the long-term market after the inauguration ceremony this month. Those factors include the US Bitcoin Reserve topic, the anticipation of SOL ETF, and regulatory changes.

Major firms remain upvoted about SOL crypto’s potential, with VanEck projecting a price target of $500 for 2025. Despite the long-term optimism, the short-term market activity has spooked market participant’s confidence.

Additionally, a whale recently transferred SOL tokens worth $75.37 Million on Coinbase. That has added more weight to market pessimism. While short-term technical bearish sentiment is pushing the Solana price down, its fundamentals tell a different story. Continue reading to know more.

Whale Activity: A Sell-Off Risk for Solana Price or a Strategic Consideration

When a large proportion of tokens is added to an exchange, it often indicates possible sell-off risk for the asset, liquidity preparation, or strategic institutional movement.

Like recently, a crypto whale’s large transactions of 400K SOL worth $75.37 Million raised the eyebrows of users closely monitoring the Solana price. The increase in market supply could cause a price decline if it is intended to sell.

This whale activity occurred a day after other whales’ did similar activity. One crypto whale pumped Binance with 149.999K SOL worth $27.91 Million and another with 199.999K Sol worth $37.21 Million.

Such intense moves by whales can affect the Solana crypto price sentiment, as there remains a large risk that small investors may also dump their holdings. Since more than one whale activity is involved in the short term, it shows that some might have sold it, but at the same time, the others might not have sold too.

Nevertheless, the purpose of the transfer remains unknown. So, one can also assume other possibilities on the good side.

Solana Crypto’s On-Chain Data Shows No Firm Ground for Pessimism

Since derivatives analysis shows that the SOL Open Interest (OI) is well positioned in the market, amounting to $6.11 Billion, and OI-weighted funding rates are rising at 0.0093%. It shows a bullish market as traders are optimistic about the underlying asset.

The fundamentals of Solana crypto, surprisingly, are robust in the DeFi space. The total value locked (TVL) is far above the level seen in last Q4’s 20021, where much growth stems from an impressive stablecoin market cap. It is also acing in transactional volume and network revenue.

Also, in DEX activity, SOL is doing phenomenally well. Its 24-hour trading volume has surpassed major L-2 rivals, such as Ethereum, Base, BSC, and several others. Likewise, backed by its robust ecosystem growth, it is viewed on the verge of flipping the 5th largest Binance Coin (BNB). That’s because the market resurgence of the Solana crypto could flip a slim gap in the market cap.

All those factors, including ecosystem, social sentiment, derivatives, and fundamentals, show no base that could influence whales to go for a massive sell-off. On assembling these factors, multiple whale transfers hint towards strategic action rather than the disposition of all of the whales’ holding positions.

It indicates a possibility that not all whales’ assets on exchanges are for sell-offs but could be to rebalance their portfolios or to get ready for derivative trading. Perhaps it might be a part of some larger scheme, like staking or lending service of exchanges, to benefit by employing their funds on exchanges.

What Solana Price Could Show Next in Its Daily Chart?

Now, the whale activity seems to be influencing the Solana price on the bearish side, but as per on-chain data, it could only affect it in the short term. As in the long-term future, the SOL price and its ecosystem growth remain optimistic.

Still, many who monitor the Solana crypto very often might wish to see how short-term whale activity might affect its price. This whale’s move has created an unpredictability factor in the short-term Solana crypto market mechanism.

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