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加密货币新闻

更新:欧盟的最新报复性关税加深了宏观经济不确定性,促使比特币(BTC)价格预测

2025/03/12 19:30

欧盟的最新报复性关税加深了宏观经济的不确定性,促使加密分析师预测比特币价格的波动性增加,这可能会降至关键的75,000美元的支持水平以下。

The European Union's latest retaliatory tariffs will deepen macroeconomic uncertainty, prompting crypto analysts to forecast increased volatility for Bitcoin prices, which may drop below the critical $75,000 support level.

欧盟的最新报复性关税将加深宏观经济的不确定性,促使加密分析师预测比特币价格的波动性增加,这可能会降至关键的75,000美元的支持水平以下。

The EU will impose counter-tariffs on 26 billion euros ($28 billion) worth of US goods starting in April, the European Commission announced on March 12. This is in response to recent moves by US President Donald Trump to introduce a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports.

欧盟委员会将于3月12日宣布,欧盟将对4月开始的260亿欧元(280亿美元)的美国商品实施反竞选。这是对美国总统唐纳德·特朗普最近对钢铁和铝进口征收25%关税的回应。

This move is the latest retaliatory tariff announcement in response to US import tariffs, which may trigger renewed trade war concerns and market volatility in the near term.

此举是针对美国进口关税的最新报复性关税公告,这可能会引发新的贸易战争问题和市场波动。

“Counter tariffs aren't a positive signal as it suggests a potential bounce back from the other side again,” said Marcin Kazmierczak, co-founder and chief operating officer of blockchain oracle solution firm, RedStone.

“反关税不是一个正信号,因为它暗示了另一边的潜在反弹,”区块链甲骨文解决方案公司Redstone的联合创始人兼首席运营官Marcin Kazmierczak说。

This may see Bitcoin (BTC) revisit $75,000, he told Cointelegraph, adding that “given stablecoins and RWAs [real world assets] remain at all-time-highs, it has the potential to rebound.”

他告诉Cointelegraph,这可能会使比特币(BTC)重新审视75,000美元,并补充说:“鉴于Stablecoins和RWAS(现实世界资产)仍然保持在历史上的高位,它有可能反弹。”

“I don't believe that news will have a strong impact for now, but we'll observe the response on the US end.”

“我不认为新闻目前会产生很大的影响,但我们会观察到美国的回应。”

Other analysts still eye a temporary Bitcoin retracement below $72,000 as part of a “macro correction” during the current bull market cycle before Bitcoin's next leg up.

在当前的牛市市场周期中,其他分析师仍然注视着低于$ 72,000的临时比特币回撤,这是“宏观校正”的一部分。

Still, import tariffs are not the only factor influencing Bitcoin's price, said Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research.

Bitget Research首席分析师Ryan Lee说,尽管如此,进口关税并不是影响比特币价格的唯一因素。

BTC/USD 1-month chart. Source: CointelegraphEurope announced its retaliatory tariffs the same day Trump's increased 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports took effect. Europe's current suspension of tariffs on US goods will end on April 1, and its new tariffs will take full effect by April 13.

BTC/USD 1个月图表。资料来源:Cointelegrapheurope宣布,在同一天,特朗普对所有钢和铝进口的25%关税提高了其报复性关税。欧洲目前对美国商品关税的暂停将于4月1日结束,其新关税将在4月13日之前全面生效。

Global trade tariff uncertainty may limit markets until April 2

全球贸易关税不确定性可能会限制市场直到4月2日

Traditional and cryptocurrency markets may be limited by tariff-related concerns until April 2, according to Aurelie Barther, principal research analyst at Nansen.

Nansen的首席研究分析师Aurelie Barther表示,传统和加密货币市场可能会受到与关税有关的问题的限制。

“That said, we observed tentative stabilization in the major US equity indexes and BTC yesterday, at the low of their respective RSI, which we are monitoring.”

“也就是说,我们观察到昨天在美国主要股权指数和BTC的暂定稳定,我们正在监测各自的RSI。”

Trump threatened to “substantially increase” duties on cars entering the US from Canada, set to take effect on April 2, unless Canada decides to drop some of its trade tariffs.

特朗普威胁要对从加拿大进入美国的汽车“大幅增加”关税,除非加拿大决定放弃其一些贸易关税,否则将于4月2日生效。

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