风险投资家 Tim Draper 预计比特币年底将达到 25 万美元

风险投资家 Tim Draper 预计 2024 年比特币价格目标为 25 万美元，理由是比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的推出、即将到来的减半以及比特币的抗通胀特性。 Draper 强调了比特币 ETF 在提高可及性和投资吸引力方面的重要性，而减半预计将通过供应减少和需求增加推动价格上涨。

Venture Capitalist Tim Draper Projects Bitcoin to Reach $250,000 by Year-End, Citing Key Catalysts

风险投资家蒂姆·德雷珀 (Tim Draper) 援引关键催化剂预测，到年底比特币价格将达到 25 万美元

Paris, France - Prominent venture capitalist Tim Draper has expressed bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin, forecasting a significant surge in its value to $250,000 by the end of 2024. Draper's optimism stems from a confluence of factors, including the introduction of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States, the upcoming Bitcoin halving event, and the cryptocurrency's intrinsic characteristics as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation and inflation.

法国巴黎 - 著名风险投资家 Tim Draper 表达了对比特币的看涨情绪，预计到 2024 年底其价值将大幅飙升至 25 万美元。Draper 的乐观情绪源于多种因素，包括现货交易所交易基金的推出（美国的 ETF）、即将到来的比特币减半事件，以及加密货币作为对冲法定货币贬值和通货膨胀的内在特征。

Speaking to Cointelegraph during Paris Blockchain Week, Draper elaborated on his price prediction, stating, "If I had to predict, maybe we could see $250,000 by the end of the year; I mean, it's looking pretty good." This projection aligns with his earlier forecast of a $250,000 price point for 2023, which was made in early 2022.

Draper 在巴黎区块链周期间接受 Cointelegraph 采访时详细阐述了他的价格预测，他表示：“如果我必须预测的话，到今年年底我们可能会看到 25 万美元；我的意思是，看起来相当不错。”这一预测与他早先于 2022 年初做出的 2023 年价格点 25 万美元的预测一致。

Draper attributed the renewed interest in Bitcoin to the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which provide investors with an accessible and regulated avenue to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency. These ETFs have facilitated inflows of capital into Bitcoin, particularly from individuals who are interested in owning the asset but are hesitant to engage in self-custody.

Draper 将人们对比特币重新产生的兴趣归因于现货比特币 ETF 的推出，该 ETF 为投资者提供了一种可访问且受监管的途径来获得加密货币的投资。这些 ETF 促进了资金流入比特币，特别是那些有兴趣拥有该资产但不愿进行自我托管的个人。

In an increasingly volatile economic landscape, Draper emphasized the protective role of Bitcoin as a store of value. He noted, "I think that it gives people an opportunity to buy some Bitcoin and hold on to it so that they can take care of themselves when there's a run on the dollar or the euro." Bitcoin's scarcity and decentralized nature contrast sharply with the inflationary nature of fiat currencies, making it an attractive haven for those seeking to preserve their purchasing power.

在日益动荡的经济形势下，德雷珀强调了比特币作为价值储存手段的保护作用。他指出，“我认为这让人们有机会购买一些比特币并持有它，这样他们就可以在美元或欧元出现挤兑时照顾好自己。”比特币的稀缺性和去中心化性质与法定货币的通货膨胀性质形成鲜明对比，使其成为那些寻求保持购买力的人的有吸引力的避风港。

Additionally, Draper highlighted Bitcoin's growing adoption as a medium of exchange and its finite supply, which is expected to exert upward pressure on its price. He stated, "I don't really need to hold on to any fiat currency that decreases in value over time because of political whims or government spending, or politicians that just decide they're going to spend more money and inflate your money."

此外，德雷珀强调了比特币作为交易媒介的日益普及及其有限的供应，预计这将对其价格施加上行压力。他表示，“我真的不需要持有任何因政治突发奇想或政府支出而随着时间推移而贬值的法定货币，或者政客只是决定要花更多的钱并让你的钱膨胀。”

Furthermore, Draper anticipates a significant impact from the upcoming Bitcoin halving, scheduled for April 20th, 2024. This event will reduce the supply of new Bitcoins while demand is anticipated to rise, naturally driving up its value. Draper explained, "The supply shrinks, the demand increases, and the price goes up. That's natural economics - supply and demand."

此外，Draper 预计即将到来的比特币减半（定于 2024 年 4 月 20 日）将产生重大影响。这一事件将减少新比特币的供应，而需求预计会上升，自然会推高其价值。德雷珀解释说：“供给减少，需求增加，价格上涨。这就是自然经济学——供给和需求。”

Beyond his bullish price prediction, Draper also emphasized the strategic value of Bitcoin as a hedge against potential bank failures and the decline of sovereign currencies. He suggested that a small, single-digit percentage allocation to Bitcoin could enhance financial stability in the face of global economic uncertainty.

除了看涨的价格预测之外，德雷珀还强调了比特币作为对冲潜在银行倒闭和主权货币贬值的战略价值。他表示，面对全球经济的不确定性，对比特币进行小幅个位数百分比配置可以增强金融稳定性。

Draper's bullish outlook on Bitcoin aligns with the broader trend of increasing institutional adoption and recognition of its potential as an alternative asset class. As the cryptocurrency ecosystem matures and regulatory frameworks evolve, its accessibility and utility are likely to continue expanding, supporting its long-term growth trajectory.

德雷珀对比特币的看涨前景与机构采用率不断提高以及对其作为另类资产类别潜力的认可的更广泛趋势是一致的。随着加密货币生态系统的成熟和监管框架的发展，其可访问性和实用性可能会继续扩大，支持其长期增长轨迹。